{"id":92097,"date":"2025-12-11T16:43:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T13:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=92097"},"modified":"2025-12-11T16:45:23","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T13:45:23","slug":"experts-dismiss-bitcoins-santa-claus-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/experts-dismiss-bitcoins-santa-claus-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Experts Dismiss Bitcoin’s ‘Santa Claus Rally’"},"content":{"rendered":"

A reduction in the<\/a> rate by the Federal Reserve<\/span> will not be a sufficient catalyst for an immediate rise in the crypto market. The regulator’s cautious stance will delay Bitcoin’s new all-time high at least until spring, analysts warned in a conversation with The Block<\/a>.<\/p>\n

On December 11, the price of the leading cryptocurrency retreated to $90,000, although it had reached $94,500 following the Fed’s meeting. Ethereum also fell below $3,200. The market is following a familiar pattern: prices have declined after seven of the last eight meetings of the American regulator.<\/p>\n

\"BTCUSDT_2025-12-11_16-32-40\"
15-minute chart of BTC\/USDT on Binance. Source: TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described the rate as being in a “neutral territory,” but emphasized that future decisions would depend on incoming data. A split emerged in the committee: the decision was made with a vote of nine to three, the highest number of dissenters since 2018.<\/p>\n

Paul Howard of Wincent noted that the scale of the reduction and the committee’s mixed signals are “insufficient for new highs this side of Easter<\/span>.” Coin Bureau co-founder Nick Pakrin added that the situation adds uncertainty and dashes hopes for the traditional “Santa Claus rally.”<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the Fed announced the purchase of $40 billion in treasury bills to maintain liquidity. Matt Howells-Barby, head of growth at Kraken, believes this could support the crypto market in early 2026. However, he warned of the risks of policy tightening due to the rotation of voting members of the Fed.<\/p>\n

Senior market strategist at Creative Planning, Charlie Bilello, pointed out the paradox of the current cycle.<\/p>\n

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1. Stocks: all-time high
2. Home Prices: all-time high
3. Gold: all-time high
4. Money Supply: all-time high
5. National Debt: all-time high
6. CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed’s “target”
7. Fed: cut rates again today & will start QE on Friday pic.twitter.com\/h1H7uCUly9<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n