{"id":88941,"date":"2025-09-16T10:30:06","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T07:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=88941"},"modified":"2025-09-16T10:35:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T07:35:17","slug":"citi-outlines-bullish-and-bearish-scenarios-for-ethereum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/citi-outlines-bullish-and-bearish-scenarios-for-ethereum\/","title":{"rendered":"Citi Outlines Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for Ethereum"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By the end of the year, Ethereum is expected to fall to $4,300, with the potential for further decline under adverse conditions, according to analysts at Citi, reports <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/09\/15\/wall-street-bank-citigroup-sees-ether-falling-to-usd4-300-by-year-end\">CoinDesk<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A crucial factor for the price of the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is the monetary policy of the United States. Experts have identified two main targets:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>if the <span data-descr=\"Federal Reserve System of the United States\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span> lowers rates \u2014 ETH could rise to $6,400;<\/li>\n<li>if rates decrease \u2014 it could fall to $2,200.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>According to the bank&#8217;s analysts, network activity remains a vital component of Ethereum&#8217;s value. However, most on-chain growth has been observed at the second layer, where the &#8220;pass-through&#8221; of value to the base blockchain is not entirely clear.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, only 30% of L2 activity is reflected in Ethereum&#8217;s valuation, suggesting an inflated price likely due to strong inflows into ETFs and excitement around tokenization and stablecoins.<\/p>\n<p>Researchers anticipate a weakening of exchange-traded fund dynamics on Ethereum, as the coin has a smaller market capitalization compared to Bitcoin and is less known among new investors.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/us-eth-spot\">SoSoValue<\/a>, ETH-ETFs attracted $637 million over the past trading week.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"541\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fe67f841e02fcace-4400351661829787-1024x541.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-265822\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fe67f841e02fcace-4400351661829787-1024x541.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fe67f841e02fcace-4400351661829787-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fe67f841e02fcace-4400351661829787-768x406.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fe67f841e02fcace-4400351661829787.png 1207w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: SoSoValue.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Other macroeconomic factors will provide only moderate support. Considering that stocks are already close to the S&#038;P 500 target of 6,600 points, Citi does not anticipate significant growth in risk assets.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $4,500, having gained 4.5% over the week.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"471\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870-1024x471.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-265821\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870-1024x471.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870-1536x706.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-a25945bd55b3e5fa-4400351424779870.png 1814w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute ETH\/USDT chart from Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/ETHUSDT\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Earlier, on September 15, Ethereum <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/ethereum-marks-three-years-since-the-merge\">marked<\/a> three years since the activation of The Merge update. Since the hard fork, the cryptocurrency&#8217;s price has risen by more than 176%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By the end of the year, Ethereum is expected to fall to $4,300, with potential for further decline, according to Citi analysts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":88942,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Ethereum may fall to $4,300 by year-end, with further risks, say Citi analysts.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1622,46,1138],"class_list":["post-88941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-citi","tag-ethereum","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"171","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Ethereum may fall to $4,300 by year-end, with further risks, say Citi analysts.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88941"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88941\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88943,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88941\/revisions\/88943"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88942"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}