{"id":20748,"date":"2025-01-29T13:50:05","date_gmt":"2025-01-29T11:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/expert-assesses-bitcoins-chances-of-falling-below-75000\/"},"modified":"2025-01-29T13:50:05","modified_gmt":"2025-01-29T11:50:05","slug":"expert-assesses-bitcoins-chances-of-falling-below-75000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/expert-assesses-bitcoins-chances-of-falling-below-75000\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Assesses Bitcoin&#8217;s Chances of Falling Below $75,000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recent pullback in Bitcoin has increased the likelihood of its further decline to $75,000 in the first quarter of the year, though the probability remains below 10%. This assessment was provided by Derive, reports <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-75k-probability-low-chances-q1-2025-crypto-analyst\">Cointelegraph<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Experts estimated the probability at 9.2%. Before testing the psychological mark of $100,000, it was 7.2%.<\/p>\n<p>The analysts&#8217; calculations are based on the implied volatility of <span data-descr=\"at the money - option 'at the money' or 'on the money'\" class=\"old_tooltip\">ATM<\/span> options. The increase in the metric from 52% to 76% indicates a growing demand for puts &#8220;to hedge against downside risk.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The last time digital gold was valued at $75,000 was three days after <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/donald-trump-becomes-47th-president-of-the-united-states-implications-for-the-crypto-industry\">Donald Trump&#8217;s<\/a> victory in the U.S. presidential election.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinex-alpha\/bitfinex-alpha-btc-to-consolidate-as-volatility-drops\/\">Bitfinex<\/a>, the price of the leading cryptocurrency has &#8220;increasingly reflected macroeconomic parameters&#8221; and &#8220;the influence of the broader landscape of risk assets.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, CoinDesk pointed to the risks of a &#8220;double top&#8221; forming in Bitcoin with a target of $75,000.<\/p>\n<p>Back in a previous report, cryptocurrency derivatives trader Gordon Grant noted the resilience of digital gold&#8217;s price amid a correction triggered by China&#8217;s new AI model, DeepSeek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent pullback in Bitcoin has increased the likelihood of its further decline to $75,000 in the first quarter of the year, though the probability remains below 10%. This assessment was provided by Derive, reports Cointelegraph. Experts estimated the probability at 9.2%. Before testing the psychological mark of $100,000, it was 7.2%. The analysts&#8217; calculations [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20747,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1184,1168,1146,1145],"class_list":["post-20748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitfarms","tag-crypto-derivatives","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-market-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"31","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20748"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20748\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20747"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}