{"id":45668,"date":"2025-09-01T12:18:33","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T09:18:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=45668"},"modified":"2025-09-01T12:21:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T09:21:58","slug":"analyst-flags-bitcoins-dual-nature","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-flags-bitcoins-dual-nature\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst flags bitcoin\u2019s \u2018dual nature\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At different times, bitcoin is treated either as a haven or as a risk asset. That \u201csplit personality\u201d was highlighted by IG Market analyst Tony Sycamore, writes <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-split-personality-gold-new-record-analyst\">Cointelegraph<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On September 1 the asset\u2019s price fell to $107,290, the lowest since early July. At the same time, gold notched a record high of $3,485 per ounce.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-1024x551.png\" alt=\"\u0421\u043d\u0438\u043c\u043e\u043a \u044d\u043a\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 2025-09-01 \u0432 12.14.43\" class=\"wp-image-264809\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-1024x551.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-768x413.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-1536x826.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-01-v-12.14.43-2048x1101.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Gold price chart. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/goldprice.org\/gold-price-chart.html\">GoldPrice<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The precious metal\u2019s rise followed a <a href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/115126384708348116\">post<\/a> on Truth Social by U.S. president Donald Trump about a \u201csignificant decline\u201d in inflation.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cPrices in the U.S. have \u2018fallen significantly,\u2019 there is virtually no inflation. Except for the ridiculous, politician-approved \u2018windmills\u2019 that are destroying every state and country where they are used, energy prices are falling \u2018very strongly.\u2019 Gasoline has hit multi-year lows. And this is despite the magnificent tariffs that bring in trillions of dollars from countries that have been living off us for decades, and are once again making America strong and respected,\u201d he wrote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>For two and a half years gold, bitcoin and the Nasdaq moved closely together. In recent weeks the link between the cryptocurrency and the metal has broken.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThat is not unusual over short periods and reflects bitcoin\u2019s dual nature. At times it is seen as a store of value or a safe asset, and at others as risky,\u201d Sycamore noted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Vince Yan, co-founder of L2 platform zkLink, stressed that in 2025 the correlation between gold and bitcoin was low and at times negative. In his view, the metal remains a traditional haven, while the cryptocurrency depends more on market liquidity and investor sentiment.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cEssentially, they balance each other rather than move in parallel,\u201d he added.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Sycamore thinks the correlation could return if a Trump administration stimulates an overheating economy and the <span data-descr=\"U.S. Federal Reserve System\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span> starts cutting rates amid persistent inflation. In that scenario, the cryptocurrency and the metal would both get a lift.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe only question is where bitcoin finds support,\u201d the expert said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other views\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Bloomberg senior analyst Mike McGlone doubts the correlation between bitcoin and gold will return. He says the metal will likely keep outperforming the first cryptocurrency, \u201cespecially if the U.S. stock market weakens.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">$100,000 Bitcoin Has Fueled Gold; How Enduring?<br \/>It&#39;s been about 10 months since Bitcoin first closed above $100,000, and the decisive winner has been gold. Will the trend reverse? History suggests the rock is poised to keep outperforming, particularly if the US stock market\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RPj7KuNMpR\">pic.twitter.com\/RPj7KuNMpR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikemcglone11\/status\/1961802845864276426?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 30, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Andr\u00e9 Dragosch, head of European research at Bitwise, explained that bitcoin and gold behave differently depending on where market problems lie, helping investors see where risks point.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Simple rule-of-thumb to interpret BTC &amp; Gold moves:<\/p>\n<p>Gold still tends to be the better hedge against equity downside risks while BTC is the better hedge against US Treasury\/bond downside risks. <\/p>\n<p>So, Gold \u2b06\ufe0f &amp; BTC \u2b07\ufe0f: <\/p>\n<p>~higher equity risks but lower bond risks. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JuCgKGqG5X\">https:\/\/t.co\/JuCgKGqG5X<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Andr\u00e9 Dragosch, PhD\u26a1 (@Andre_Dragosch) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Andre_Dragosch\/status\/1962014588213367081?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 31, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cGold still tends to be the better hedge against equity downside risks, while bitcoin better hedges U.S. Treasury\/bond downside risks,\u201d he wrote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>JPMorgan analysts called the cryptocurrency \u201cundervalued\u201d relative to the metal, reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/368653\/jpmorgan-says-current-bitcoin-price-too-low-sees-upside-to-126000-by-year-end\">The Block<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/jpm-btc-1024x650.png\" alt=\"jpm-btc\" class=\"wp-image-264810\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/jpm-btc-1024x650.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/jpm-btc-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/jpm-btc-768x487.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/jpm-btc.png 1504w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: The Block.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The ratio of digital gold\u2019s volatility to the physical metal\u2019s has fallen to 2.0 \u2014 the lowest on record. A surge in activity from corporate treasuries played a key role.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This implies bitcoin requires more risk capital than gold. For the cryptocurrency to match private investment in the metal, its market value would have to rise by 13%, taking the price to about $126,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin criticism\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Economist Peter Schiff also commented on gold\u2019s new record, criticising bitcoin.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold closed at an all-time record high. If Bitcoin is digital gold, why is it more than 13% below its record high? Also, with all the hype, U.S. government support, and corporate buying, why is Bitcoin still 13% lower today than it was at its Nov. 2021 peak when priced in gold?<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterSchiff\/status\/1962126754765586489?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 31, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cIf bitcoin is digital gold, why is it more than 13% below its record high?\u201d he wrote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The community criticised Schiff in response.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cPeter, gold reached its all-time high over 5,000 years of existence. Bitcoin is under 17 years old, it has already absorbed trillions of dollars in liquidity, survived three 80% drawdowns, shrugged off bans in China, the FTX collapse and attacks from governments\u2026 and yet its market cap is $2.1 trillion,\u201d \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/shanaka86\/status\/1962128729276375166\">noted<\/a> one user.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In late August, 10x Research analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/10x-research-bitcoins-rise-to-200000-highly-unlikely\">said<\/a> the odds of bitcoin rising to $200,000 are \u201cextremely low.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At times bitcoin is a haven, at others a risk asset, said IG Market analyst Tony Sycamore.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45669,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Gold hit a record as bitcoin slid to $107,290","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,536],"class_list":["post-45668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-gold"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"149","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Gold hit a record as bitcoin slid to $107,290","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45668","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45668"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45668\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45670,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45668\/revisions\/45670"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}