Expert Predicts Bitcoin Surge to $258,445 by September’s End

In September 2025, the leading cryptocurrency is projected to trade between $51,430 and $713,000, with an average value of $258,445. This is derived from a Monte Carlo model simulation conducted by a researcher known as MarktQuant.

Bitcoin Monte Carlo Simulation (6 months) forecast $BTC

Simulation Statistics:
Initial Price: $82655.52
Mean Final Price: $258445.24
5th Percentile: $51430.23
95th Percentile: $712118.81 pic.twitter.com/V6hsUEFBa1

— MarktQuant (@MarktQuant) March 9, 2025

The calculations suggest a peak of $713,000 in six months, implying an 8.6-fold increase from $82,300 at the time of writing.

The Monte Carlo method employs a random number generator to simulate price and assess risks. It can create numerous potential scenarios based on variables such as volatility and market trends.

QCP Capital highlighted the critical nature of $80,000 as support for Bitcoin in the near term. Experts pointed to limited recovery potential due to negative news surrounding the crypto reserve.

Asia Colour — 10 Mar 25

1/ Friday’s NFP data reinforced expectations of May rate cuts, fueling optimism for BTC’s recovery. After consolidating near $86K, it seemed set for a rebound—until Sunday’s Bybit hackers offloaded $300M during low-liquidity hours, forcing #BTC & #ETH to…

— QCP (@QCPgroup) March 10, 2025

According to expert assessments, the options market indicates a bullish outlook only from the third quarter.

“Until the leading cryptocurrency finds a new narrative, we will observe increased correlation with stocks. Both risk assets are trading near their recent lows. As tariff risks persist, volatility may rise ahead of the release of key US macroeconomic data on inflation on Wednesday and Thursday,” they concluded.

Matrixport had earlier predicted the end of the correction in March-April. 

Previously, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggested a prolonged consolidation of the asset within a broad range (e.g., $75,000-100,000), as observed in early 2024 before prices returned to an upward trajectory.