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Futures analysis: bears derail bulls’ plans

Futures analysis: bears derail bulls' plans

Last week, Bitcoin cleared the $50,000 psychological level and closed a second green candle on the monthly chart. Ethereum came close to an all-time high near $4,385.

However on September 7, the market saw a sharp correction: Bitcoin’s price at one point plunged almost 20%, and Ethereum about 24%.

Is a recovery possible in the current situation? We analyse Bitcoin and Ethereum price levels on the cryptocurrency exchange Bybit.

BTCUSD

After two weeks of consolidation below the $50 000 level, Bitcoin price managed to break the resistance. Nevertheless, this move was not supported by large trading volumes.

Consolidation and support volumes on the daily chart BTCUSD Perpetual Contract (Bybit). Data: TradingView.

A failed retest of $50 000 led to a decline to $42 600. From that level a technical bounce followed, which traders used to lock in short-term longs.

Market participants are not rushing to buy Bitcoin amid the fracture of the medium-term uptrend, which could lead to a retest of $42 600. In that case, the next strong support would lie at $37 460.

ETHUSD

Breakthrough resistance at the level of $3350 ETHUSD led to an impulsive rise of Ethereum above $4000. However after that the asset’s price declined to $2950.

Resistance level on the daily chart ETHUSD Perpetual Contract (Bybit). Data: TradingView.

If the current downward momentum persists, Ethereum could retest $2,950. The next potential support would be at $2,440.

Conclusions

After Bitcoin’s 40% rally in August, traders began to take profits and deploy into altcoins. The ‘altcoin season’ has become a signal that the current wave of growth is ending.

After breaking through the psychological $50 000 level, the Fear & Greed Index fell from extreme greed readings to neutral 47. To shift market sentiment, one would need to see a continuation of downward momentum that could ultimately break the medium-term uptrend.

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