{"id":73586,"date":"2023-02-03T19:56:06","date_gmt":"2023-02-03T17:56:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=73586"},"modified":"2025-09-09T14:55:53","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T11:55:53","slug":"report-on-chain-metrics-confirm-market-bottom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/report-on-chain-metrics-confirm-market-bottom\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: On-chain metrics confirm market bottom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On-chain indicators point to the market bottom, improved market sentiment, and preparation for a new Bitcoin rally. This comes from <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/january-in-numbers-liquidity-inflows-into-defi-rising-trading-volumes-and-hopes-for-a-bitcoin-rally-ahead\">ForkLog&#8217;s analytical report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The long-term RHODL Ratio indicator leaves the &#8216;green zone,&#8217; the most attractive for hodlers:<\/p>\n<figure class=\\\"wp-block-image size-large\\\"><img loading=\\\"lazy\\\" decoding=\\\"async\\\" width=\\\"1024\\\" height=\\\"533\\\" src=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/RHODL-Ratio-2-1-1024x533.png\\\" alt=\\\"RHODL-Ratio-2-1\\\" class=\\\"wp-image-197219\\\" srcset=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/RHODL-Ratio-2-1-1024x533.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/RHODL-Ratio-2-1-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/RHODL-Ratio-2-1-768x400.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/RHODL-Ratio-2-1.png 1065w\\\" sizes=\\\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\\\" \/><figcaption>RHODL Ratio indicator. Data: <a href=\\\"https:\/\/www.lookintobitcoin.com\/charts\/rhodl-ratio\/\\\">Look Into Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The previous attempt to exit deep oversold conditions occurred in November. It did not succeed due to the &#8216;black swan&#8217; \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/ftx-group-files-for-bankruptcy-sam-bankman-fried-resigns-as-ceo\">crash of FTX<\/a> \u2014 and the subsequent contagion of the market.<\/p>\n<p>The on-chain metric <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-the-mvrv-indicator\">MVRV Z-Score<\/a> gives a similar signal:<\/p>\n<figure class=\\\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\\\"><img loading=\\\"lazy\\\" decoding=\\\"async\\\" src=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/MVRV-Z-Score-6-1-1024x532.png\\\" alt=\\\"MVRV-Z-Score-6-1\\\" class=\\\"wp-image-197220\\\" width=\\\"840\\\" height=\\\"436\\\" srcset=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/MVRV-Z-Score-6-1-1024x532.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/MVRV-Z-Score-6-1-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/MVRV-Z-Score-6-1-768x399.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/MVRV-Z-Score-6-1.png 1076w\\\" sizes=\\\"auto, (max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\\\" \/><figcaption>Indicator MVRV Z-Score. Data: <a href=\\\"https:\/\/www.lookintobitcoin.com\/charts\/mvrv-zscore\/\\\">Look Into Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The indicator based on the ratio of realized to market capitalization also left the &#8216;green zone&#8217; in the second half of January. Historically, such events have always preceded the start of a bull market. <\/p>\n<p> The aSOPR indicator in mid last month finally surpassed the 1.0 threshold, from below which it had not risen since April of last year.<\/p>\n<figure class=\\\"wp-block-image size-large\\\"><img loading=\\\"lazy\\\" decoding=\\\"async\\\" width=\\\"1024\\\" height=\\\"429\\\" src=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/aSOPR-6-1-1024x429.png\\\" alt=\\\"aSOPR-6-1\\\" class=\\\"wp-image-197221\\\" srcset=\\\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/aSOPR-6-1-1024x429.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/aSOPR-6-1-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/aSOPR-6-1-768x321.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/aSOPR-6-1.png 1503w\\\" sizes=\\\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\\\" \/><figcaption>aSOPR indicator dynamics. Data: <a href=\\\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/metrics?a=BTC&#038;ema=0&#038;m=indicators.SoprAdjusted&#038;mAvg=7&#038;mMedian=0&#038;s=1611508149&#038;u=1674259200&#038;zoom=\\\">Glassnode<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Rising values of the metric signal improved market sentiment and also indicate sufficient demand to absorb selling pressure from profit-taking.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier Glassnode analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/glassnode-bitcoin-recovers-from-the-fallout-of-the-ftx-collapse\">concluded<\/a> that Bitcoin had recovered from the FTX collapse.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many on-chain indicators point to a market bottom, improving market sentiment, and readiness for a new Bitcoin rally.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":73587,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1741,1268,167],"class_list":["post-73586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-forklog-news","tag-on-chain-analysis","tag-research"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"16","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73586"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73586\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73588,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73586\/revisions\/73588"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}