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Number of active Bitcoin addresses fell in June by 9.38%

Number of active Bitcoin addresses fell in June by 9.38%

Against a flat price action at relatively low levels, the number of active Bitcoin addresses in June fell by 9.38%. Yet some on-chain indicators offer positive signals.

The graph below shows the intensification of the correlation between the active-address count and Bitcoin price amid a market correction.

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Dynamics of the number of active Bitcoin addresses. Data: Glassnode.

The decline in on-chain activity also manifested in a drop in on-chain transactions to early-2016 levels.

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Dynamics of daily Bitcoin network transactions. Data: Coin Metrics.

Despite the correction and the evident decline in on-chain activity, the trajectory of coins held by long-term investors continues to show a pattern of accumulation.

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Dynamics of Bitcoin supply held by long-term investors. Data: Glassnode.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe notes that a similar situation occurred during deep declines in previous market cycles.

Long-term holder supply is accelerating heavily in the past weeks, as the data shows.

A similar thing happened in the previous corrections, in which also 2013 had a heavy correction and long-term holders accumulated.

A lesson in here if you want to invest in #Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/yqlkHAIhP1

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) June 24, 2021

The values of the MVRV Z-Score indicator are approaching the level of 1, at which Bitcoin is neither overvalued nor undervalued by the market.

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Smoothed MVRV Z-Score, 7-day moving average. Data: Glassnode.

The overbought zone, according to the MVRV Z-Score, was reached already at the end of February this year. However, a buyers’ zone of deep oversold, as in March 2020, remains well out of reach.

Based on the NVT Price indicator, Bitcoin’s fundamentally justified price sits slightly above $50,000. Therefore, the leading cryptocurrency is currently undervalued by the market.

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Dynamics of the NVT Price indicator. Data: Woobull Charts.

The aSOPR indicator values since mid-May have remained below 1. This points to prevailing panic among investors, multiple loss realizations and Bitcoin being oversold.

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Dynamics of the aSOPR indicator. Data: Glassnode.

A similar situation in the context of aSOPR occurred in March 2020, when the price was at a local bottom well below $10,000.

Earlier ForkLog reported a drop in activity on Bitcoin and Ethereum networks to yearly lows.

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