{"id":91798,"date":"2025-12-04T12:03:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T09:03:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=91798"},"modified":"2025-12-04T16:11:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T13:11:47","slug":"expert-warns-of-prolonged-bitcoin-decline-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/expert-warns-of-prolonged-bitcoin-decline-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Warns of Prolonged Bitcoin Decline Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Negative sentiment prevails in the crypto market, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. The expert emphasized that without an influx of macroeconomic liquidity, the industry risks entering a prolonged downturn.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6uy298q5Wo\">pic.twitter.com\/6uy298q5Wo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/1996255034540192032?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, most on-chain indicators for Bitcoin point to a bearish scenario. The analyst supported his position with a chart of metrics. The data shows weakness in key areas:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-the-mvrv-indicator\">MVRV Z-score<\/a>;<\/li>\n<li>bull\/bear cycle indicator;<\/li>\n<li>network activity;<\/li>\n<li>liquidity of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The chart also highlights issues with the growth in demand for the leading cryptocurrency and a decline in on-chain traders&#8217; profit margins. Technical signals confirm the overall market weakness.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tense Situation<\/h2>\n<p>Adam Chu, chief researcher at Greeks.live, commented to <a href=\"https:\/\/decrypt.co\/350881\/bitcoin-short-positions-build-potential-fed-rate-cut\">Decrypt<\/a> on the market&#8217;s vulnerability. He noted that traders maintain a bearish outlook, and digital assets face strong resistance when attempting to rise.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $93,100. The asset has gained 0.3% over the past day and 2% over the week.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"629\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4baae8ab1233d9eb-55025179244697-1024x629.png\" alt=\"BTCUSDT_2025-12-04_11-28-03\" class=\"wp-image-271089\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4baae8ab1233d9eb-55025179244697-1024x629.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4baae8ab1233d9eb-55025179244697-300x184.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4baae8ab1233d9eb-55025179244697-768x472.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-4baae8ab1233d9eb-55025179244697.png 1429w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute BTC\/USDT chart from Binance. Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitget&#8217;s chief analyst Ryan Lee considers a short squeeze a more likely scenario.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;Institutional inflow remains stable, regulatory signals are becoming constructive, and sentiment is gradually shifting towards risk acceptance,&#8221; the expert emphasized.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Social Media Sentiment<\/h2>\n<p>The sharp swings in the crypto community&#8217;s mood\u2014from fear to greed\u2014perfectly reflect the price movement history of the leading cryptocurrency. This conclusion was reached by Santiment analysts.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83e\udd11\ud83d\ude31 According to social media data across X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, BitcoinTalk, &#038; Farcaster, the enormous swings from greed to fear have perfectly told the story for Bitcoin&#8217;s price. In the chart below:<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udd34 Circles indicate days where there are abnormally higher BULLISH\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/i37v1JjCZT\">pic.twitter.com\/i37v1JjCZT<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Santiment (@santimentfeed) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/santimentfeed\/status\/1996341102593642733?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Experts studied data from platforms X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, BitcoinTalk, and Farcaster. They confirmed the thesis that the market often moves in the opposite direction of the crowd&#8217;s expectations:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>signals for growth:<\/strong> days when the number of negative comments abnormally exceeds positive ones (fear zone) accurately predict a rebound in quotes;<\/li>\n<li><strong>signs of decline:<\/strong> a predominance of optimistic, bullish statements (greed zone) serves as a reliable indicator of an impending correction.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>According to Santiment, the latest Bitcoin rally has once again shifted retail investors into a state of greed. If the rally halts abruptly, euphoria could quickly dissipate.<\/p>\n<p>Back in December, traders <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/traders-put-the-chance-of-a-crypto-winter-at-7\">assessed<\/a> the probability of a &#8220;crypto winter&#8221; at 7%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju stated that without macroeconomic liquidity, the crypto industry risks entering a prolonged downturn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"CryptoQuant CEO warns of prolonged downturn without macro liquidity.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1146,1205,1478],"class_list":["post-91798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-cryptoquant","tag-santiment"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"147","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"CryptoQuant CEO warns of prolonged downturn without macro liquidity.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91798"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91800,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91798\/revisions\/91800"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}