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aSOPR Indicator Signals Sharp Deterioration in Market Sentiment in January

aSOPR Indicator Signals Sharp Deterioration in Market Sentiment in January

Throughout January, amid a falling market, values of the indicator aSOPR (7MA) remained below the 1 level, signaling a significant deterioration in market sentiment and investors recording losses. This is described in ForkLog’s analytical report.

Dynamics of the aSOPR indicator. Data: Glassnode.

On January 21, net realized losses by investors reached $2.5 billion. The last time comparable values appeared was in May and June 2021.

Net realized losses of Bitcoin investors. Data: Glassnode.

The share of short-term investors’ assets in the total Bitcoin supply at the end of January stood at more than 18%. Over 90% of coins are “in the red” for holders — bought at higher prices.

The share of long-term investors’ assets in the total Bitcoin supply surpassed 80% — a level near multi-year highs. At the same time, only 6% of coins are “in the red” for their owners.

Share of short- and long-term investors in the overall Bitcoin supply. Data: Glassnode.

Since the activation of EIP-1559 in August 2021, the Ethereum blockchain has burned more than 1.72 million ETH. In January, the protocol burned more than 392 000 ETH. On the 10th, the network set a new historical maximum for this metric (19 424.89 ETH). The burn rate correlates with the asset’s price.

Daily ETH burnt trend. Data: Etherscan.

In January, the largest number of “burned” ETH (65,697 ETH) was tied to operations related to the NFT marketplace OpenSea. The reason — increased trading volume on the platform.

In February, Fundstrat managing director Mark Newton forecast a “good probability” of Bitcoin reaching a local bottom.

Earlier in January, JPMorgan analysts cut the fair value estimate for Bitcoin from $150,000 to $38,000.

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