{"id":26096,"date":"2025-08-14T17:43:38","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T14:43:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-warn-of-risks-for-ethereum-holders\/"},"modified":"2025-08-14T17:43:38","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T14:43:38","slug":"analysts-warn-of-risks-for-ethereum-holders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-warn-of-risks-for-ethereum-holders\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts warn of risks for Ethereum holders"},"content":{"rendered":"

The second-largest cryptocurrency\u2019s rise above $4700 rests on expectations of a rate cut by the Fed<\/span> in September. Analysts warned that if the central bank fails to deliver, the price could tumble, reports Cointelegraph<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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\u201cThe main issue is that the market move is based on the assumption of a Fed rate cut next month,\u201d said Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

At the time of writing, Ethereum trades at $4546. Its price is within 6% of the all-time high of $4878, according to CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Market participants put the probability of a September rate cut at 94.6%.<\/p>\n

\"\u0410\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438
Source: CME FedWatch Tool<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
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\u201cIt looks like the price is priced for perfection. At such times you need to be especially careful,\u201d Hundal added, pointing to inflows into spot <\/em>ETH<\/em> ETFs and stable funding rates.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards also believes the price of the second-largest cryptocurrency will keep rising. However, he agrees that an unexpected Fed decision could affect the market. In his words, it could \u201cscare liquidity, when capital just freezes and flows stop.\u201d<\/p>\n

Edwards suggested that Ethereum will likely \u201cquite easily double\u201d in the coming months if bitcoin reaches $150,000\u2013$200,000.<\/p>\n

Not all experts are convinced a cut is coming. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist Ellen Zentner noted<\/a> that Fed officials could \u201crein in\u201d market expectations if they judge them to be misguided.<\/p>\n

Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank president Jeff Schmid also considers<\/a> the current monetary policy \u201cappropriate for now.\u201d<\/p>\n

ICO whales take profits<\/h2>\n

One early Ethereum investor moved 1060 ETH (~$5.1 million) to the Kraken exchange. According to Arkham<\/a>, this was the fourth such transaction in the past four days.<\/p>\n

Earlier, from an address beginning with 0x815, the exchange received tranches of 2000 ETH ($8.6 million), 1162 ETH ($5.2 million) and 1121 ETH ($5.2 million). Total deposits for the week reached $24.1 million.<\/p>\n

Arkham data show the wallet still holds 4657 ETH worth $21.12 million. Transfers to exchange addresses often point to an intention to sell.<\/p>\n

According to Onchain Lens, this participant received 100,000 ETH during the ICO, paying $31,100.<\/p>\n

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An #Ethereum<\/a> ICO participant has deposited 2,000 $ETH<\/a>, worth $8.55M, into #Kraken<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The whale initially received 100,000 $ETH<\/a> for $31,100 at the time of the ICO.<\/p>\n

The whale still holds 58,000 $ETH<\/a>, worth $247.86M in multiple wallets.<\/p>\n

Deposit Address:\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/nu90RGpWUX<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens) August 11, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n