{"id":87915,"date":"2023-12-06T13:19:54","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T11:19:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=87915"},"modified":"2025-09-13T14:46:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-13T11:46:17","slug":"experts-assess-the-odds-of-a-further-bitcoin-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/experts-assess-the-odds-of-a-further-bitcoin-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Experts assess the odds of a further Bitcoin rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin futures indicators show a &#8216;supportive sign&#8217; for further upside in the asset&#8217;s price in spring 2024. This was stated by Deribit\u2019s chief commercial officer Luuk Striers, The Block reports.<\/p>\n<p>According to the expert, the futures premium for contracts expiring in March, June and September <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/k33-research-ethereum-continues-to-lag-bitcoin\">has continued to widen<\/a> since early October.<\/p>\n<p>At the moment, the basis, i.e. the difference between spot and futures prices, has surpassed the 10% level.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-eu.googleusercontent.com\/b0lHyZm0jAl4yf4XVYOtfXvBSoUBtN5br1B4N3funC7lU-LGrEh3kjAHpOd8qKlXDcNgVEQl2eIUGCf_jKCZhRV7xZ2E--shPeVXqwUMp4ZqyNlxsq4n2ok6CYVpZZ0LP_jvwX-DlqN-CCgPjhk0CAc\" alt=\"Bitcoin futures premium\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Bitcoin futures premium. Data: The Block.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u00abAn increase in the basis suggests the market expects a rise in the spot price. The annual basis is now 10-12%, implying the market expects the underlying asset to rise by 10-12% over the next year,\u00bb added Striers.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Analyst also noted a easing of concerns after <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/changpeng-zhao-to-pay-50-million-under-u-s-doj-settlement\">the regulatory issues surrounding Binance were resolved<\/a>. In addition, there is escalating geopolitical tension, cooling inflation and a steady rise in institutional engagement, he noted.<\/p>\n<p>On December 5, the price of digital gold <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-price-breaks-through-the-43500-level\">surpassed $43,500<\/a>, and then tested the $44,000 level. The move spurred a large volume of liquidations.<\/p>\n<p>BTCM chief economist Yu Wei Yan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/266048\/bitcoin-bears-face-short-squeeze-risk-as-price-rises-above-43000-analyst-says\">defined $45,000<\/a> as the next critical resistance level for Bitcoin, suggesting a heightened likelihood of a short-squeeze beyond this threshold.<\/p>\n<p>He stressed that there remains a large open interest on both sides funded with leverage, exposed to liquidations in the event of heightened market volatility.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/LiquidationData\">Coinglass<\/a>, positions worth about $265 million were liquidated in the past 24 hours, $173 million of which were shorts.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-eu.googleusercontent.com\/ZohjCES6hKCGvBo0fQKAUaPEXKsQGu3nIYBEdoF5RIerUNP_eVeNryb98Mev-fxAEJ_Hnt105xI4X-1JGycP2c0njqUNAsp4JzmqUwFxAiQ1FA1VcVejPkM_6tOeQZbJ9RS8q27fLb9MlPiS7d3IPl8\" alt=\"Bitcoin rally probability\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: Coinglass.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Analysts at Bitfinex noted bulk of liquidations at the $41,950 and $42,200 levels. At these marks, Bitcoin&#8217;s price experienced a &#8216;bullish catapult&#8217; as buying to close short positions pushed the quotes higher.<\/p>\n<p>As of writing, the leading cryptocurrency was trading at $43,960. The coin&#8217;s market capitalization stands at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\">$859 billion<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-eu.googleusercontent.com\/e6twK4J5OVLYozbs9Gk-eSc6UIydemK1f0GNdVVjSuohxDLYIwPPP-f9lB3P_B3mpQNmfYc2OeW4Xov1KmO4LzySadB-iWBL2ybjItgqtK4gTYtLo8QM3r4g3PLmJ9uDhnFWuCAPhqiTUQfNjCD4fJg\" alt=\"Bitcoin rally probability\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Earlier ForkLog experts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/experts-explain-the-drivers-of-bitcoins-rally\">shared views<\/a> on the reasons for the current rally in digital gold.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier in December, Matrixport analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/matrixport-confirms-bitcoin-forecast-to-hit-63000-by-april-2024\">confirmed<\/a> the forecast for Bitcoin to rise to $63,000 by April 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin futures indicators show a &#8216;supportive sign&#8217; for further upside in spring 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87916,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1145,1150],"class_list":["post-87915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-market-analysis","tag-news-plus"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"15","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87915"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87917,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87915\/revisions\/87917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}