{"id":93605,"date":"2026-01-27T15:21:14","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T12:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93605"},"modified":"2026-01-27T17:30:32","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T14:30:32","slug":"analysts-flag-bitcoins-most-accurate-rally-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-flag-bitcoins-most-accurate-rally-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Flag Bitcoin\u2019s \u2018Most Accurate\u2019 Rally Signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A bullish cross has appeared on the leading cryptocurrency\u2019s chart, the same setup that preceded a 600% surge in 2020, according to a trader who goes by Coinvo Trading. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: \ud83d\udea8 Bitcoin&#8217;s most accurate bull run signal is here again.<\/p>\n<p>The Stoch RSI of the US10Y and CN10Y just crossed for the 5th time.<\/p>\n<p>Same pattern, same outcome. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JITF5ZGy36\">pic.twitter.com\/JITF5ZGy36<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Coinvo Trading (@CoinvoTrading) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CoinvoTrading\/status\/2015877405051912440?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In his view, the stochastic <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-the-rsi-is-for-and-whether-it-suits-cryptocurrencies\">RSI<\/a> of the US 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) and China\u2019s 10-year government bond yield (CN10Y) has just crossed at levels that align with bitcoin\u2019s weekly chart.<\/p>\n<p>He called this signal \u201cthe most accurate indicator of a bull run\u201d for digital gold. Historically it has appeared four times, and each instance was followed by price gains. <\/p>\n<p>In 2021 bitcoin climbed to an all-time high of $69,000 after a similar signal. <\/p>\n<p>Analyst Matthew Hyland also forecast an upward move for the leading cryptocurrency, basing his view on the behaviour of the US Dollar Index (DXY).<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The last two times the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24DXY&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$DXY<\/a> broke below 96, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> ran from $2,000 to $20,000 within 6 months and ran from $10,000 to $64,000 within 9 months<\/p>\n<p>The DXY is currently sitting at 97 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vzWGXgk2kM\">https:\/\/t.co\/vzWGXgk2kM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Matthew Hyland (@MatthewHyland_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MatthewHyland_\/status\/2015905255586726080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThe last two times the DXY fell below 96, bitcoin\u2019s price surged: from $2,000 to $20,000 within six months and from $10,000 to $64,000 within nine,\u201d he wrote. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The index currently sits at 97.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why gold is rising while bitcoin is not  <\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin, meanwhile, remains rangebound. At the time of writing, the asset trades around $88,000. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-ba3679e8fcb3d3f5-4732636254417214.webp\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-274085\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Gold, by contrast, is setting record highs. On January 26 its price <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-falls-to-86000-amid-shutdown-threat-gold-surpasses-5000\">rose<\/a> above $5,000 per ounce for the first time. <\/p>\n<p>The divergence in performance is becoming more pronounced \u2014 earlier the correlation between them <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoins-correlation-with-gold-drops-to-zero\">fell<\/a> to zero. The last time that happened was only in mid-2022. <\/p>\n<p>Analysts at Swan urged investors not to see this as a negative signal. In their view, decoupling is part of a familiar pattern: the precious metal traditionally acts \u201cas the vanguard\u201d. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">This is wild.<\/p>\n<p>Gold just ripped above $5,000\/oz and the chart looks like a 2017 Bitcoin cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Parabolic. Vertical. Relentless.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of feeling defeated, Bitcoiners should be ecstatic about this move.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s why \ud83e\uddf5\ud83d\udc47 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hD8CyOHKr7\">pic.twitter.com\/hD8CyOHKr7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Swan (@Swan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Swan\/status\/2015860750703813015?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In such periods, the first cryptocurrency can spend months consolidating before a \u201cpowerful and sudden\u201d move higher. <\/p>\n<p>MN Trading founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe voiced a similar view. Each time bitcoin\u2019s price relative to gold has dropped to extremely low levels, he said, it has signalled the formation of a fundamental bottom in crypto markets. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Every time that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> has been this low vs. Gold, it&#8217;s been the actual low in the markets on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Crypto?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Crypto<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And then I mean the outliers on the indicators.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s been the case at the bottom of 2015, 2018, 2022 and similarly, right now.<\/p>\n<p>This means; a new cycle is upon us and the\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/2015893090129625145?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThat was the case at the bottoms in 2015, 2018 and 2022, and a similar situation is unfolding now. This means: a new cycle is upon us, and the end of the bear market is truly near,\u201d the analyst explained. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Van de Poppe named $88,500 as a key level. If the asset fails to hold above it, it will continue to test lower levels. <\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the current rally in precious metals \u201cwill not last forever,\u201d he stressed. Investors are looking for other opportunities to reallocate capital, one of which has traditionally been bitcoin. <\/p>\n<p>Joe Burnett, vice-president of bitcoin strategy at Strive, also pointed to a bottom forming. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin is currently on track for 4 down months in a row. The last time that happened:<\/p>\n<p>1. Bottom of the 2018 bear market<br \/>2. Bottom of the 2014 bear market<br \/>3. Bottom of the 2011 bear market<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Joe Burnett, MSBA (@IIICapital) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IIICapital\/status\/2015496567445201283?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 25, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, January could be the fourth negative month in a row for digital gold. The same occurred during the bear markets in 2011, 2014 and 2018. <\/p>\n<p>Earlier, Santiment analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/santiment-links-stablecoin-capitalisation-drop-to-gold-rally\">noted<\/a> a decline in the capitalisation of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a> as a negative signal for the digital-asset sector. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A bullish cross has formed on the leading cryptocurrency\u2019s chart, the same setup that preceded a 600% rally in 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93606,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"A bullish cross seen in 2020 before a 600% rally has reappeared on bitcoin\u2019s chart.","creation_source":"ai_translated","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[480,1146,1138],"class_list":["post-93605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"201","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"A bullish cross seen in 2020 before a 600% rally has reappeared on bitcoin\u2019s chart.","is_update":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93605","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93605"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93605\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93614,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93605\/revisions\/93614"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}