{"id":88915,"date":"2025-09-15T10:43:16","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T07:43:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=88915"},"modified":"2025-09-15T10:47:13","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T07:47:13","slug":"trader-flags-key-bitcoin-level-ahead-of-the-fed-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/trader-flags-key-bitcoin-level-ahead-of-the-fed-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"Trader flags key bitcoin level ahead of the Fed meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the weekend, the price of the leading cryptocurrency slipped to $115,000. The trader known as Skew urged attention to that mark as markets await the <span data-descr=\"US Federal Reserve System\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span> decision on interest rates.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <br \/>Pretty clear price is being walked down here yet again going into a new week<\/p>\n<p>Longs are being used as liquidity thus far<br \/>~ likely for fills<\/p>\n<p>However some pretty decent bid depth &#038; liquidity just below $115K<\/p>\n<p>Time to pay attention <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6x9VHwokAa\">pic.twitter.com\/6x9VHwokAa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Skew \u0394 (@52kskew) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/52kskew\/status\/1967252144559690101?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 14, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>He pointed to \u201cpretty decent bid depth and liquidity just below $115,000\u201d. In his view, that level could prove decisive for bitcoin\u2019s next move.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the 17 September Fed meeting, traders remain cautious on the near-term outlook. The analyst known as Rekt Capital stressed that sustained upside requires reclaiming $114,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>The goal isn&#8217;t for Bitcoin to break $117k in the short-term<\/p>\n<p>The goal is for Bitcoin to reclaim $114k into support first<\/p>\n<p>Because that&#8217;s what would enable the premium-buying necessary to get price above $117k later on<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Crypto?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Crypto<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rektcapital\/status\/1967237719530377619?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 14, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe point is not for bitcoin to break $117,000 in the short term. The main goal is to turn $114,000 into support. That would create the conditions for the active buying needed for a further rally,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rektcapital\/status\/1967170096687935826\">called<\/a> a weekly close above $114,000 a \u201cbullish\u201d signal.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin has likely put in a local bottom<\/h2>\n<p>The analyst known as Mr. Wall Street said bitcoin reached a local bottom around $107,000 a few weeks ago.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> \u2014 What\u2019s Next ?<\/p>\n<p>In Depth Technical and Psychological Analyses<\/p>\n<p>Everything You Need to Know: A golden cross on the daily timeframe of the MACD was printed at the same time short term MVRV bottomed. This happened few weeks ago near 107k, in the exact same place where we\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6nLoKSlLl8\">pic.twitter.com\/6nLoKSlLl8<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mr. Wall Street (@mrofwallstreet) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mrofwallstreet\/status\/1967286219768811896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 14, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>He said a \u201cgolden cross\u201d appeared on the daily MACD as MVRV fell to its low. In the current cycle, that combination has occurred three times.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe last time was when bitcoin was at $76,000 during the panic over Trump tariffs. [\u2026] The two indicators also fired at $49,000 on the day of the Japanese yen crash and at $16,000\u201318,000 amid the FTX bankruptcy,\u201d the analyst explained.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Mr. Wall Street added that such a signal often precedes a 30\u201340% advance. He expects the next target to be $140,000\u2013150,000, while stressing that much will depend on the FOMC decision and remarks by Fed chair Jerome Powell.<\/p>\n<p>At present, 100% of market participants expect the policy rate to be cut by at least 0.25 percentage points.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"529\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340-1024x529.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-265767\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340-1024x529.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340-768x396.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340-1536x793.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6a61d92054dcee9c-4314675254705340.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">CME FedWatch<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>At the time of writing, bitcoin trades around $116,400, up 0.5% over the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"602\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728-1024x602.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-265768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728-1024x602.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728-768x452.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728-1536x903.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-28c13f10ba1b40ba-4314689727671728.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly chart of BTC\/USDT on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A whale is selling bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>Analysts at Lookonchain highlighted renewed activity by a large holder who, after a two-week pause, transferred another 1,176 BTC ($136m) to Hyperliquid.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">After a two-week break, the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BitcoinOG?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BitcoinOG<\/a> who exchanged 35,991 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>($4.04B) for 886,371 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a>($4.07B) is back to selling <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2 wallets linked to this <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BitcoinOG?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BitcoinOG<\/a> have deposited 1,176 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>($136.2M) to Hyperliquid in the past 2 hours and started dumping.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LTiJHW049j\">https:\/\/t.co\/LTiJHW049j<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/L0m2bEG1J7\">pic.twitter.com\/L0m2bEG1J7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lookonchain (@lookonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1967217933530403156?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 14, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Earlier, the team <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1962479979096416609\">noted<\/a> that in August the whale sold 35,991 BTC ($4bn) and bought 886,371 ETH.<\/p>\n<p>In the same month, another investor who had been inactive since 2018 \u201cwoke up\u201d. First, he <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/corporations-amass-over-4-million-eth-worth-17-6-billion\">sold off<\/a> 670 BTC (~$76m) to acquire 68,130 ETH (~$295m). Later, the large holder <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/dormant-bitcoin-whale-awakens-after-seven-years-acquires-270-million-in-ethereum\">bought<\/a> another 62,914 ETH (~$270m) on the spot market and opened a long position for 135,265 ETH (~$580m) on the futures market.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, experts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/experts-outline-market-dynamics-before-and-after-fed-meeting\">outlined<\/a> market dynamics before and after the Fed meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin slipped to $115,000 over the weekend. Trader Skew flagged that level ahead of the Fed\u2019s rate decision.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":88916,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"100% of the market expects at least a 25bp rate cut","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1146,1249],"class_list":["post-88915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-federal-reserve-system"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"207","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"100% of the market expects at least a 25bp rate cut","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88915"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88917,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88915\/revisions\/88917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}