{"id":93422,"date":"2026-01-22T10:48:44","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T07:48:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93422"},"modified":"2026-01-23T13:55:32","modified_gmt":"2026-01-23T10:55:32","slug":"bitcoin-at-760000-and-rwa-boom-ark-invests-2030-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoin-at-760000-and-rwa-boom-ark-invests-2030-scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin at $760,000 and RWA Boom: ARK Invest&#8217;s 2030 Scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By 2030, the market capitalization of the first cryptocurrency is projected to reach $16 trillion, with the total value of the digital asset market climbing to $28 trillion, according to a report by ARK Invest <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/who-is-cathie-wood-and-how-does-she-promote-bitcoin\">Cathie Wood<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>The $16 trillion valuation implies a Bitcoin price of approximately $761,900, assuming a supply of 21 million coins. This represents a 746% increase from the current price of around $90,000, with an average annual growth rate of about 61%.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-c7bbff058073d98b-4284198059695542.webp\" alt=\"Screenshot 2026-01-22 101706\" class=\"wp-image-273804\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: ARK report.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>ARK analysts have identified digital gold as the leader of a new class of institutional assets. The growth will be driven by the widespread adoption of public blockchains, inflows into <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETFs<\/a>, and corporate accumulation of coins.<\/p>\n<p>According to the company, spot crypto funds in the US and public firms already control 12% of the total coin supply (previously 8.7%). In 2025, fund balances grew by 19.7% (to 1.29 million BTC), while corporate reserves increased by 73% (to 1.09 million BTC).<\/p>\n<p>ARK maintains a long-term bullish outlook, although adjustments have been made to the model. Experts have raised the target market valuation for the first cryptocurrency due to the rising capitalization of physical gold. However, they have lowered expectations for Bitcoin&#8217;s use as a protective asset in developing countries, a niche now occupied by <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In the smart contract platform sector, ARK analysts forecast a market capitalization increase to $6 trillion, with network revenues reaching $192 billion annually. Analysts believe that two or three layer-one blockchains will dominate the market.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">RWA<\/h2>\n<p>The most ambitious forecast concerns the tokenization of real-world assets (<a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-rwas-real-world-assets\">RWA<\/a>). Analysts believe this market could exceed $11 trillion. Currently, the segment is valued at $19\u201322 billion. To achieve the stated goals in the next five years, the sector will need to grow by approximately 50,000%.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ce5453869969b150-4284217371403418.webp\" alt=\"Screenshot 2026-01-22 101630\" class=\"wp-image-273805\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: ARK report<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>ARK analysts link these prospects to the migration of traditional financial instruments to the blockchain. The main driver will be the emergence of clear regulations and institutional-grade infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, sovereign debt obligations, primarily US Treasury bonds, dominate the tokenization sphere. However, experts anticipate a trend shift: in the future, bank deposits and shares of global companies will provide the main market capitalization.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cSince most of the world\u2019s value is still off-chain, traditional assets remain the largest opportunity for blockchain technology adoption,\u201d the company noted.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Even if the $11 trillion mark is reached, tokenized assets will account for only about 1.38% of the total global financial market.<\/p>\n<p>BlackRock pays particular attention to this sector. In its 2026 forecast, the asset management company noted that Ethereum could gain significant benefits from tokenization. Currently, about 65% of such assets are hosted on this network.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"301\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9e0385117760b3ad-4284261040252172-1024x301.png\" alt=\"Screenshot 2026-01-22 102927\" class=\"wp-image-273806\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9e0385117760b3ad-4284261040252172-1024x301.png 1024w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9e0385117760b3ad-4284261040252172-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9e0385117760b3ad-4284261040252172-768x226.png 768w, https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-9e0385117760b3ad-4284261040252172.png 1457w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishares.com\/us\/literature\/presentation\/2026-thematic-outlook-stamped.pdf\">BlackRock report<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>BlackRock CEO Larry Fink emphasized that RWA is a trillion-dollar market that is only in its infancy.<\/p>\n<p>In December, Wood stated that the mathematically limited supply <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/cathie-wood-highlights-bitcoins-edge-over-gold\">makes<\/a> the first cryptocurrency a more perfect scarce asset than gold. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By 2030, Bitcoin&#8217;s market cap is expected to reach $16 trillion, with digital assets totaling $28 trillion, according to ARK&#8217;s report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92496,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"BlackRock believes Ethereum could significantly benefit from tokenization.","creation_source":"ai_translated","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1218,18,865,1146,1308],"class_list":["post-93422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-ark-invest","tag-bitcoin","tag-blackrock","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-rwa"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"356","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"BlackRock believes Ethereum could significantly benefit from tokenization.","is_update":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93422"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93422\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93423,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93422\/revisions\/93423"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}