{"id":8153,"date":"2020-02-14T20:45:42","date_gmt":"2020-02-14T18:45:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.media\/?p=8153"},"modified":"2020-02-17T21:21:10","modified_gmt":"2020-02-17T19:21:10","slug":"what-to-expect-from-blockchain-industry-in-2020-a-researchers-take","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/what-to-expect-from-blockchain-industry-in-2020-a-researchers-take\/","title":{"rendered":"What to Expect From Blockchain Industry in 2020: A Researchers\u2019 Take"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For many crypto investors and rookie traders, 2019 was a year of much despair and uncertainty. The year started with a sharp drop in Bitcoin\u2019s price, followed by a lengthy period of stagnation. The ICO fever, the once sacred cow of crypto, has all but died down. Several new blockchain projects popped up but ultimately offered no meaningful real-world use cases, neither they pushed the level of mass adoption.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But while some professed the dark age of blockchain technology, the actual industry analysts <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/en\/documents\/3913601\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">noted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that blockchain, as a technology, was only now emerging from its fledgling state.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These sentiments were voiced in the annual <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.r3.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/blockchain_2020_vision_shaping_enterprise_blockchain_adoption.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> recently issued by R3, the consortium of global financial institutions focused on researching blockchain tech. Many other analysts and research facilities across the industry, like <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dbresearch.com\/PROD\/RPS_EN-PROD\/PROD0000000000503196\/Imagine_2030.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deutsche Bank<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> or <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.deloitte.com\/content\/dam\/Deloitte\/se\/Documents\/risk\/DI_2019-global-blockchain-survey.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deloitte<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, echoed and reinforced these ideas, as well as offered some predictions for the general direction where the industry is going. In this feature, forklog.media sums up the global blockchain trends for 2020 as seen by the researchers.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Blockchain Tech Will Emerge From the \u201cTrenches of Deployment\u201d<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The grand takeaway from R3\u2019s 2020 report is the optimistic notion that the industry was not <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/93140eac-9cbb-11e9-9c06-a4640c9feebb\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">stagnating<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 2019 but rather was hard at work to deliver on the projects started in 2017\u201318.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cIt is primarily delivery, not disillusionment, that\u2019s the reason for the apparent slow-down in blockchain\/distributed ledger technology (DLT) activity. Those companies who were selling in 2017 (and for whom early engagements proved successful) have been busy building in 2018\/19, and we\u2019ll see the results in 2020, in terms of business value driven to end-users,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">states the R3 report.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Richard Brown <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/richardgendalbrown\/2020\/01\/09\/blockchains-troughs-of-disillusionment-are-really-the-trenches-of-deployment\/#35ccab255f65\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in his Forbes article, hinting at enterprise blockchain developers:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201c2019 was the year of build-out, deployment, and testing. And, as we enter 2020, the hard work is about to pay off.\u201d<\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deloitte <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.deloitte.com\/content\/dam\/Deloitte\/se\/Documents\/risk\/DI_2019-global-blockchain-survey.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">research<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> also registers the industry\u2019s gradual maturation:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cThe question for executives is no longer, &#8216;Will blockchain work?&#8217; but, &#8216;How can we make blockchain work for us?\u201d<\/i><\/b><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UX Improvements Will Be Key for Mass Adoption<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">R3 report slammed public blockchains for being too complex to accommodate businesses and unable to solve privacy concerns. It further explained that public blockchains are by design not fit to be enterprise solutions, as their in-built censorship resistance is inherently at odds with enterprise privacy requirements.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cBlockchain platforms continue to launch retroactive fixes that add significant complexity in an attempt to reverse engineer privacy controls into their transaction mechanisms when what the market really demands is elegance and simplicity,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">R3 report suggests.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UX woes in public blockchains have always been a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/appealing-to-normies-advancing-bitcoin-starts-with-better-ux\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">known<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> issue. Yet developers of public blockchains suggest that public blockchains have other tangibles advantages, which will be universally recognized at some point.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">8. Public blockchains have a genuine competitive advantage over both centralized servers and consortium chains in credibly signaling neutrality. Right now it seems like benefits like this might not be worth the costs of public chains, but that&#39;s just the public chains of today&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VitalikButerin\/status\/1072161771757088768?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 10, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Buterin also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VitalikButerin\/status\/1072164132571381760\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">noted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that \u201cnon-financial applications have a leg up over financial ones in one important sense: there is less at stake if they break, so fewer reasons to fear to deploy them fairly quickly. So they could be the first applications deployed widely, especially in institutional contexts.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deloitte <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.deloitte.com\/content\/dam\/Deloitte\/se\/Documents\/risk\/DI_2019-global-blockchain-survey.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">researchers<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> add that \u201cconsortia do not garner the same level of focus as such models as private and permissioned blockchains.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Interoperability Becomes the Next Big Issue\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Interoperability was another trending feature that was covered in the report. As the industry develops and blockchain businesses scale up, interoperability issues will come to the fore. R3 analysts believe that projects like their own will be best suited to lead the charge in that direction because the industry needs pragmatic, tailored for business solutions.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cIn 2020 as the creation and movement of digital assets increases, interoperability hype focused on moving assets across applications and ledgers will increase, but advanced projects will prioritize interoperability efforts based on integration with established business networks and systems. Platforms that have considered business logic and enterprise workflow as part of their original designs will be best placed to deliver on interoperability in the future,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">say R3 analysts.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This sentiment is supported by ConsenSys 2019 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/consensys.net\/research\/avoiding-blockchain-balkanization\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">research<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cCommercialization promotes competition and innovation, incentivizing developers and entrepreneurs to build systems that work best for their customers,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">note ConsenSys analysts. <\/span><\/i><b><i>\u201cAs pressure mounts for blockchain to deliver on its promise, we will find commercialization place more and more stress on blockchain to be market-ready, no matter what ideologies it has to sacrifice in the short term.\u201d<\/i><\/b><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the research, for these reasons, public open-source blockchains often overlook this issue and start without any built-in features that would support interoperability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, there are some blockchain projects that are specifically focused on interoperability, like Cosmos and Polkadot. Some of them may <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/no-power-vacuum-in-cosmos-what-founders-departure-entails\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">experience<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> certain problems, though.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We\u2019re Up for the Year of Regulated Digital Assets and CBDCs<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The report notably did not touch upon the slippery topic of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/gordon-einstein-the-fact-that-libra-stalled-reemphasizes-why-bitcoins-autonomy-is-so-important\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Libra<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and its 2019 tribulations. This was surprising as, while Libra had its problems, it did consolidate a lot of big names in finance and showed that corporations are very much prepared to endorse cryptocurrencies. And while regulators were savaging Libra, in its wake a number of countries showed rapidly growing interest in issuing their own blockchain-based digital currencies.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regulators do realize that fiat money is slowly fading away. As mentioned in the recent Deutsche Bank\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dbresearch.com\/PROD\/RPS_EN-PROD\/PROD0000000000503196\/Imagine_2030.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, growing inflation and reduction of means and will to keep it in check on the global level, raise many questions concerning fiat money\u2019s sustainability in the long run.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cThe forces that have held the current fiat system together now look fragile and they could unravel in the 2020s. If so, that will start to lead to a backlash against fiat money and demand for alternative currencies, such as gold or crypto could soar,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">states the Deutsche Bank report.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another takeaway from Deutsche Bank\u2019s report was that everyone seems to hate cash. While regulators are most concerned with AML hurdles, as cash is the most popular means of payment on the black market, banks and card providers seek to foster smaller payments with cards through technology innovations, such as contactless and mobile payments.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Corporate digital money may seem a natural answer to this conundrum, but the R3 report did offer a subtle and indirect debunking of Libra-like projects being a future trend. While it did establish that there is a growing demand for new settlement methods as business becomes increasingly digital and distributed, it suggested that instead of private sector initiatives central banks will step in to fill the void. CBDCs will ultimately be more successful than Libra ever could be, because they will be sanctioned by central banks and compliant with all stipulations suggested by the regulators\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cCentral Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) will remain a key headline driver in 2020. In 2019, the number of central banks exploring retail digital currency jumped from 15 in 2018, to over 50. 2020 will see focused domestic pilots and more countries will enter the exploration phase. The adoption of digital cash will continue to be driven through public\/private partnerships,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">R3 researchers predict.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Growing Demand for Mutualized KYC Solutions<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, the report outlined the growing demand for a universal KYC solution. The main reason behind it being the tightening control over the banking sector exercised by the regulators.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Centralized utilities do not work, the report claims. A new decentralized and mutualized solution is needed to ensure data security and privacy and to also cut costs and increase efficiency.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b><i>\u201cWe\u2019ll see the first mutualized blockchain-based KYC platform launch in 2020, reducing costs and providing enhanced governance across complex counterparty relationships,\u201d <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">predict the R3 analysts.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As blockchain technology goes more mainstream, the community will become increasingly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/hackernoon.com\/kyc-does-not-harm-the-crypto-industry-it-actually-does-the-complete-opposite-fa0ce9c2704c\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">less wary<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of such traditional practices as KYC, while still appreciating the reliability and cost-efficiency of blockchain-stored data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Final Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To an untrained eye, the blockchain revolution peaked in 2017\u201318 and was slowly going downhill since. R3 analysts suggest that after frantic crowdfunding campaigns of 2017\u201318, 2019 was, in fact, a year of quiet but determined development. And in 2020 we shall finally yield the fruit of this development. The industry at large seems to be in accordance with this sentiment.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The year 2020 will be the year of regulated digital assets and CBDCs, but the necessity to be compliant with regulatory demands will trample concerns of decentralization and anonymity. Interoperability will become another issue among blockchain scaling concerns, while the simplicity of deployment and UX will be key for mass adoption by individuals and businesses alike.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Follow us on<\/b>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/forklogmedia\"><b>Twitter<\/b><\/a><b>\u00a0and\u00a0<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/forklogmedia\"><b>Facebook<\/b><\/a><b>\u00a0and join our\u00a0<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/forklogmedia\"><b>Telegram channel<\/b><\/a><b>\u00a0to know what\u2019s up with crypto and why it\u2019s important.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For many crypto investors and rookie traders, 2019 was a year of much despair and uncertainty. The year started with a sharp drop in Bitcoin\u2019s price, followed by a lengthy period of stagnation. The ICO fever, the once sacred cow of crypto, has all but died down. Several new blockchain projects popped up but ultimately [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":8155,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"human_written","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[25,1095,1089,208,123],"class_list":["post-8153","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-blockchain","tag-cbdc","tag-libra","tag-r3","tag-report"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"461","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8153","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8153"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8153\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8156,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8153\/revisions\/8156"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8155"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}