{"id":45905,"date":"2025-09-01T13:38:48","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T10:38:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=45905"},"modified":"2025-09-01T13:40:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T10:40:48","slug":"analysts-detect-death-cross-on-bitcoin-chart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-detect-death-cross-on-bitcoin-chart\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Detect &#8216;Death Cross&#8217; on Bitcoin Chart"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The on-chain indicator MVRV has formed a <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/cross-purposes-which-on%e2%80%91chain-indicators-work-and-which-do-not\">\u201cdeath cross\u201d<\/a>, potentially indicating a weakening of the upward momentum of the leading cryptocurrency. This was reported by CryptoQuant analyst Yonsei_dent.<\/p>\n<p>According to him, there was a clear crossover of the 30-day and 365-day moving averages of the metric. The last time the indicator showed such a bearish movement was at the peak of the 2021 cycle, followed by a 77% decline\u2014from $69,000 to $15,500 in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst Ali Martinez agreed that the MVRV \u201cdeath cross\u201d signals a macro momentum shift from positive to negative.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A recent death cross in the Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> MVRV Momentum indicator signals a macro momentum reversal from positive to negative. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/m0FCqOMD3v\">pic.twitter.com\/m0FCqOMD3v<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ali (@ali_charts) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1960839757522722912?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 27, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Not All Indicators Point to a Decline<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the bearish signal, other on-chain indicators suggest that Bitcoin&#8217;s rally is not yet overheated.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, the MVRV Z-Score indicator remains significantly below levels historically associated with market tops. This metric shows the difference between the market and realized value of the asset.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cWhen it is high (red zone), people are sitting on huge profits and usually sell. When low (green zone), users are at a loss, and smart money buys,\u201d explained analyst Stockmoney Lizards.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> MVRV Z-Score \u2014 in my opinion the most important on-chain metric \u2014 tells us the true story of where we are in the BTC cycle. <\/p>\n<p>MVRV shows the difference between Bitcoin&#8217;s market cap and what people actually paid for their coins (realized cap). The Z-Score normalizes\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vpntAXyetY\">pic.twitter.com\/vpntAXyetY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Stockmoney Lizards (@StockmoneyL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StockmoneyL\/status\/1960355923114795507?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Historically, market macro peaks coincided with an MVRV Z-Score value ranging from 7 to 9. Currently, the indicator is around 2.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cWe haven&#8217;t even approached the danger zone yet. People don&#8217;t have such huge unrealized profits as at previous peaks. This suggests we have room for growth,\u201d added the expert.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">40% Correction and Rise to $500,000<\/h2>\n<p>SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci predicted a potential 40% drop in Bitcoin&#8217;s price before reaching $500,000. In his view, such volatility is an integral part of the cryptocurrency market.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2woKIGzC0Sg?si=vnKRDCKJarT1uAB_\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Despite the warning of a correction, Scaramucci remains optimistic. He expects the price of the leading cryptocurrency to reach half a million dollars within the next five to six years.<\/p>\n<p>He urged investors to hold their assets and not repeat his past mistakes.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cIf you have a great asset, and I consider Bitcoin to be one, hold it. I sold Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia shares. [\u2026] The mistakes I&#8217;ve made in my career are selling great assets too early. Learn from my 37 years on Wall Street, learn from my mistakes,\u201d stated Scaramucci.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin Whale Continues Converting<\/h2>\n<p>An early Bitcoin investor sold 2,000 BTC and used the proceeds to purchase 48,942 ETH. The transactions, conducted on the spot market, totaled $215 million. Analysts at Lookonchain noted this activity.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">This Bitcoin OG has sold another 2,000 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>($215M) and bought 48,942 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> ($215M) spot over the past 4 hours.<\/p>\n<p>In total, he has bought 886,371 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a>($4.07B).<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qtQdgPt2CQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/qtQdgPt2CQ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ymvyHyirFo\">pic.twitter.com\/ymvyHyirFo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lookonchain (@lookonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1962385957807849581?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>With the latest transaction, the investor has purchased a total of 886,371 ETH worth $4.07 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Demand for Ethereum remains high despite the price correction. Analyst crypto sunmoon noted this, pointing out that Bitcoin reserves on Binance remain stable.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ETH Maintains Strong Interest Despite Correction<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDivergence suggests stronger demand for Ethereum compared to Bitcoin, indicating that market participants are actively accumulating ETH even during the current price consolidation.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/t0_god?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@t0_god<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Link \u2935\ufe0f<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JqFHkSeEAO\">https:\/\/t.co\/JqFHkSeEAO<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rcQ1jVcIum\">pic.twitter.com\/rcQ1jVcIum<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1962427959530471745?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>At the same time, Ethereum reserves show a steady downward trend.<\/p>\n<p>According to the expert, the divergence indicates stronger interest in Ethereum compared to the leading cryptocurrency. Market participants are actively accumulating ETH during the price consolidation period.<\/p>\n<p>Back in August, analysts at 10x Research <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/10x-research-bitcoins-rise-to-200000-highly-unlikely\">stated<\/a> that the likelihood of digital gold rising to $200,000 is \u201cextremely low.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Later, IG Market analyst Tony Sycamore <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-flags-bitcoins-dual-nature\">pointed out<\/a> the \u201cdual nature\u201d of the leading cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The MVRV indicator has formed a &#8216;death cross&#8217;, potentially indicating a weakening of the leading cryptocurrency&#8217;s upward momentum, reported analyst Yonsei_dent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45906,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"MVRV forms 'death cross', hinting at Bitcoin's momentum shift, says analyst.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1268,1138],"class_list":["post-45905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-on-chain-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"251","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"MVRV forms 'death cross', hinting at Bitcoin's momentum shift, says analyst.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45905"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45905\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45908,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45905\/revisions\/45908"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45906"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}