{"id":93440,"date":"2026-01-22T15:10:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T12:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93440"},"modified":"2026-01-22T15:15:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T12:15:51","slug":"expert-foresees-openais-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/expert-foresees-openais-collapse\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Foresees OpenAI&#8217;s Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>OpenAI CEO Sam Altman met with leading investors in the Middle East to arrange a new investment round of at least $50 billion, reports <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-01-21\/openai-s-altman-meets-mideast-investors-for-50-billion-round\">Bloomberg<\/a>, citing sources.<\/p>\n<p>According to the agency, the entrepreneur held talks with individuals from some of the largest sovereign funds in Abu Dhabi.<\/p>\n<p>The ChatGPT developer aims to raise $50 billion or more, with a valuation of $750-830 billion. Discussions are at an early stage, and the amount may change.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, OpenAI discussed with Amazon the possibility of securing at least $10 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Previously, MGX, a technology investment company from Abu Dhabi, invested in the firm. Altman&#8217;s startup also partnered with G42 to create a massive data center in the United Arab Emirates.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">OpenAI&#8217;s Financial Troubles<\/h2>\n<p>OpenAI <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/openai-to-launch-ai-device-and-introduce-ads-in-chatgpt\">reported<\/a> revenues exceeding $20 billion in 2025\u2014a tenfold increase from 2023. However, the rapid growth in cash flow does not help the company remain profitable.<\/p>\n<p>In November, experts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/leaked-documents-reveal-openais-financial-standing\">analyzed<\/a> leaked financial information from the startup and concluded that it might still be spending more on inference than it earns.<\/p>\n<p>In January, The Information released a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theinformation.com\/articles\/openai-projections-imply-losses-tripling-to-14-billion-in-2026?im_ref=S0nwLFSHxxycUaqWnI0iB26CUkpSskXY1Su30E0&#038;sharedid=pcgamer.com&#038;irpid=10078&#038;utm_term=pcgamer.com&#038;irgwc=1&#038;afsrc=1&#038;utm_source=affiliate&#038;utm_medium=cpa&#038;utm_campaign=10078-Skimbit+Ltd.\">report<\/a> referencing OpenAI&#8217;s internal financial projections. The document states that the company will lose approximately $14-17 billion in 2026. By the end of 2028, the net outflow will reach $44 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, a profit of $14 billion is planned for 2029.<\/p>\n<p>The report also claims that the ChatGPT developer intends to spend $200 billion by the end of the decade, with 60-80% of the funds allocated to training and deploying AI models.<\/p>\n<p>In December, Deutsche Bank analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dbresearch.com\/PROD\/RI-PROD\/PROD0000000000611818\/The%20largest%20start-up%20losses%20in%20history.report\">presented<\/a> even more pessimistic figures. They estimate that Altman&#8217;s company&#8217;s cumulative negative cash flow will reach $143 billion by 2029, excluding obligations for building data centers worth $1.4 trillion.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cNo startup in the world has operated with losses of this magnitude,\u201d experts noted.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Additionally, there is a <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/elon-musk-seeks-134-million-from-openai-and-microsoft\">lawsuit<\/a> from Elon Musk for $134 billion.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Time to Exit?<\/h2>\n<p>Renowned investor George Noble stated that he has observed company collapses for several decades, and OpenAI exhibits all the signs of an impending downfall.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">OPENAI IS FALLING APART IN REAL TIME<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve watched companies implode for decades.<\/p>\n<p>This one has all the warning signs.<\/p>\n<p>OpenAI declared &#8220;Code Red&#8221; in December.<\/p>\n<p>Altman sent an internal memo telling employees to drop everything because Google&#8217;s Gemini 3 is eating their lunch.\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/D9iJwOOmMe\">pic.twitter.com\/D9iJwOOmMe<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 George Noble (@gnoble79) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gnoble79\/status\/2013639091636633705?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 20, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Among the signals he cited:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/openai-introduces-in-app-store-for-chatgpt\">declared<\/a> &#8220;Code Red&#8221; in December because Google&#8217;s Gemini 3 is &#8220;eating their lunch.&#8221; Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff publicly switched from ChatGPT to Gemini after two hours of use;<\/li>\n<li>a decline in chatbot traffic in November\u2014the second monthly drop in 2025, while Gemini recorded 650 million users per month;<\/li>\n<li>financial losses\u2014OpenAI spends $15 million a day on Sora alone, $5 billion a year on &#8220;creating copyright-infringing memes&#8221;;<\/li>\n<li>lack of innovation\u2014reports showed that in 2025 the company failed to create AI models surpassing previous ones;<\/li>\n<li>users called GPT-5 &#8220;terrible&#8221;;<\/li>\n<li>talent drain;<\/li>\n<li>Musk&#8217;s lawsuit.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Noble recommends &#8220;looking for an exit&#8221; from the AI sector.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cSell in the midst of the hype before the music stops,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In October, OpenAI <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/openai-becomes-worlds-most-valuable-private-company\">allowed<\/a> current and former employees to sell shares worth $6.6 billion. The deal valued the startup at $500 billion\u2014a record among private firms.<\/p>\n<p>In the same month, <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/reports-openai-plans-1-trillion-ipo\">it was revealed<\/a> that the company plans to conduct an IPO with a valuation of $1 trillion.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OpenAI CEO Sam Altman met with leading investors in the Middle East to arrange a new investment round of at least $50 billion.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"OpenAI CEO seeks $50 billion investment in Middle East.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[438,1532,1190],"class_list":["post-93440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-finance","tag-openai"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"342","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"OpenAI CEO seeks $50 billion investment in Middle East.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93440"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93440\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93442,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93440\/revisions\/93442"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}