{"id":92869,"date":"2026-01-04T13:45:03","date_gmt":"2026-01-04T10:45:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=92869"},"modified":"2026-01-04T13:50:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T10:50:15","slug":"analysts-assess-impact-of-us-venezuela-conflict-on-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-assess-impact-of-us-venezuela-conflict-on-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Assess Impact of US-Venezuela Conflict on Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The likelihood of a significant correction in the cryptocurrency market due to the US-Venezuela conflict is extremely low, according to MN Trading founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;ll see a widespread correction based on the attack in Venezuela on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a planned and coordinated attack on Maduro, and is already past us. <\/p>\n<p>The likelihood of more negativity on the markets from that single event are relatively slim.<\/p>\n<p>I would assume\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/2007455873744896442?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 3, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a planned and coordinated attack on [Venezuelan President] Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, and it is already in the past,&#8221; the expert added.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>According to van de Poppe&#8217;s forecast, Bitcoin could soon surpass the $90,000 level. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency is trading around $91,500, having gained 2% in the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259-1024x488.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272939\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259-1536x732.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-482f7bbfc2abedbb-2739175703225259.png 1835w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>On January 3, the US <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/everything-we-know-about-us-strikes-on-venezuela-13489955\">conducted strikes<\/a> on Venezuela. The attack lasted about 30 minutes, resulting in Maduro being captured and taken out of the country.<\/p>\n<p>Initially, Bitcoin reacted to the situation with a slight decline but then resumed its upward trend.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Markets are usually affected by uncertainty, not events that have already occurred. In this case, it seems largely priced in,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/shaguncrypto\/status\/2007466202684096855?s=20\">noted<\/a> crypto analyst Shagun Makin.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He also emphasized that the ability of digital gold to remain stable amid &#8220;geopolitical noise&#8221; is more likely to strengthen demand above $90,000 than undermine it.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;The situation might even bring some profit to the market, as people perceive it as a sign of strength,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Tylerhill\/status\/2007467190912422211?s=20\">added<\/a> analyst Tyler Hill.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Insider Bets<\/h2>\n<p>Researchers at Lookonchain discovered suspicious activity on Polymarket. According to their data, three wallets placed bets on Venezuelan President Maduro leaving office just hours before his arrest.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Three insider wallets on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Polymarket?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Polymarket<\/a> bet on Venezuelan President Maduro being out of office just hours before his arrest, netting a total profit of $630,484!<\/p>\n<p>The three wallets were created and pre-funded days in advance. <\/p>\n<p>Then, just hours before Maduro&#8217;s arrest, they suddenly\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VRAkQh8i9a\">pic.twitter.com\/VRAkQh8i9a<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lookonchain (@lookonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lookonchain\/status\/2007639475497881625?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 4, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Their total profit from the trades exceeded $630,000. One wallet invested $34,000, resulting in a return of $409,900.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;All three addresses only bet on events related to Venezuela and Maduro, with no history of other trades\u2014a clear sign of insider trading,&#8221; stated Lookonchain.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, a trader on Polymarket under the pseudonym Sweetceecks <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SweetcheeksReal\/status\/2007406093316559287?s=20\">revealed<\/a> that he earned $80,000 overnight by betting on the overthrow of the Venezuelan president.<\/p>\n<p>He noted that he noticed a rise in the &#8220;pizza index&#8221; and placed a bet. The indicator reflects the number of orders from nearby Domino\u2019s Pizza outlets located near the Pentagon, considered an indirect sign of increased US military activity.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-8785c3838445b3aa-2739175708608770.webp\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-272940\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">&#8220;Pizza index&#8221; on January 3. Source: X.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>By the end of 2025, retail investors <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/retail-investors-surpass-whales-in-bitcoin-accumulation-rate\">surpassed<\/a> whales in the pace of Bitcoin accumulation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The likelihood of a significant correction in the cryptocurrency market due to the US-Venezuela conflict is extremely low, according to MN Trading founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92870,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Bitcoin market unlikely to face deep correction from US-Venezuela conflict, says analyst.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1145,1138],"class_list":["post-92869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"233","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Bitcoin market unlikely to face deep correction from US-Venezuela conflict, says analyst.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92869"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92869\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92871,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92869\/revisions\/92871"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92870"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}