{"id":91143,"date":"2025-11-18T12:59:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=91143"},"modified":"2025-11-18T13:01:30","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T10:01:30","slug":"analysts-warn-the-xrp-market-is-structurally-fragile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-warn-the-xrp-market-is-structurally-fragile\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts warn the XRP market is structurally fragile"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over 41% of the total <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-ripple-and-the-cryptocurrency-xrp\">XRP<\/a> supply \u2014 about 26.5bn coins \u2014 is under water, according to Glassnode.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%, the lowest since Nov 2024, when price was $0.53.<br \/>Today, despite trading ~4\u00d7 higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss \u2014 a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers.<br \/>\ud83d\udcc9\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CBXPzDalxV\">https:\/\/t.co\/CBXPzDalxV<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UpLNKV7LqD\">pic.twitter.com\/UpLNKV7LqD<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1990532097195585564?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The share of the altcoin\u2019s supply in profit has fallen to its lowest since November 2024, when it traded at $0.53. The firm said this points to a \u201cstructurally fragile\u201d market dominated by buyers who entered near the peaks.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, XRP is $2.1, down 3.5% on the day and more than 10% on the week.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"601\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922-1024x601.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-269948\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922-1024x601.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922-768x450.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922-1536x901.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-3b45aba627760cee-9852529820897922.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly chart of XRP\/USDT on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/atJ4mYHE\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential reversal<\/h2>\n<p>On 13 November, Nasdaq <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/canary-capital-launches-spot-xrp-etf\">began<\/a> trading a spot <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETF<\/a> based on XRP, ticker XRPC, from Canary Capital. First-day turnover reached $58m \u2014 the best result among all exchange-traded funds launched this year, noted Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas.<\/p>\n<p>The print beat expectations \u2014 the expert had forecast around $17m.<\/p>\n<p>Since launch, the vehicle has drawn $268m. Canary currently manages $257m in assets.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"578\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782-1024x578.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-269950\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782-1024x578.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782-768x433.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782-1536x867.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-01944dc024bf05e6-9852544425222782.png 1836w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Flows into spot XRP ETFs. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/us-xrp-spot\">SoSoValue<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>By the end of the week, approval of four spot XRP ETFs is expected. Another three are due to launch over the following 21 days.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 NEXT WEEK WILL BE HUGE \u2014 4 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/XRP?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#XRP<\/a> ETFs WILL LAUNCH:<\/p>\n<p>1\ufe0f\u20e3 NOV 18: FRANKLIN TEMPLETON<\/p>\n<p>2\ufe0f\u20e3 NOV 19-20: BITWISE<\/p>\n<p>3\ufe0f\u20e3 NOV 20-22: 21SHARES<\/p>\n<p>4\ufe0f\u20e3 NOV 20-22: COINSHARES<\/p>\n<p>PREPARE FOR IT &#038; ACT ACCORDINGLY \ud83e\udee1 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rLyvODbwvs\">pic.twitter.com\/rLyvODbwvs<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 \ud835\udcd0\ud835\udcf6\ud835\udcee\ud835\udcf5\ud835\udcf2\ud835\udcee (@_Crypto_Barbie) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_Crypto_Barbie\/status\/1990104114630468059?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 16, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Traders hope the new wave of ETF launches will revive the altcoin\u2019s bullish trend.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, JPMorgan analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/jpmorgan-pegs-potential-inflows-into-solana-and-xrp-spot-etfs-at-up-to-14bn\">said<\/a> that in the first six months, inflows into spot XRP ETFs could surpass those of comparable Ethereum funds. They estimate $4\u20138bn.<\/p>\n<p>Technically, the token has hit critical resistance at $2.2. Reclaiming that level would increase the odds of the uptrend continuing.<\/p>\n<p>According to the analyst known as Marzel, XRP is consolidating above the key $2 mark in a pennant pattern. That could signal a price floor.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24XRP&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$XRP<\/a> is consolidating above $2 in a pennant, signaling a potential bottom. \ud83d\udd05<\/p>\n<p>A breakout above $2.62 would turn bullish, while a close below $2 would invalidate the pattern, with volume spikes likely indicating the breakout before late Q4.\ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udfe8 Trade <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24XRP&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$XRP<\/a> on WEEX:\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ObIFe88bzr\">pic.twitter.com\/ObIFe88bzr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Marzell (@MarzellCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MarzellCrypto\/status\/1990445873558339952?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cA breakout above $2.62 will turn the trend bullish, and a close below $2 will invalidate the pattern, with volume spikes likely to indicate the breakout before the end of the fourth quarter,\u201d the expert added.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Santiment\u2019s analysts noted that XRP has entered a \u201cfavourable buy zone.\u201d They used the <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-the-mvrv-indicator\">MVRV<\/a> metric to determine it: the lower it is, the higher the probability of a swift recovery.<\/p>\n<p>The reading for Ripple\u2019s cryptocurrency stands at -10.2%.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83e\udd15 The vast majority of cryptocurrencies are now flashing extreme pain for average trading returns. Wallets active in the past 30 days have an average performance of:<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udccc Cardano <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ADA&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ADA<\/a>: -19.7% (Extreme Buy Zone)<br \/>\ud83d\udcccChainlink <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24LINK&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$LINK<\/a>: -16.8% (Extreme Buy Zone)<br \/>\ud83d\udcccEthereum <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a>: -15.4%\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/l0mUrDWOzm\">pic.twitter.com\/l0mUrDWOzm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Santiment (@santimentfeed) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/santimentfeed\/status\/1990508725518381207?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Earlier, Matthew Sigel, head of digital-asset research at VanEck, <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/vaneck-questions-the-utility-of-ripples-xrp\">questioned<\/a> the usefulness of Ripple\u2019s token.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More than 41% of the total XRP supply\u2014about 26.5bn coins\u2014is at a loss, according to Glassnode.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91144,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Glassnode says 41% of XRP supply sits at a loss, flagging a top-heavy, fragile market.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[569,1145,1138,112],"class_list":["post-91143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-etf","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions","tag-ripple"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"344","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Glassnode says 41% of XRP supply sits at a loss, flagging a top-heavy, fragile market.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91143","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91143"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91143\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91145,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91143\/revisions\/91145"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91144"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}