{"id":92608,"date":"2025-12-24T16:33:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T13:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=92608"},"modified":"2025-12-24T17:29:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T14:29:24","slug":"anthony-pompliano-sees-a-steadier-2026-for-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/anthony-pompliano-sees-a-steadier-2026-for-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Anthony Pompliano Sees a Steadier 2026 for Bitcoin Price"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The absence of a \u201ccrazy\u201d December surge in the price of the leading cryptocurrency could help avert a sharp drop in the first quarter of 2026, investor Anthony Pompliano told CNBC.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The volatility of bitcoin has actually been coming down, says Anthony Pompliano\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7AB9Fnqe_Sw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Short-term disappointment among holders of digital gold who expected a rally to $250,000 this year is obscuring the broader picture, he said.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cWe must remember that bitcoin is up 100% over two years, and 300% over three. It keeps compounding in value. This thing is a real monster in financial markets,\u201d the expert stressed.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Pompliano ruled out a 70%\u201380% drawdown. His central argument is a \u201ccompression\u201d of volatility that has gone largely unnoticed amid the focus on bitcoin\u2019s correction.<\/p>\n<p>Declining swings frustrate market participants waiting for an \u201cexplosive\u201d move, he noted. Yet, in his words, this provides \u201csome degree of safety\u201d against major corrections.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, bitcoin trades around $87,300, down 0.4% over the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"602\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003-1024x602.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272481\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003-1024x602.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003-768x451.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003-1536x902.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-11a2baf05669fcad-1799338158905003.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Two problems<\/h2>\n<p>Analysts at <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/6949792c6f89e81772a342a5-Market-Apathy-Bitcoin-Network-Activity-and-Exchange-Flows-Hit-Yearly-Lows\">CryptoOnchain<\/a> say digital gold risks getting stuck below the key $90,000 level unless two market conditions change: on-chain activity and exchange liquidity.<\/p>\n<p>The 30-day moving average of active addresses has dropped to roughly 807,000 \u2014 the lowest reading in a year. That points to falling participation from both retail users and short-term traders.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b1a8c248ea3f17b9-1799363451310643-1024x576.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b1a8c248ea3f17b9-1799363451310643-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b1a8c248ea3f17b9-1799363451310643-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b1a8c248ea3f17b9-1799363451310643-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b1a8c248ea3f17b9-1799363451310643.png 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Network dynamics are corroborated by exchange flows. On Binance, two key metrics simultaneously hit yearly lows: the number of addresses depositing and the number withdrawing assets.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b72dd0f8ba73f625-1799376226653684-1024x576.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272483\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b72dd0f8ba73f625-1799376226653684-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b72dd0f8ba73f625-1799376226653684-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b72dd0f8ba73f625-1799376226653684-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-b72dd0f8ba73f625-1799376226653684.png 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to the experts, the synchronicity \u201creflects a market stalemate\u201d. On the one hand, low deposits mean long-term holders are not sending coins to exchanges to sell. On the other, slower withdrawals hint at a pause in big players\u2019 buying and in moving funds to cold wallets.<\/p>\n<p>Separately, the analyst known as Darkfost noted that in December the monthly volume of bitcoins flowing to Binance from whales halved. The metric fell from $7.88bn to $3.86bn.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udc33 During December, whale inflows on Binance were cut in half !<\/p>\n<p>The latest data shows a clear decline in Bitcoin inflows to Binance coming from whales over the month of December.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udca5 Specifically, monthly whale inflows dropped from around $7.88 billion to $3.86 billion,\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Z2GP3M02bk\">pic.twitter.com\/Z2GP3M02bk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/2003776903321120950?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 24, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In his view, the trend is helping to stabilise the price of the leading cryptocurrency as selling pressure eases.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, CryptoQuant <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/expert-warns-of-a-liquidity-drought-in-crypto\">said<\/a> that realised losses among large investors were one of the drivers of the drop in digital gold\u2019s price from $124,000 to $84,000.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Levels to watch<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin remains range-bound between $85,000 and $90,000, despite repeated attempts to breach the upper resistance. On Binance, the technical picture highlights two zones where liquidity is most concentrated:<\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lower support ($85,800\u2013$86,500):<\/strong> a dense cluster of leveraged longs has formed here. A drop into this band would threaten liquidations exceeding $60m, making it an attractive target for large players.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Upper resistance ($90,600\u2013$92,000):<\/strong> an unfilled gap also remains here with shorts \u201ctrapped\u201d. A breakout would put roughly $70m of shorts at risk of liquidation.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"751\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686-1024x751.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272484\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686-1024x751.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686-768x563.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686-1536x1127.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9eb0bc04961ce6d3-1799403500829686.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/ru\/pro\/futures\/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=BTC\">CoinGlass<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Analyst Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe called the current price action \u201ca waiting game\u201d. In his view, the bitcoin price will \u201csurge\u201d when the commodities market peaks and the Nasdaq hits a new all-time high. He expects this next week.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> currently stalls between $85-90K for multiple weeks. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a waiting game. <\/p>\n<p>For me, it feels like we&#8217;re waiting before commodities are peaked and the Nasdaq breaks to a new ATH for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> to surge again. <\/p>\n<p>Likely next week, I would assume, as the Christmas week is over.\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rWSXejwh9H\">pic.twitter.com\/rWSXejwh9H<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/2003782719797387550?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 24, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>If $86,000 holds as support, a gradual rise toward $90,000 is possible, van de Poppe concluded.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, CryptoQuant analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analysts-warn-of-crypto-winter-onset-bottom-expected-at-56000\">warned<\/a> of the onset of a \u201ccrypto winter\u201d. According to their forecast, the bottom will form near the realised price \u2014 around $56,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A lack of \u201ccrazy\u201d December gains in bitcoin may help avert a sharp drop in the first quarter of 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92609,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Pompliano says muted December may steady bitcoin into 2026 amid falling volatility.","creation_source":"ai_translated","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1509,480,1145,1138],"class_list":["post-92608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-anthony-pompliano","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"166","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Pompliano says muted December may steady bitcoin into 2026 amid falling volatility.","is_update":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92608"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92608\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92611,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92608\/revisions\/92611"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92609"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}