{"id":23745,"date":"2025-05-07T15:18:54","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T12:18:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/cryptoquant-identifies-bitcoins-entry-into-a-caution-zone\/"},"modified":"2025-05-07T15:18:54","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T12:18:54","slug":"cryptoquant-identifies-bitcoins-entry-into-a-caution-zone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/cryptoquant-identifies-bitcoins-entry-into-a-caution-zone\/","title":{"rendered":"CryptoQuant Identifies Bitcoin&#8217;s Entry into a Caution Zone"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The current trend of net realised profit for the leading cryptocurrency does not suggest the formation of a macro peak, but it does indicate entry into a &#8220;caution zone,&#8221; according to <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/681b38fa342e5f71654444ea-Investors-Are-Taking-Profits-Aggressively-%E2%80%94-Are-We-Approaching-a-Local-Top\">CryptoQuant<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1546.webp\" alt=\"1-1546\" class=\"wp-image-258224\" style=\"width:841px;height:auto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Experts urge monitoring changes in the metric:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>consistent realised profit \u2014 increases the risk of a correction;<\/li>\n<li>decrease in profit-taking \u2014 the first signal of a cycle transition.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Analysts believe that in the short term, increased volatility can be expected.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, Bitcoin&#8217;s net realised profit\/loss (7 <span data-descr=\"day moving average \" class=\"old_tooltip\">DMA<\/span>) has remained positive since the beginning of 2024, reaching $1 billion per day.<\/p>\n<p>According to experts&#8217; observations, even after the recovery of quotes following the decline in March-April 2025, users are &#8220;unloading&#8221; portfolios, locking in gains, albeit at a slower pace compared to November-December 2024.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;This historically corresponds to late-stage bull market behaviour. During this period, profit realisation predominates, even as the price continues to rise,&#8221;<\/em> the commentary states.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In the past, such a phase often preceded a local peak or sharp correction, especially when the pace of closing positions in profit remained high and steady.<\/p>\n<p>Since the launch of spot ETFs in January 2024, the market structure has changed, but investor psychology has not, analysts emphasised.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, Glassnode<a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/glassnode-highlights-potential-sell-off-risks-as-bitcoin-approaches-100000\"> noted<\/a> the risks of a sell-off as Bitcoin approaches $100,000.<\/p>\n<p>Back in Standard Chartered, they urged buying the leading cryptocurrency and forecasted its price increase <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/standard-chartered-urges-bitcoin-investment\">to $120,000<\/a> in the second quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The current trend of net realised profit for the leading cryptocurrency does not suggest the formation of a macro peak, but it does indicate entry into a &#8220;caution zone,&#8221; according to CryptoQuant. Source: CryptoQuant. Experts urge monitoring changes in the metric: consistent realised profit \u2014 increases the risk of a correction; decrease in profit-taking \u2014 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1146,1205,1268],"class_list":["post-23745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-cryptoquant","tag-on-chain-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"148","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23745"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23745\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}