Sygnum Assesses Impact of US Bitcoin Reserve Purchases

A $1 billion purchase of digital gold for the national Bitcoin reserve (SBR) could increase the asset’s market capitalization by $20 billion, according to estimates from Sygnum, as reported by The Block.

Calculations suggest that $19 billion of this increase would result from the demand shock and the tightening of the already limited liquid supply of digital gold. In other words, the influx of “new money” would lead to an exponential rise in prices.

This upward pressure is expected to intensify as previous inflows are absorbed, leaving even fewer coins available for subsequent demand.

“The 20x multiplier is based on what we observed in 2024. Currently, we could see more significant surges if central banks truly engage in this process,” concluded the experts.

According to Sygnum’s calculations, each $1 billion inflow into BTC-ETF pushes Bitcoin up by 3-6%.

Earlier, analyst Thomas Farrer predicted a $50,000 surge in the asset’s price within a minute once US authorities confirm the creation of the SBR.