{"id":92010,"date":"2025-12-10T10:54:11","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T07:54:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=92010"},"modified":"2025-12-11T13:09:46","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T10:09:46","slug":"coinbase-predicts-bitcoin-surge-in-december","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/coinbase-predicts-bitcoin-surge-in-december\/","title":{"rendered":"Coinbase Predicts Bitcoin Surge in December"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts at Coinbase Institutional have outlined a positive scenario for the digital asset industry in December. They believe that the November correction has set the stage for a market recovery by the year&#8217;s end.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A rocky November may have set the stage for a December to remember.<\/p>\n<p>Positioning reset in November:<br \/>\u2022 Open interest across BTC\/ETH\/SOL perps was down 16% MoM<br \/>\u2022 U.S. spot ETFs saw $3.5B <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> and $1.4B <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> in outflows<br \/>\u2022 BTC perp funding rates dropped 2\u03c3 below their 90-day\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qApZFuMF2X\">pic.twitter.com\/qApZFuMF2X<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Coinbase Institutional \ud83d\udee1\ufe0f (@CoinbaseInsto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CoinbaseInsto\/status\/1998464480209154377?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Experts noted a significant &#8220;reset&#8221; in trader positioning last month. The total open interest in perpetual futures for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-solana-sol\">Solana<\/a> fell by 16% compared to October.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. spot <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETFs<\/a> experienced capital outflows of $3.5 billion and $1.4 billion. Simultaneously, Bitcoin futures funding rates dropped significantly below the 90-day average.<\/p>\n<p>Coinbase expressed cautious optimism, explaining the dynamics as a &#8220;washout of speculative excess.&#8221; The systemic leverage ratio stabilized at 4-5% of total market capitalization, down from 10% in the summer.<\/p>\n<p>The reduction in leverage indicates an improvement in market structure, reducing asset vulnerability to sharp declines before the year&#8217;s trading closes, experts concluded.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Signs of Capitulation and Potential Market Reversal<\/h2>\n<p>The profit-to-loss ratio has reached levels that historically signal the exhaustion of a downward trend, noted CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udcca The Profit\/Loss ratio has just reached a very interesting level.<\/p>\n<p>\u26a0\ufe0f Before going any further, it\u2019s important to clarify that this indicator only works reliably during bull markets. For now, I still believe we are in a mid-cycle correction, so I\u2019m sharing this signal with\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rS8BzIHOMz\">pic.twitter.com\/rS8BzIHOMz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/1998503406231761009?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The seven-day <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-moving-average-and-how-is-it-used-in-crypto\">moving average<\/a> fell below one, reaching 0.7. This indicates that in recent weeks, realized losses have exceeded recorded profits. The current value is significantly below the annual average of 7.6.<\/p>\n<p>The expert noted that such dynamics were observed during past corrections and indicate investor capitulation. Often, the peak of sell-offs forms the best opportunities to enter the market before a trend change.<\/p>\n<p>Darkfost urged caution in using the signal, emphasizing that the indicator works reliably only in bull markets. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in a &#8220;mid-cycle correction.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Buy Signal<\/h2>\n<p>According to Darkfost, the Hash Ribbons indicator has signaled a buy for the leading cryptocurrency. The expert described it as &#8220;strong and relevant,&#8221; but cautioned traders against rushing in.<\/p>\n<p>He emphasized that the metric indicates a favorable moment for long-term accumulation of the asset, rather than an immediate entry into a position.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udca5 The Hash Ribbons flash a new buy signal.<\/p>\n<p>This doesn\u2019t mean you have to rush in, but it\u2019s a strong and relevant signal worth sharing.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Historically, these periods of mining stress have been profitable for Bitcoin investors, with one exception during the 2021 mining ban in\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YkXSiK7ykq\">pic.twitter.com\/YkXSiK7ykq<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/1998317659067224503?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Historically, periods of &#8220;mining stress&#8221; have been profitable for investors, with the sole exception being 2021, when China imposed a complete ban on cryptocurrency mining.<\/p>\n<p>The Hash Ribbons work by comparing the 30- and 60-day moving averages of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-hashrate-and-mining-difficulty-in-cryptocurrencies\">hashrate<\/a>. A drop in the short-term line below the long-term one signals capitulation: due to reduced profitability, market participants are forced to shut down inefficient equipment.<\/p>\n<p>In the short term, this pressures the price as companies actively sell off coin reserves to cover operating expenses. However, this forced liquidation often forms a local bottom, creating opportunities for advantageous purchases, the analyst explained.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, researchers at London Crypto Club <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/london-crypto-club-analysts-predict-bitcoin-surge\">predicted<\/a> a sharp rise in Bitcoin, driven by the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts at Coinbase Institutional: November&#8217;s correction has set the stage for a digital asset market recovery and growth in December.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Coinbase sees potential Bitcoin growth in December after November's market reset.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,138,1146,1205],"class_list":["post-92010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-coinbase","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-cryptoquant"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"205","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Coinbase sees potential Bitcoin growth in December after November's market reset.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92010"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92012,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92010\/revisions\/92012"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}