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Trader sees Bitcoin price likely to fall to $20,000.

Trader sees Bitcoin price likely to fall to $20,000.

A practicing trader and founder of the Crypto Shaman project Crypto Shaman Vadim Shovkun.

Bitcoin continues to move in a tight range. Should we still expect a decline, or has the long-awaited rally begun? Let’s try to figure it out.

S&P 500

As usual, we begin with an analysis of the stock market.

The S&P 500 index failed to push above the key high near $4,200. Moreover, on the daily chart a rounded-top pattern is forming, pointing to a likelihood of lower prices.

Data: TradingView.

Bitcoin

The leading cryptocurrency remains within an uptrend channel. Yesterday’s weak attempt to move higher failed to push to a new local high.

The latest high update was completely unimpressive. This could signal waning buying pressure.

On the eight-hour time frame, there is also evidence of seller aggression (a spike in trading activity). The morning engulfing of yesterday’s rally occurred on higher volumes, exceeding yesterday’s levels.

Data: TradingView.

The expectations remain for a pullback. At minimum, the price should reach the lower boundary of the uptrend channel. However, it is more likely that quotes will soon reach the $20,000 level.

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