{"id":92540,"date":"2025-12-23T12:55:45","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T09:55:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=92540"},"modified":"2025-12-23T13:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:00:25","slug":"analyst-predicts-no-altcoin-season-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-predicts-no-altcoin-season-in-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Predicts No Altcoin Season in 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In 2026, an altcoin rally is unlikely to occur, with most capital expected to flow into established major cryptocurrencies. This view was expressed by Jeff Ko, the chief analyst at CoinEx Research, in an interview with <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/veteran-analyst-predicts-next-bitcoin-bull-market-peak-in-sept-2029\">Cointelegraph<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cRetail investors expecting a rising tide to lift all boats will be disappointed. We predict the absence of a traditional altcoin season. Instead, liquidity will be ruthlessly selective, flowing only into cryptocurrency &#8216;blue chips&#8217; with real adoption,\u201d he stated.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Due to divergent central bank policies, the growth of the global money supply will have a \u201cmoderately positive impact\u201d on the digital asset market in the coming year. Overall, Bitcoin&#8217;s historical sensitivity to the dynamics of the <span data-descr=\"a key measure of the money supply in the economy\" class=\"old_tooltip\">M2 aggregate<\/span> \u201chas decreased since the launch of the <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETF<\/a>, and the correlation has diminished,\u201d the expert added.<\/p>\n<p>The base scenario from CoinEx forecasts Bitcoin reaching $180,000 in 2026.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Divergent Forecasts<\/h2>\n<p>Historically favourable, the fourth quarter sees Bitcoin ending with a price drop of approximately 20%, marking the second-worst performance ever.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Historically, Q4 has often been one of Bitcoin\u2019s strongest periods.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the biggest moves of past cycles happened late in the year.<\/p>\n<p>But this time, Q4 is red.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of a strong finishing stretch, the quarter has been negative and sits alongside some of Bitcoin\u2019s weakest\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/08qNqtOf0D\">https:\/\/t.co\/08qNqtOf0D<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/z3ecoTetOn\">pic.twitter.com\/z3ecoTetOn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Milk Road (@MilkRoad) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MilkRoad\/status\/2003098527950688677?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThis usually means the market has shed excess risk and weak positions. Thus, it does not guarantee automatic growth in 2026, but historically, cycles ending with a major reset tend to have better conditions for building strength,\u201d noted analysts from Milk Road.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Renowned trader and technical analyst Peter Brandt emphasized that Bitcoin is a unique asset, having experienced \u201cfive parabolic advances on a logarithmic scale,\u201d followed by declines of at least 80%.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There has never been anything like Bitcoin, and may not ever be anything like it again<br \/>In 15 years <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> has experienced five parabolic advances on a log scale followed by at least 80% declines (current cycle not done yet) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gNEiXrHsnU\">pic.twitter.com\/gNEiXrHsnU<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/2003229079462617347?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The current cycle in the leading cryptocurrency is not yet complete, he added. This implies a potential price drop to around $25,000.<\/p>\n<p>Brandt expects the peak of the next bull market no earlier than September 2029.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $87,600, although the price exceeded $90,000 the previous day.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"613\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7357d0053a8f6dc3-1697445183303639-1024x613.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7357d0053a8f6dc3-1697445183303639-1024x613.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7357d0053a8f6dc3-1697445183303639-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7357d0053a8f6dc3-1697445183303639-768x460.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7357d0053a8f6dc3-1697445183303639.png 1327w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly chart of BTC\/USD on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Experts largely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/12\/22\/crypto-markets-slip-further-as-traders-brace-for-usd28-5b-deribit-expiry\">attribute<\/a> the price drop to expectations of a massive options expiry on digital gold and Ethereum on the Deribit exchange. On December 26, contracts worth over $28.5 billion, representing about half of the open interest on the platform, are set to expire.<\/p>\n<p>Deribit&#8217;s Chief Commercial Officer Jean-David Pekino noted that in Bitcoin, $1.2 billion is concentrated in put options at a strike price of $85,000. If sellers exert pressure, the closing of contracts could negatively impact the asset&#8217;s spot prices.<\/p>\n<p>According to the manager, traders are mostly rolling over protective positions to early 2026, indicating concerns about the leading cryptocurrency&#8217;s trajectory.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, Saad Ahmed from Gemini <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-dull-market-dampens-hopes-for-altcoin-season\">explained the reason<\/a> why an altcoin season has not materialized.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2026, an altcoin rally is unlikely to occur, with most capital expected to flow into established major cryptocurrencies. This view was expressed by Jeff Ko, the chief analyst at CoinEx Research, in an interview with Cointelegraph.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92541,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"In 2026, an altcoin rally is unlikely, with capital flowing into major cryptocurrencies.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,1146,1138],"class_list":["post-92540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-altcoins","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"419","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"In 2026, an altcoin rally is unlikely, with capital flowing into major cryptocurrencies.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92540"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92542,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92540\/revisions\/92542"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}