{"id":89496,"date":"2025-10-02T11:44:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T08:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=89496"},"modified":"2025-10-02T11:46:04","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T08:46:04","slug":"analysts-identify-conditions-for-bitcoins-rise-to-200000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-identify-conditions-for-bitcoins-rise-to-200000\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Identify Conditions for Bitcoin&#8217;s Rise to $200,000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If the current growth in demand continues, the leading cryptocurrency could reach $160,000-$200,000 by the end of the year, according to analysts at CryptoQuant.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin has crossed $117K, reclaiming the Trader\u2019s Realized Price ($116K).<\/p>\n<p>This shift puts BTC back in the BULL phase of the cycle indicator.<\/p>\n<p>From here, Q4 targets expand toward $160K\u2013$200K. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FlYePG6kL9\">pic.twitter.com\/FlYePG6kL9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1973426269925863689?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to their data, since July, spot purchases of Bitcoin have increased by 62,000 BTC per month. This is comparable to the dynamics before previous rallies in the fourth quarters of 2020, 2021, and 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Experts also noted increased demand from whales and exchange-traded funds. Large holders are increasing their exposure at a rate of 331,000 BTC per year, significantly exceeding figures from similar periods in previous years:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>238,000 BTC \u2014 in the fourth quarter of 2020;<\/li>\n<li>197,000 BTC \u2014 2021;<\/li>\n<li>255,000 BTC \u2014 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>During the same period last year, American <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETF<\/a> acquired 213,000 BTC \u2014 71% more than the previous quarter. The current situation suggests a repetition of this dynamic in the coming three months.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Price Target<\/h2>\n<p>According to analysts, Bitcoin has successfully surpassed the <span data-descr=\"the cost of coins at the time of the last on-chain movement\" class=\"old_tooltip\">realized price<\/span> level for traders at $116,000 and has officially entered the bullish phase of the cycle. After testing this mark and consolidating around $117,300, experts have set a target range for the quarter at $160,000-$200,000.<\/p>\n<p>They emphasized that technical indicators confirm the optimistic scenario. CryptoQuant&#8217;s Bull Strength Index was around 40-50 at the end of the third quarter. The same was observed last year when the price of the leading cryptocurrency rose from $70,000 to $100,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThese index values mark the transition into the bullish phase of the market cycle,\u201d explained the specialists.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Support comes from three key factors: sustained growth in Bitcoin demand, increased liquidity of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a>, and a decrease in unrealized profits for traders. All this \u201ccollectively reduces the potential for sales.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant contributor known as Crypto Dan also <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68de0a6f49ecef589775922a-The-Bull-Cycle-Is-Slow-but-Still-in-Progress?utm_source=twitter&#038;utm_medium=sns&#038;utm_campaign=quicktake&#038;utm_content=crypto-dan\">noted<\/a> that the bullish phase of digital gold continues. According to him, there are no clear signals of its end yet.<\/p>\n<p>He pointed to the actions of long-term Bitcoin holders. When the growth cycle nears its peak, this group of investors begins to actively sell the asset \u2014 especially coins held for more than a year. Currently, a different picture is observed: the share of \u201caged\u201d coins is decreasing gradually, hinting at a new growth impulse.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"572\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390-1024x572.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-266788\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390-1536x857.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ded1d3c1e1b24dc8-5787280664039390.png 1752w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Experts have <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-hints-at-an-october-upswing\">identified<\/a> several key indicators signaling a potential \u201cmajor move\u201d for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts at XWIN Research have also <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analysts-elucidate-the-pattern-of-seasonal-rallies-in-q4\">explained<\/a> the pattern of seasonal rallies in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If the current growth in demand continues, Bitcoin could reach $160,000-$200,000 by year-end, say CryptoQuant analysts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89497,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Technical indicators confirm the optimistic scenario, emphasized CryptoQuant.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1146,1205,1138],"class_list":["post-89496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-cryptoquant","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"239","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Technical indicators confirm the optimistic scenario, emphasized CryptoQuant.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89496"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89498,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89496\/revisions\/89498"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}