Prediction Markets | ForkLog

ForkLog 183 07.05.2025

CFTC Withdraws Claims Against Kalshi

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has withdrawn its appeal in the dispute with the prediction platform Kalshi. The CFTC has moved to dismiss its appeal against us. Election markets are here to stay. pic.twitter.com/me4pS8uFOj — Kalshi (@Kalshi) May 6, 2025 “Election prediction markets are here to stay,” the company stated. The agreement stipulates […]

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ForkLog 81 26.03.2025

Whale Manipulates Polymarket Prediction Markets

The prediction market on the Polymarket platform reached an erroneous resolution due to oracle manipulation. This was reported by journalist Colin Wu, citing a statement from the team on Discord. A governance attack occurred on Polymarket, where a UMA tycoon used his voting power to manipulate the oracle, allowing the market to settle false results […]

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ForkLog 21 25.03.2025

Polymarket Introduces Solana Deposit Support

The prediction market Polymarket has introduced the option to deposit Solana. This move could invigorate activity on the platform, which reached its peak popularity during the U.S. presidential elections. Starting today, you can now make deposits into your Polymarket wallet using Solana.https://t.co/3sBK0ai3VU — Polymarket (@Polymarket) March 24, 2025 The platform operates on the Polygon network […]

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ForkLog 184 21.03.2025

Polymarket’s Prediction Accuracy Rated at 94% by Expert

The prediction accuracy of the Polymarket platform averages 94.1% four hours before market closure, according to a dashboard created by data processing specialist Alex McCullough on Dune. Source: Dune. A month before the event resolution, the accuracy remains at a high level, around 90%. The expert also noted a clear bias in Polymarket’s markets. He […]

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ForkLog 40 17.03.2025

Robinhood to Launch Prediction Platform

Online broker Robinhood announced the launch of a prediction market within its app. Users will be able to enter contracts based on the outcomes of major global events. According to Robinhood Vice President Jay B. Mackenzie, the new feature “will comply with existing regulations.” Initially, the platform will offer contracts predicting the upper limit of […]

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ForkLog 73 13.02.2025

Duel Duck to Host Inaugural KOL Tournament with Cryptomannn

Duel Duck, a Web3 prediction platform based on Solana, has introduced KOL tournaments—competitions where influencers can engage with their audience. The first tournament will be hosted by the project’s co-founder and trader Cryptomannn, Duel Duck representatives told ForkLog.

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ForkLog 30 07.11.2024

French Regulator Scrutinizes Polymarket Over Massive Trump Bet

The French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) is examining the operations of the prediction platform Polymarket to assess its compliance with the country’s gambling laws, reports The Big Whale. According to the publication, the regulator’s attention was drawn by a French trader known as Theo4, who placed a bet exceeding $30 million on Donald Trump winning […]

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ForkLog 20 05.11.2024

Polymarket Users Wager Millions on Trump and Harris Victories

As the U.S. presidential election approaches, bets on the prediction platform Polymarket for various candidates have surged significantly. One user has wagered over $15 million on Donald Trump’s victory, with a potential payout of $24.7 million. This guy bet $15 million on Trump. Will he come out ahead? pic.twitter.com/DlzTcnQ1kP — Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 4, 2024 […]

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ForkLog 18 04.11.2024

How traders are hedging Trump — and why bitcoin doesn’t care who wins

While Donald Trump’s team has been crafting the image of a “future crypto president”, a very different game has been playing out—one most voters and crypto users scarcely notice. Oleg Cash Coin explains for ForkLog a subtle link between America’s electoral cycle and digital-asset markets. Follow the money Prediction markets have heated up in recent […]

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ForkLog 37 08.10.2024

The simplification trend: how the crypto market is turning into a casino

It is already safe to say that 2024 has brought two defining trends to the market: Tap-to-Earn and prediction markets. Mass interest in the former arose on the back of the success of “tappers” that grafted crypto elements onto rudimentary casual games; the latter owe their popularity to the presidential race in the United States. […]

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ForkLog 8 24.09.2024

Polymarket Seeks $50 Million Funding and Considers Token Launch

The decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket aims to raise $50 million and is contemplating a token issuance, according to The Information, citing its own sources.

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ForkLog 31 17.09.2024

dYdX to Introduce Perpetual Futures in Prediction Markets

The team behind the DeFi platform dYdX is set to launch perpetual futures with leverage on binary event outcomes in prediction markets. This was reported by CoinDesk, citing dYdX Foundation CEO Charles d’Haussy. According to him, decentralized finance must develop a unique proposition compared to centralized counterparts. The publication did not disclose additional details. dYdX’s […]

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