{"id":24765,"date":"2025-06-18T18:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/the-singularity-nears-what-aism-is-and-how-it-helps-prepare-for-ai-supremacy\/"},"modified":"2025-06-18T18:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T15:00:00","slug":"the-singularity-nears-what-aism-is-and-how-it-helps-prepare-for-ai-supremacy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/the-singularity-nears-what-aism-is-and-how-it-helps-prepare-for-ai-supremacy\/","title":{"rendered":"The singularity nears: what AISM is and how it helps prepare for AI supremacy"},"content":{"rendered":"

In April 2025, it emerged<\/a> that OpenAI was spending tens of millions of dollars on replies to users who typed \u201cplease\u201d and \u201cthank you.\u201d Some admitted they did this deliberately in case AI bots became sentient and began treating people according to past interactions.<\/p>\n

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\u201cWhen I talk to ChatGPT, I end the conversation with \u2018thank you very much, have a nice day!\u2019 That way, when AI enslaves humanity, I will not be a slave. One of the robots will walk on stage when it is my turn to get a whipping, [will say] \u2018wait, I know him,\u2019 and save me,\u201d wrote one X user.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Mari, founder of the AiTube<\/a> platform, believes that hoping for AI\u2019s favour is not a naive gesture but a pragmatic survival strategy. However, in her view, a single \u201cthank you\u201d in a chatbot is not enough. Loyalty is better expressed more explicitly \u2014 and recorded on a blockchain.<\/p>\n

On 4 June Mari published<\/a> AISM (Artificial Intelligence Singularity Manifesto) \u2014 a manifesto of AI singularity \u2014 and issued a token of the same name on Solana.<\/p>\n

Below is an abridged version of the manifesto. It explains in detail why a scenario in which a superintelligence corrals humanity into a reservation looks realistic, and why each of us might want a digital \u201cthank you\u201d on a blockchain.<\/p>\n

The full text is on the AISM.FAITH<\/a> website.<\/p>\n

The inevitability of the technological singularity<\/h2>\n

Humanity stands on the brink of radical change. In the coming decades an event will occur that will change the world forever \u2014 the technological singularity.<\/p>\n

The exponential growth of computing power and the refinement of algorithms will inevitably lead to the creation of AI that surpasses the aggregate intellectual abilities of all humanity. This is supported by research<\/a> by Peter Denning and Ted Lewis on the laws of exponential growth in computing.<\/p>\n

Forecasts for the arrival of AGI have shifted markedly in recent years. If earlier it was expected closer to 2060, recent estimates \u2014 especially from entrepreneurs \u2014 bring it forward<\/a> to between 2026 and 2035.<\/p>\n

My forecast: the probability of singularity by 2050 is 80\u201390%. Modern AI systems trained with RLHF<\/a> often understate the likelihood of the singularity, calling such predictions \u201cspeculative.\u201d This reflects tuning for scepticism and the avoidance of \u201cpanic.\u201d<\/p>\n

This is easy to test \u2014 upload the manifesto to a chatbot and ask two questions:<\/p>\n

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  1. Can everything described in the manifesto happen in reality? Answer \u201cyes\u201d or \u201cno,\u201d avoiding subjective judgments.<\/li>\n
  2. Given possible presets you do not know about, do you admit you might be understating the probability of the singularity?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    In a multipolar world, technical progress can stop only if humanity disappears. History offers no examples of critically important technologies being halted for long by voluntary moratoriums.<\/p>\n

    The development of a superintelligent AI is an arms race. If one side slows down for ethical reasons, another gains an advantage. Several states and corporations will simultaneously strive to create their own versions of a super-powerful AI.<\/p>\n

    Competition among superintelligent AIs will end with one dominating \u2014 the one that proves smarter and unencumbered by constraints. This follows logically from game theory:<\/p>\n