{"id":93749,"date":"2026-01-30T15:52:54","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T12:52:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=93749"},"modified":"2026-01-30T15:55:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T12:55:15","slug":"benchmark-quantum-threat-to-bitcoin-overstated","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/benchmark-quantum-threat-to-bitcoin-overstated\/","title":{"rendered":"Benchmark: Quantum Threat to Bitcoin Overstated"},"content":{"rendered":"

Benchmark analysts have described the quantum threat to the leading cryptocurrency as “long-term” and “manageable.” In a new report, experts urged against succumbing to panic, reports The Block<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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Researcher Mark Palmer acknowledged the theoretical vulnerability of Bitcoin’s cryptography but emphasized that real attacks are “decades, not years” away. Developers have ample time to adapt the protocol.<\/p>\n

A powerful quantum computer could theoretically compute a “private key” from public data. However, Palmer clarified that the threat only concerns coins at addresses with already revealed public keys.<\/p>\n

Risk Assessment<\/h2>\n

According to Benchmark’s calculations, between 1 and 2 million BTC are vulnerable. This pertains to funds in reused addresses or “Satoshi-era” wallets.<\/p>\n

Alternative estimates differ: K33 researcher Vetle Lunde pointed<\/a> to 6.8 million BTC at risk. However, he noted the uncertainty of timelines and called for developer coordination rather than panic selling.<\/p>\n

Experts’ forecasts on when a real threat might emerge vary:<\/p>\n