{"id":16828,"date":"2024-09-10T10:40:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-10T07:40:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoin-volatility-poised-for-growth-amid-cpi-data-and-debates\/"},"modified":"2024-09-10T10:40:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T07:40:02","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-poised-for-growth-amid-cpi-data-and-debates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoin-volatility-poised-for-growth-amid-cpi-data-and-debates\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Volatility Poised for Growth Amid CPI Data and Debates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Implied volatilities of bitcoin options remain elevated. Traders anticipate significant price swings in light of the Trump-Harris debates and consumer inflation (CPI) data, according to QCP Capital.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/telegram.org\/js\/telegram-widget.js?22\" data-telegram-post=\"QCPbroadcast\/1315\" data-width=\"100%\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The events are scheduled for September 11 at 4:00 and 15:30 (Kyiv\/Moscow).<\/p>\n<p>Experts noted that until October, options market participants tend to take predominantly bearish positions. Optimists are forming longs targeting March 2025. Analysts recorded large purchases in calls with strikes at $85,000, $100,000, and $120,000.<\/p>\n<p>Experts also observed a rise in bullish bets with December expiration following bitcoin&#8217;s rebound from $52,500.<\/p>\n<p>Kaiko questioned whether the anticipated reduction in the key rate by the <span data-descr=\"Federal Reserve System of the USA\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span> would benefit risky assets. <\/p>\n<p>Analysts agreed with their colleagues at QCP regarding the prospects of significant price fluctuations in September, citing an increase in bitcoin&#8217;s historical volatility (30 <span data-descr=\"day moving average\" class=\"old_tooltip\">DMA<\/span>) to 70%. The figure is close to the March peak when quotes reached a new <span data-descr=\"all-time high\" class=\"old_tooltip\">ATH<\/span>, and seasonally it has always been lower at this time of year.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1198.webp\" alt=\"1-1198\" class=\"wp-image-240753\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: Kaiko.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-descr=\"implied volatility\" class=\"old_tooltip\">IV<\/span> in contracts maturing on September 13 jumped from 52% to 61%, exceeding the values of options at the end of the month. <\/p>\n<p>Typically, when short-term implied volatility exceeds long-term metrics, it indicates increased market tension and serves as a signal to reduce risk in positions, specialists reminded.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-888.webp\" alt=\"2-888\" class=\"wp-image-240754\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: Kaiko.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>By the end of the year, bitcoin could reach $90,000 if Donald Trump wins the US presidential election or fall to $30,000 if Kamala Harris becomes the next head of the White House, according to Bernstein.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, analyst and MN Trading founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe predicted &#8220;final corrections&#8221; before a bull run.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Implied volatilities of bitcoin options remain elevated. Traders anticipate significant price swings in light of the Trump-Harris debates and consumer inflation (CPI) data, according to QCP Capital. The events are scheduled for September 11 at 4:00 and 15:30 (Kyiv\/Moscow). Experts noted that until October, options market participants tend to take predominantly bearish positions. Optimists are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16827,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1146,1261,1224,1145,842,1326],"class_list":["post-16828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-kaiko","tag-macroeconomics","tag-market-analysis","tag-politics","tag-qcp-capital"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"16","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16828\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}