{"id":89869,"date":"2025-10-14T11:40:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T08:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=89869"},"modified":"2025-10-14T11:41:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T08:41:19","slug":"analyst-sees-retail-investor-panic-as-a-bitcoin-buying-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-sees-retail-investor-panic-as-a-bitcoin-buying-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Sees Retail Investor Panic as a Bitcoin Buying Signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fear and uncertainty among retail investors remain one of the most accurate signals for accumulating the premier cryptocurrency. This insight was <a href=\"https:\/\/app.santiment.net\/insights\/read\/worried-crowd-marked-crypto-s-local-bottom-yet-again-8934\">shared<\/a> by Santiment analyst Brian Q.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to him, &#8220;smart traders&#8221; were actively buying digital gold and altcoins when retail investors reacted &#8220;overly sharply&#8221; to President Donald Trump&#8217;s plans to impose 100% tariffs on imports from China. Negative sentiment among this market segment reached an annual high.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;Retail emotions often signal that bitcoin and altcoin prices are about to reverse,&#8221; the expert noted.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Following the <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/black-saturday-11-october-what-happened\">events of October 11<\/a>, <span data-descr=\"fear, uncertainty and doubt \u2014 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0445, \u043d\u0435\u0443\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0438 \u0441\u043e\u043c\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\" class=\"old_tooltip\">FUD<\/span> drove retail investors out of the market. However, they quickly returned when the US Treasury Secretary <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/canaan-unveils-eco-friendly-mining-solution-shares-surge-by-40\">stated<\/a> that there was a misunderstanding and the tariffs &#8220;might not be imposed.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A similar pattern was observed during the announcement of the first round of tariffs in April, the escalation of the Middle East conflict in June, and the anticipation of the <span data-descr=\"Federal Reserve System of the USA\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span>&#8216;s rate decision in August.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153-1024x576.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-267518\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153-1536x863.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4c2aa64e4fa9acf0-6822934205416153.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Coincidence of FUD waves with price reversals in the crypto market. Source: Santiment.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;The crypto market is driven by sentiment \u2014 traders collectively decide which news should affect their confidence. There is ample evidence that Trump&#8217;s tariff statements instantly impact trend reversals with each development. Emotion-driven trading related to political news dominates short-term market behavior \u2014 more so than at any other time in cryptocurrency history,&#8221; Q emphasized.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Altseason Approaches\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>During the latest correction, major altcoins lost between 18% and 28% of their value in less than a day. Historical data shows that sharp declines often precede the most powerful rallies in the cycle, noted analyst Bull Theory.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ALTCOIN MARKET CAP JUST REPEATED HISTORY.<\/p>\n<p>This chart tracks the total crypto market cap excluding <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> &#038; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a>, the pure altcoin cycle.<\/p>\n<p>And it tells a very simple story:<br \/>Every major expansion in crypto has included sharp 30\u201360% resets along the way.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s break it down \ud83d\udc47\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OBGn3yVpIY\">pic.twitter.com\/OBGn3yVpIY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BullTheoryio\/status\/1977774065005007154?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The expert recalled the events of March 2020 and May 2021, when the market fell by 50-60%.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;Each of the declines looked like the end [of the cycle], yet each was followed by the most powerful rallies of the entire period,&#8221; Bull Theory emphasized.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The market crash in April 2025 was also seen by many as the start of a bear phase, but subsequently, bitcoin and several other assets reached new all-time highs.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Researcher Ash Crypto also agreed with the analyst&#8217;s conclusions, highlighting that past corrections led to altcoins appreciating by 25-100 times.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">MARCH 2020 VS. OCTOBER 2025<\/p>\n<p>Same manipulation, Different year<\/p>\n<p>After March 2020 flash crash We had a huge altseason where alts pumped 25x-100x <\/p>\n<p>I think it will happen again. Maybe not a 100x season due to millions of coins but I think good ones can still pull 10x-50x. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/elL0KFehiz\">pic.twitter.com\/elL0KFehiz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ashcryptoreal\/status\/1977798497744437639?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script> <\/p>\n<p>Market participant Merlijn The Trader pointed to the formation of a bullish MACD crossover on the monthly chart of bitcoin and altcoins. This pattern was observed before the altseasons of 2017 and 2021.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">THIS IS THE SETUP FOR ALTSEASON 3.0<\/p>\n<p>Macro support<br \/>Monthly bullish MACD cross<br \/>Same pattern as 2017 &#038; 2020<\/p>\n<p>You can ignore it\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Altseason is inevitable. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MNwIjgsCv4\">pic.twitter.com\/MNwIjgsCv4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/1977751186112667918?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In the past 24 hours, some coins have shown signs of recovery. Ethereum&#8217;s price rose to $4000 after falling below $3700, and BNB stabilized at $1200. Previously, the price of the Binance-linked cryptocurrency had dropped to $1090.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"696\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951-1024x696.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-267519\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951-1024x696.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951-300x204.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951-768x522.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951-1536x1044.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-bae8c7c9c8c777b1-6823012769213951.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\">CoinGecko<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Contributor EgyHash from CryptoQuant <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analysts-spot-bullish-signals-in-bitcoins-recent-sell-off\">identified<\/a> bullish signals in bitcoin&#8217;s decline.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fear and uncertainty among retail investors remain one of the most accurate signals for accumulating bitcoin, noted Santiment analyst Brian Q.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89870,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Experts also saw the decline in altcoins as a signal for growth.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,18,1138,1478],"class_list":["post-89869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-altcoins","tag-bitcoin","tag-opinions","tag-santiment"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"188","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Experts also saw the decline in altcoins as a signal for growth.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89869"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89869\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89871,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89869\/revisions\/89871"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89870"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}