{"id":89912,"date":"2025-10-15T12:16:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T09:16:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=89912"},"modified":"2025-10-15T12:23:06","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T09:23:06","slug":"peter-brandt-one-more-shakeout-before-bitcoin-tops-125100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/peter-brandt-one-more-shakeout-before-bitcoin-tops-125100\/","title":{"rendered":"Peter Brandt: one more shakeout before bitcoin tops $125,100"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Veteran trader Peter Brandt believes bitcoin could set a new all-time high at $125,100 within a week. He expects, however, one more major correction first.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It should be noted that King <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24Bitcoin&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$Bitcoin<\/a> experienced a mild 15% correction from the ATH<br \/>This confirms the old saying:<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;The bigger the junk, the deeper the dunk&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1977368771590316345?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, two scenarios are possible. The first is a \u201chuge shakeout,\u201d followed by a swift run to <span data-descr=\"all-time high\" class=\"old_tooltip\">ATH<\/span>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cOr [the second scenario] is a break of the parabola, which in the past every time led to a 75% price drop. I think the era of 80% declines is behind us, but perhaps [price returns] to $50,000\u201360,000,\u201d Brandt said.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>On October 11 the market <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/black-saturday-11-october-what-happened\">slumped<\/a> after US President Donald Trump announced 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. Liquidations exceeded $19 billion. Bitcoin fell from $121,000 to $102,000.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, the digital gold trades at $113,177, up 1% on the day, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\">CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"630\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7ec8fdb86d447b2a-6912251727693502-1024x630.png\" alt=\"BTCUSDT_2025-10-15_11-52-23\" class=\"wp-image-267573\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7ec8fdb86d447b2a-6912251727693502-1024x630.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7ec8fdb86d447b2a-6912251727693502-300x184.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7ec8fdb86d447b2a-6912251727693502-768x472.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7ec8fdb86d447b2a-6912251727693502.png 1428w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Leverage risks<\/h2>\n<p>Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-shakeout-all-time-highs-near-crypto-analyst\">reminded<\/a> traders to be cautious when using borrowed funds.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThis weekend was a reminder to be very careful with leverage. Even multipliers above 1.5x are dangerous,\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He called the volatility temporary and summed up his outlook for the coming weeks in one word: \u201cup\u201d.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Macro and the \u201cGoldilocks zone\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Other analysts also remain optimistic, citing macroeconomic signals. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes said the crypto market has presented a buying opportunity.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There you have it, QT is over. Back up the fucking truck and buy everything. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kQbpBSOlOU\">pic.twitter.com\/kQbpBSOlOU<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/1978215488229695874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 14, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>He pointed to remarks by the head of the <span data-descr=\"US Federal Reserve System\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span>, Jerome Powell, that the quantitative tightening program is \u201cover\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Pav Hundal, lead analyst at Swyftx, believes economic data now play the central role for digital gold.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cUS inflation hit 2.9% in August \u2014 the highest level since January. At the same time, the US labor market is showing signs of weakness. The Fed has a mandate to ensure full employment, and it seems inevitable that we will see further rate cuts this month. This is a \u2018Goldilocks zone\u2019 for bitcoin,\u201d he explained.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201cSpeculative phase\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin has entered a \u201cspeculative phase\u201d as new large players take control, according to XWIN Research analysts.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Market Enters the \u201cSpeculative Phase\u201d as New Whales Take Control<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe key signal to watch next will be a decline in STH share, which would mark the start of a renewed accumulation phase led by long-term investors.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/xwinfinance?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@xwinfinance<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YWmJcmwDSv\">pic.twitter.com\/YWmJcmwDSv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1978363900102873419?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The <span data-descr=\"the difference between unrealized profits and losses based on the last movement of coins\" class=\"old_tooltip\">NUPL<\/span> indicator has reached +0.52. Historically, this zone marks a transition from optimism to euphoria. In the 2017 and 2021 cycles, readings above 0.5 signaled speculative activity.<\/p>\n<p>About 97% of the market\u2019s coin supply is currently in profit.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the share of short-term holders (STH) in bitcoin\u2019s realized capitalization has hit a record 44%. This indicates that long-term holders (LTH) are taking profits while less experienced players \u2014 \u201cnew whales\u201d \u2014 step in.<\/p>\n<p>In past cycles, STH dominance coincided with the final phase of the rally. This time, however, the structure differs, the analysts noted. Selling pressure is being absorbed by three factors: capital inflows into spot <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETF<\/a>, growing liquidity of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a> and institutional participation.<\/p>\n<p>On-chain data point to a \u201cmature speculative phase\u201d fueled by liquidity and steady capital inflows. The next important signal, they argue, will be a decline in the STH share \u2014 indicating a shift to a new accumulation phase led by long-term investors.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, bitcoin\u2019s correlation with gold nearly <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-and-gold-correlation-nears-historic-peak\">reached<\/a> an all-time high.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Peter Brandt says bitcoin could set a new all-time high within a week, but first expects another sharp correction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89913,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Brandt sees one more shakeout before bitcoin aims for $125,100 within a week.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1146,1145],"class_list":["post-89912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-market-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"224","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Brandt sees one more shakeout before bitcoin aims for $125,100 within a week.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89912","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89912"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89912\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89914,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89912\/revisions\/89914"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89912"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89912"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89912"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}