{"id":93225,"date":"2026-01-16T15:09:01","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T12:09:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93225"},"modified":"2026-01-16T15:10:23","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T12:10:23","slug":"bitcoin-speculators-shift-to-profit-taking-says-researcher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoin-speculators-shift-to-profit-taking-says-researcher\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Speculators Shift to Profit-Taking, Says Researcher"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Short-term holders of the leading cryptocurrency have begun locking in profits, <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/69692401cbe161236f138be0-Bitcoin-short-term-holders-just-moved-from-taking-losses-to-locking-in-profits?utm_source=telegram&#038;utm_medium=sns&#038;utm_campaign=quicktake&#038;utm_content=it-tech\">observed<\/a> CryptoQuant contributor known as IT Tech.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The chart below illustrates the profit and loss dynamics of short-term investors (STH) transferring assets to exchanges.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea4a914ad9a51125-3781344984791505-1024x576.png\" alt=\"STH_btc\" class=\"wp-image-273498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea4a914ad9a51125-3781344984791505-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea4a914ad9a51125-3781344984791505-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea4a914ad9a51125-3781344984791505-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea4a914ad9a51125-3781344984791505.png 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Financial results of STH when transferring funds to exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>After a prolonged period of loss-making trades, a sharp spike in profit-taking occurred in the past 24 hours, coinciding with a gradual recovery in Bitcoin&#8217;s price.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, digital gold is trading around $95,300. Over the past seven days, the asset has appreciated by 5.4%, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\">CoinGecko<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>IT Tech concluded that &#8220;late&#8221; buyers used the local rebound and emerging liquidity to exit positions.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;STH profit spikes usually signal the exhaustion of the current momentum, rather than the start of a new rally,&#8221; the expert warned.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Whales Back in Profit<\/h2>\n<p>CryptoQuant analysts have noted a trend shift among major players \u2014 the annual net change in &#8220;whale&#8221; balances (1,000-10,000 BTC) has decreased by 220,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"540\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-d45cedf1a3e7d3c4-3781450935380485-1024x540.png\" alt=\"whale_holdings\" class=\"wp-image-273499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-d45cedf1a3e7d3c4-3781450935380485-1024x540.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-d45cedf1a3e7d3c4-3781450935380485-300x158.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-d45cedf1a3e7d3c4-3781450935380485-768x405.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-d45cedf1a3e7d3c4-3781450935380485.png 1074w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Dynamics of whale balance changes. Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The decline in activity followed a cyclical peak of 400,000 BTC accumulation recorded in December 2024, marking the sharpest drop since early 2023.<\/p>\n<p>However, last week the trend reversed: whales increased their holdings by 46,000 BTC (+21%). The metric returned to positive territory for the first time since November 2025, marking the end of a period of active asset distribution.<\/p>\n<p>The dynamics of &#8220;dolphins&#8221; (wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC, including <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETF<\/a>) appear weaker. From an October peak of 972,000 BTC, this group&#8217;s holdings fell to 589,000 BTC. A nearly 38% correction indicates cooling interest in this segment.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Who Moves the Price?<\/h2>\n<p>The accumulation cycles of &#8220;whales&#8221; and &#8220;dolphins&#8221; develop at different paces. In the current market phase, large holders showed maximum activity in June 2024 \u2014 at that time, their annual balance growth reached 260,000 BTC. &#8220;Dolphin&#8221; reserves at that moment were only 11,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"389\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-1024x389.png\" alt=\"whales_vs_dolphins\" class=\"wp-image-273500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-1024x389.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-1536x584.png 1536w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ea07944460e1eb6e-3781508346896442-2048x778.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Comparison of whale and &#8220;dolphin&#8221; balances. Source: CryptoQuant.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Later, the situation changed: thanks to the popularity of ETFs, &#8220;dolphin&#8221; assets showed explosive growth, reaching 970,000 BTC by October 2025. But following the peak came a sell-off. Due to significant volumes, this group of investors has recently exerted a key influence on pricing.<\/p>\n<p>However, historically, global rallies are initiated by &#8220;whales,&#8221; analysts believe. Therefore, the current resumption of purchases by them should be seen as an &#8220;early fundamental signal,&#8221; rather than a short-term price growth factor.<\/p>\n<p>Back in mid-January, a popular market sentiment indicator pointed to &#8220;greed&#8221; among Bitcoin investors for the first time since October <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-sentiment-gauge-flashes-greed-for-the-first-time-since-october\">indicating &#8220;greed&#8221; among Bitcoin investors<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Short-term holders of the leading cryptocurrency have begun locking in profits.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93226,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Short-term holders of Bitcoin are taking profits.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1205,1268],"class_list":["post-93225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptoquant","tag-on-chain-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"225","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Short-term holders of Bitcoin are taking profits.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93225"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93225\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93227,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93225\/revisions\/93227"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}