{"id":58099,"date":"2025-09-04T14:55:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T11:55:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=58099"},"modified":"2025-09-04T15:01:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T12:01:10","slug":"analyst-predicts-potential-bitcoin-bear-market-in-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-predicts-potential-bitcoin-bear-market-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Predicts Potential Bitcoin Bear Market in October"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By early 2026, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could drop to $50,000, according to Joao Wedson, founder of the analytical platform Alphractal. However, he does not rule out a short-term rise of the asset to $140,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Judgment Day for Bitcoin Approaches?<\/p>\n<p>Back in 2024, we pointed out that October 2025 could mark the completion of a fascinating Bitcoin fractal cycle. If true, this would signal the official closing of this phase in BTC\u2019s history.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, it would be reckless to assume that\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3dtekdPCFN\">https:\/\/t.co\/3dtekdPCFN<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZtndPv0vCm\">pic.twitter.com\/ZtndPv0vCm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1963243995804352669?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading 10.6% below its all-time high, <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-hits-a-record-above-124000\">reached<\/a> on August 14 at $124,128. At the time of writing, its price stands at $110,675.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"598\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-1024x598.png\" alt=\"\u0421\u043d\u0438\u043c\u043e\u043a \u044d\u043a\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 2025-09-04 \u0432 14.02.23\" class=\"wp-image-265108\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-1024x598.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-768x448.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-1536x897.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-04-v-14.02.23-2048x1195.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly chart of BTC\/USDT on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to Wedson, digital gold is approaching a moment that in the past coincided with the end of growth and the beginning of a prolonged decline.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cOf course, it would be reckless to assume that Bitcoin has just over a month left in this cycle based solely on my chart. Yet, I can&#8217;t shake the thought \u2014 this might be just enough for BTC to drop to $100,000 before soaring above $140,000 in the same period. Who dares to challenge such a scenario?\u201d the analyst wrote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He acknowledged that the current situation differs from past ones due to the influx of institutional investors and Bitcoin&#8217;s new status as a serious asset alongside stocks.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe main question is whether this model will remain reliable amid active speculation around ETFs and growing demand from major players,\u201d Wedson added.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The key risk is that a downturn in the crypto market could coincide with a recession in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The expert questioned the relevance of the classic four-year Bitcoin cycle theory under new conditions, noting the growing debate about its persistence.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cPersonally, I can&#8217;t wait to see if the new generation of crypto enthusiasts, who claim that <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-proposes-bitcoin-cycle-model-independent-of-halving\">the old patterns no longer work<\/a> and Bitcoin will now grow indefinitely, are right, or if 2025 will be the last gasp before a sharp correction \u2014 with a possible price drop below $50,000 in the 2026 bear market,\u201d he concluded.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Bitcoin Hold Above $100,000?\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Traders consider the $100,000 level a critical support point for Bitcoin. According to an analyst known as Killa, holding or breaking this mark will determine the future dynamics: setting new highs or deepening the correction.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">This 1 chart decides if <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> breaks below $100K or breaks to new ATH. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eP0mb027p6\">pic.twitter.com\/eP0mb027p6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/1963508864906666320?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>MN Capital founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe expressed a similar view.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Nothing really changed on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>, right?<\/p>\n<p>Resistance remains resistance, couldn&#8217;t break through it, similarly for the 20-Week EMA.<\/p>\n<p>If this isn&#8217;t breaking through, I would project we&#8217;re making a new low and that&#8217;s where you need to go max long <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Altcoins?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Altcoins<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Brace for impact. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/blakTlNwwr\">pic.twitter.com\/blakTlNwwr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1963518143009067056?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cResistance remains resistance \u2014 it couldn&#8217;t be broken, similarly with the 20-week EMA. If a breakthrough doesn&#8217;t occur, I predict a new low, and that&#8217;s where you need to go all-in on altcoins,\u201d he noted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Investor Ted Pillows <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\/status\/1963243080636600467\">expects<\/a> the first cryptocurrency to show negative dynamics in September. According to him, a \u201cpowerful rally\u201d will begin in the next quarter.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe final market peak will be reached in December 2025 or January 2026, just like in previous cycles,\u201d the expert added.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"950\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q-950x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q\" class=\"wp-image-265109\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q-950x1024.jpeg 950w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q-278x300.jpeg 278w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q-768x828.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q-1425x1536.jpeg 1425w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Gz6zsCJWEAA2Q1q.jpeg 1644w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: X.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Earlier in September, Frank Fetter from Capital Management <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-identifies-rare-bitcoin-price-bottom-signal\">identified<\/a> a rare signal of a Bitcoin price bottom.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By early 2026, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could drop to $50,000, according to Joao Wedson, founder of the analytical platform Alphractal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26216,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"However, he does not rule out a short-term rise of the asset to $140,000.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1145,1138],"class_list":["post-58099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"477","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"However, he does not rule out a short-term rise of the asset to $140,000.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58099"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58099\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":58100,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58099\/revisions\/58100"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26216"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}