{"id":19765,"date":"2024-12-20T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/beyond-the-wild-west-why-vcs-are-leaving-crypto-and-crypto-is-leaving-vcs\/"},"modified":"2024-12-20T17:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T15:00:00","slug":"beyond-the-wild-west-why-vcs-are-leaving-crypto-and-crypto-is-leaving-vcs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/beyond-the-wild-west-why-vcs-are-leaving-crypto-and-crypto-is-leaving-vcs\/","title":{"rendered":"Beyond the Wild West: why VCs are leaving crypto\u2014and crypto is leaving VCs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the year now ending, analysts observed a marked rollback in venture funding for cryptocurrency projects to levels reminiscent of 2017. There is, however, a silver lining: some initiatives are trying to revive a spirit of independence from <span data-descr=\"Venture capitalism\" class=\"old_tooltip\">VC<\/span>\u2014at least in their declarations.<\/p>\n<p>Oleg Cash Coin explains why for ForkLog readers. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Not so long ago<\/h2>\n<p>The investment landscape in 2024 differed little from the previous year, save for the last three months, when venture activity multiplied. From October the mood changed, though in terms of capital raised from the VC segment the market still lags far behind 2021\u20132022.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXfV3gxeIhAMoXNwwQmf1GDBm_iVPFHmUqsOq6My5tRj39J-iNmB7Pf43Uu0eN-m-7SyPevLZSjSqp2qgDPZLn4F-pB2phLyydpwiYPN0m1s6dbGrmMqC_WPkQvaKaEupYNlv62nHA?key=Sh2mUV-Jp55LWqO8Z36iFCEm\" alt=\"\u041c\u0438\u0440 \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0414\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0417\u0430\u043f\u0430\u0434\u0430. \u041a\u0430\u043a VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b \u0443\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0442 \u0438\u0437 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u044b, \u0430 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u0430 \u2014 \u043e\u0442 VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u0414\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptorank.io\/ru\/ico-analytics\">CryptoRank<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The chart shows clearly the diminished role of venture firms. According to Galaxy\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.galaxy.com\/insights\/research\/crypto-blockchain-venture-capital-q3-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">data<\/a>, the median size of new crypto funds fell to its lowest since 2017\u2014$40m.<\/p>\n<p>With 2024 drawing to a close, it is set to be the weakest fundraising year since 2020. Only about 40 new funds raised $1.95bn, well below the frenzy of 2021\u20132022. Notably, the largest share of capital went to companies and projects founded in 2021 and 2022. By comparison, in the lacklustre 2023 those figures were reached in Q3 alone.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Dannye-Galaxy.-111-1024x488.png\" alt=\"Dannye-Galaxy.-111\" class=\"wp-image-248322\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Dannye-Galaxy.-111-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Dannye-Galaxy.-111-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Dannye-Galaxy.-111-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Dannye-Galaxy.-111.png 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u0414\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435: Galaxy.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In previous bull cycles there was a steady correlation between the volume of venture investment and rising crypto prices. Over the past two years that link has weakened: a stronger market has not lifted the VC segment as it did before. Several factors may explain this.<\/p>\n<p>As the United States remains the dominant venue for capital allocation, regulatory uncertainty after FTX\u2019s collapse, alongside broader access to exchange-traded products, may have caused a bottleneck.<\/p>\n<p>Today many find it safer to enter crypto via shares of public blockchain firms and crypto funds or ETFs; the market offers ample liquidity.<\/p>\n<p>Private projects and startups may have receded into the past for large pools of capital. The \u201cWild West of ICOs\u201d likely moved into the respectable offices of specialist funds and the corporate arms of big crypto companies.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Users to blame<\/h2>\n<p>The slide in the number and size of deals coincided with the rise of high-FDV tokens with scant circulating supply.<\/p>\n<p>Binance Research\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/public.bnbstatic.com\/static\/files\/research\/low-float-and-high-fdv-how-did-we-get-here.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">report<\/a> shows how the trend toward \u201csensible\u201d tokenomics started to fade right after FTX\u2019s collapse. This may reflect reduced competition in token issuance in 2022\u20132024 compared with the previous bull cycle.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXdLCSubRSYZPUiVabB7yweSwC1GjnbuIgd98PvWDWAxxskBk2TGxdmGkoLgMAwjzCu8Mz0xCiTyz1IQoFTx2O9gaUdqT6lfNkE4TjSQxoJVb3OkFnJ667mjl3LazU9attXXNltb?key=Sh2mUV-Jp55LWqO8Z36iFCEm\" alt=\"\u041c\u0438\u0440 \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0414\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0417\u0430\u043f\u0430\u0434\u0430. \u041a\u0430\u043a VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b \u0443\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0442 \u0438\u0437 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u044b, \u0430 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u0430 \u2014 \u043e\u0442 VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u0414\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435: CryptoRank, Binance.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Plainly, tokenomics in which 95% or more of a project\u2019s tokens unlock in later years weighs on prices. <\/p>\n<p>Investors quickly concluded such projects lack long-term prospects. Lately they seem to prefer those with the highest possible <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/dyor-what-it-is-and-why-it-matters-to-crypto-investors\">MC\/FDV<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>By that measure, memes typically lead. Their MC\/FDV is almost always 1, removing the risk of post-unlock selling by early investors who bought in private rounds at prices many times below market. Meme coins have returned to ordinary users the chance to compete on equal terms, even with modest means.<\/p>\n<p>The trend has been embraced by venture investors and entire companies, which in 2024 set up specialised units to invest in meme coins. Binance, Avalanche, TRON and TON all launched such efforts. So did traditional organisations. <\/p>\n<p>Bitwise\u2019s chief investment officer Matt Hougan voiced open support for such products:  <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u00abI would prefer that meme coins be invested in via ETFs, rather than through FTX\u00bb.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Indeed: why buy high-risk assets with a payoff measured in years when one can enter the meme-coin market and see returns in a month\u2014or even a week?<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Where the money is going<\/h2>\n<p>One revelation of 2024 was the Bitcoin ecosystem, which began experimenting with DeFi. According to <a href=\"https:\/\/defillama.com\/raises?chain=Bitcoin&#038;investor=All\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">data<\/a> from DeFi Llama, roughly 30 such startups raised about $650m\u2014over 60% of what investors provided in 2022 and 2023. <\/p>\n<p>Outside Bitcoin, venture capital has been most active in AI and developer tooling; in the second half of 2024 these categories together accounted for more than 50% of investments.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXeMiw6_JmaxrESQOB2uh2lWl-8OKo3pMbpetf7oNjt7iPvkAmjtJ-fYwMXqNydHgdH5usSorXrpAuxGAOmVt-_e3BoXUD-VGgNwkWO8cfpDGzWMGPBB2xD9SgkMGIaZM1jhn0fx?key=Sh2mUV-Jp55LWqO8Z36iFCEm\" alt=\"\u041c\u0438\u0440 \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0414\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0417\u0430\u043f\u0430\u0434\u0430. \u041a\u0430\u043a VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b \u0443\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0442 \u0438\u0437 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u044b, \u0430 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0442\u0430 \u2014 \u043e\u0442 VC-\u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432\u00a0\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u0414\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435: CryptoRank.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>CryptoRank\u2019s figures are echoed by Galaxy analysts, who recorded a fivefold jump in AI investment in Q3 2024. <\/p>\n<p>It seems few large firms now lack AI applications in their investment plans. Some of them, like Coinbase Ventures, <a href=\"https:\/\/paragraph.xyz\/@cbventures\/demystifying-the-crypto-x-ai-stack\">bet<\/a> on infrastructure projects; others, such as VanEck and a16z, foresee the rise of AI agents and their evolution into economic actors\u2014naturally bringing million-dollar profits to beneficiaries. <\/p>\n<p>Even so, 2024 saw the return of community projects striving to do without VC. Setting memes aside, a notable late-year event was the launch of Hyperliquid\u2019s token (HYPE), which became the largest airdrop in crypto history. <\/p>\n<p>Needless to say, no venture firm was publicly involved. The team <a href=\"https:\/\/hyperliquid.gitbook.io\/hyperliquid-docs\/about-hyperliquid\/core-contributors\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">states<\/a>: <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u00abHyperliquid Labs is self-funded and does not raise external capital\u00bb.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The project chose an unusual path for 2024, releasing about 30% of tokens from the maximum supply at the <span data-descr=\"Token Generation Event \u2014 the event of token issuance and distribution\" class=\"old_tooltip\">TGE<\/span>. <\/p>\n<p>In short, the crypto market\u2014especially in 2024\u2014has tilted toward highly liquid, regulated investment avenues. And token success has increasingly been defined by limited public VC involvement at the earliest stages.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the year now ending, analysts observed a marked rollback in venture funding for cryptocurrency projects to levels reminiscent of 2017. There is, however, a silver lining: some initiatives are trying to revive a spirit of independence from VC\u2014at least in their declarations. Oleg Cash Coin explains why for ForkLog readers. Not so long ago [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1144],"tags":[1285,1145,1133],"class_list":["post-19765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-longreads","tag-funds","tag-market-analysis","tag-venture-investments"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"8","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19765"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19765\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}