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Ethereum Chart Reveals 'Bearish Pennant' Targeting $1100

Ethereum Chart Reveals ‘Bearish Pennant’ Targeting $1100

Ethereum's daily chart shows a 'Bearish Pennant' suggesting a potential drop to $1100.

The daily chart of Ethereum has formed a ‘Bearish Pennant’—a pattern indicating the likelihood of a significant downward price movement.

The deterioration of the technical picture amid declining on-chain activity suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend. In this scenario, the price of the largest altcoin risks falling to $1100.

This chart pattern emerges when, after a sharp drop, the price consolidates within an ascending triangle.

ETH1
Daily ETH/USD chart on Bitstamp. Source: TradingView

The pattern will be confirmed if the price breaks the lower boundary around $1950 on high volumes. In this case, the asset could fall by the magnitude of the previous decline—down to $1100 (a 43% drop from current levels).

According to crypto analyst Crypto Patel, to negate this scenario, the price must hold above the support level at $1800.

Decline in On-Chain Activity

The drop in Ethereum’s network activity also pressures the asset’s price. On February 18, the daily transaction volume was 1.95 million—about 33% less than the 2.89 million recorded on February 7.

tx_count
Dynamics of daily transaction volume in the Ethereum network. Source: Etherscan

A comparable decline was observed in January 2024, when the leading altcoin’s price fell by 30%.

The stagnation in on-chain activity is also confirmed by the dynamics of TVL in DeFi applications.

TVL_DEX_ETH
Dynamics of TVL and volumes on DEX in the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. Source: DefiLlama.

Since the beginning of February, the ecosystem’s total indicator has decreased by more than 22%—by February 18, it had fallen to $54.5 billion, down from $70 billion at the start of the month.

The decline in TVL is accompanied by a drop in trading activity on DEX, including the largest non-custodial exchange Uniswap.

DEX
Total TVL and aggregate turnover of the DEX segment. Source: DefiLlama.

An additional negative factor has been the four-week capital outflow from ETF based on Ethereum.

Back in February, a ‘Bearish Pennant’ also formed on Bitcoin’s daily chart. The potential target is the $56,000 level within the month.

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