{"id":93365,"date":"2026-01-21T11:34:57","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T08:34:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93365"},"modified":"2026-01-21T14:39:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T11:39:51","slug":"daily-turnover-in-prediction-markets-hits-record-814-million","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/daily-turnover-in-prediction-markets-hits-record-814-million\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily Turnover in Prediction Markets Hits Record $814 Million"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Platforms such as Polymarket have reached a new historical high in daily trading volume, surpassing $814 million, according to data from <a href=\"https:\/\/dune.com\/gateresearch\/prediction-markets-overview\">Dune<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-36071a29507d6426-4200672911200116.webp\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-273722\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Dune.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In January alone, the cumulative turnover reached $10.9 billion, closely approaching December&#8217;s figure of $11.5 billion.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi remains the market leader, with its trading volume exceeding $6 billion over 21 days.<\/p>\n<p>The second place is held by the platform supported by YZi Labs and Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, Opinion, with $2.1 billion. The turnover of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-polymarket\">Polymarket<\/a> amounted to $2 billion.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-64095f1f7b01352a-4200702480324571.webp\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-273723\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Dune.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The latter remains the leader in open interest with a share of 41.1% ($391 million). Kalshi accounts for 38.1% ($334 million).\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"980\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6b47b580336fb3fa-4200721889663818-1024x980.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-273724\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6b47b580336fb3fa-4200721889663818-1024x980.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6b47b580336fb3fa-4200721889663818-300x287.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6b47b580336fb3fa-4200721889663818-768x735.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-6b47b580336fb3fa-4200721889663818.png 1120w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Dune.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A surge in user activity has led to record commission fees for the platforms. Last week, this figure exceeded $2.7 million, marking an all-time high.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Opinion emerged as the leader, accounting for 54% of the total amount ($1.5 million). Polymarket earned approximately $787,000, primarily from short-term 15-minute markets.<\/p>\n<p>Amid the excitement, this sector&#8217;s share of the total cryptocurrency spot trading volume exceeded 1% for the first time in history.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"420\" frameborder=\"0\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/data\/decentralized-finance\/prediction-markets-and-betting\/prediction-markets-to-spot-exchanges-volume-ratio\/embed\" title=\"Prediction Markets to Spot Exchanges Volume Ratio\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A New Phase of Development<\/h2>\n<p>Analysts at Galaxy Research have noted that the prediction market has entered a stage of mass recognition and active capital attraction. The rapid growth of Polymarket and Kalshi, along with a wave of startups testing unconventional product solutions, have given the industry momentum.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Shape of Prediction Markets to Come<\/p>\n<p>new <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glxyresearch?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@glxyresearch<\/a> report<\/p>\n<p>I cover leverage, AI agents, DeFi composability, liquidity, and U.S. regulation <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2NoE4kYr4h\">pic.twitter.com\/2NoE4kYr4h<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 will owens (@wowens) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wowens\/status\/2013624550676640079?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 20, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>However, experts point to a fundamental weakness in the sector \u2014 a lack of liquidity. This challenge remains relevant even amid the influx of users and increased developer attention to the technology.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blockade in Portugal\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>The Portuguese Gambling Regulation and Inspection Service (SRIJ) has demanded the complete cessation of activities and the blocking of Polymarket, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/rr.pt\/especial\/economia\/2026\/01\/19\/regulador-da-ordem-para-bloquear-polymarket-apostas-dispararam-antes-de-se-conhecerem-os-resultados-das-presidenciais\/455914\/\">local media<\/a>. The reason was an abnormal volume of bets on the presidential elections: hours before the results, the betting amount exceeded \u20ac4 million, and the total market turnover reached \u20ac110 million.<\/p>\n<p>Such volumes raised concerns among the regulator that bets might have been placed using non-public information, such as leaked exit poll data.<\/p>\n<p>SRIJ found that Polymarket:<\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lacks a license to provide betting services.<\/li>\n<li>Violates the law by offering prohibited political bets in the country.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>SRIJ issued a notice on January 16, giving the project team 48 hours to cease operations. As the site remained accessible after the deadline, authorities initiated a resource block at the internet provider level.<\/p>\n<p>Back in November, the National Gambling Office of Romania <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/romanian-regulator-blacklists-polymarket\">blacklisted<\/a> Polymarket. The agency deemed the platform&#8217;s activities unlicensed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Platforms such as Polymarket have reached a new historical high in daily trading volume, surpassing $814 million, according to data from Dune.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Polymarket blocked in Portugal.","creation_source":"ai_translated","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[2364,1148,1595],"class_list":["post-93365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-kalshi","tag-polymarket","tag-prediction-markets"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"222","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Polymarket blocked in Portugal.","is_update":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93365"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93365\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93366,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93365\/revisions\/93366"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}