{"id":16356,"date":"2024-08-23T18:24:31","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T15:24:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoins-reaction-to-powells-speech-and-growth-signals\/"},"modified":"2024-08-23T18:24:31","modified_gmt":"2024-08-23T15:24:31","slug":"bitcoins-reaction-to-powells-speech-and-growth-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoins-reaction-to-powells-speech-and-growth-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s Reaction to Powell&#8217;s Speech and Growth Signals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>During a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/livecoverage\/stock-market-today-jackson-hole-jerome-powell-08-23-2024\">stated<\/a> that &#8220;the time has come to lower the rate.&#8221; The pace of monetary policy easing will depend on economic indicators.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The next meeting is scheduled for September 18. Market participants anticipate a rate cut of 0.25% with a probability of 67.5%, and 0.5% with a probability of 32.5%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXdnUBRsqWPCkf4H2kZK4mbDhWt7SRYmXxqEnJP44gRNZDrpIo0t8RYW2zdGS-AEd4lnUCluOXsZZUUs8xaZmTmCN3JineZYdWNk88MDi20QO74VomeNkUsCz1RJS8orrx9BBrjaveXiHPqBBHW2hYKfjIwT?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Expectations regarding the future Fed rate. Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">Fed Watch<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitcoin rose to $62,350 following Powell&#8217;s speech but soon retreated.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXf8kg0SVaFCl6OlX8N1y-uOPlHocHXvg1neB5yuZJoY3zOQB4_aCeQmepyG-7wO-yGJ6I8IiRPTcfoQY5L0__fjAah09LMDsAwLAyX3TPnsXpg5DohAKiHh6Hd0tqSNfjlwvYrNkh4S4k7eBpE0_ASWJ_OM?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">5-minute BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A rate cut is considered a positive signal for financial markets and cryptocurrencies in particular, as the Fed provides greater liquidity, which can be directed towards asset purchases.<\/p>\n<p>For more on how the Fed rate affects Bitcoin, see ForkLog&#8217;s cards:<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Other Positive Factors<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Data from CryptoQuant and the largest options exchange, Deribit, indicate moderate optimism in the cryptocurrency market, writes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/312785\/bitcoin-on-chain-and-derivatives-data-suggests-market-optimism-analyst\">The Block<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges fell to a multi-year low in August. Since late July, the figure dropped from 2.75 million to 2.67 million.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXfx4-hADeYTzASghrvhLQeqr5B-SpfPjD8Au0tAD6zWFzrfGnpZa81ATFpJpZYrCaQ8e0B0Du8jZASIm9CnV50U-QDk3He1W5DGF2Aav6-c-PjdRwuJGtEUfM9ZX1YskH7Uqb5ZVh6MeIcr2nUtLsrHNLG5?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges. Data: The Block.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A decrease in BTC on centralized exchanges is often seen as a positive sign, suggesting long-term investors are moving coins to non-custodial wallets, reducing seller pressure.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXfqlVBoeSLAEyet_d1PagtbVM2cteGuKskQMbcHf63ZnUCaDeZC6HpiWB1pElQAbJRc22EqHgSifdWrdLw8aVlST5HBqvUu7jZT51LADBwcbrDJ4tb_TPI0marquFmW3Y40dukAFMk4XZzJCYDpJni1rb7c?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">BTC reserves on exchanges are at a multi-year low. Data: The Block.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>SynFutures co-founder Rachel Lin highlighted the derivatives market, pointing to bullish sentiments among traders.<\/p>\n<p>For Bitcoin, the highest <span data-descr=\"the sum of all open positions\" class=\"old_tooltip\">open interest<\/span> is in call options with a December expiration and a <span data-descr=\"strike price\" class=\"old_tooltip\">strike<\/span> of $100,000, she noted. The largest trading volume in the past 24 hours was recorded with options contracts expiring at the end of the month at $75,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Lin noted that the derivatives market for ETH also shows optimism: the highest open interest is in call options with a strike price of $4,000 in September, followed by contracts with a $6,000 strike in December.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>She pointed out a significant shortage of put options. In the top 10 by open interest for BTC and ETH, only call options are included.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tether Printing<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Adding to the positive factors is the issuance of USDT \u2014 Tether <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1826079364297142457\">printed<\/a> 3 billion tokens in a week. Since August 5 (when Bitcoin fell below $50,000, and altcoins also dropped significantly), 3.22 billion USDT has flowed to exchanges from the company&#8217;s treasury.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXcsBOnpeExXq8lz87u0dQzVf-tLbXuujVY8oDGR89jRmGMMRmLI84VogT333WCrVos6zYP0LZxMIOIlXk5frU1FfLgHagzwqlgi1QjR3fRMNNcZ5kq_VlMWye8_wMpZfmvIWospyiOPIsdQZZMV3TymZrk?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Movement of USDT from Tether&#8217;s treasury to exchanges. Data: Lookonchain.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fear and Greed Index<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index signals fear in the market \u2014 it has reached 34 points.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXcz7demvkO9dzpfEWG1nkDLn94TG3gEQTaLRMoDSlJvSW62KmTWeCPZaM6PCBsoUwgA2QATfq1DRMy2Fg8iM2SwQFV1JyjWENcKBC22icfjwMxuCisAD7ZWDwgD1rSrY46qJ2L3xyzRgqgAccxlm8REIJfN?key=G5Rvdll7UGt0Ga06ekhzvw\" alt=\"\u0421\u0432\u0435\u0436\u0435\u0435 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438: \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0430\u0443\u044d\u043b\u043b\u0430 \u0438 \u0441\u0438\u0433\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Fear dominates the market. Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/alternative.me\/crypto\/fear-and-greed-index\/\">alternative.me<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, this is above the level the metric reached on August 6 \u2014 when the index fell to 17 points amid a sharp deterioration in sentiment in the crypto market.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin options indicated trader optimism following the US elections, according to a Wintermute report.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, experts noted the presence of prerequisites for the resumption of Bitcoin&#8217;s bull run.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>During a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that &#8220;the time has come to lower the rate.&#8221; The pace of monetary policy easing will depend on economic indicators.\u00a0 The next meeting is scheduled for September 18. Market participants anticipate a rate cut of 0.25% with a probability of 67.5%, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16355,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1440,1145,1150,1268,1138],"class_list":["post-16356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-jerome-powell","tag-market-analysis","tag-news-plus","tag-on-chain-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"15","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16356\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16355"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}