{"id":94333,"date":"2026-02-16T16:20:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T13:20:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=94333"},"modified":"2026-02-16T16:25:22","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T13:25:22","slug":"willy-woo-warns-of-potential-4-million-btc-market-dump-due-to-quantum-computing-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/willy-woo-warns-of-potential-4-million-btc-market-dump-due-to-quantum-computing-threat\/","title":{"rendered":"Willy Woo Warns of Potential 4 Million BTC Market Dump Due to Quantum Computing Threat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Increasing attention to the threat of quantum computing is beginning to diminish the long-term appeal of the first cryptocurrency compared to gold, according to analyst Willy Woo.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">12 YR TREND BROKEN.<\/p>\n<p>BTC should be a valued a LOT HIGHER relative to gold.<\/p>\n<p>Should be. IT&#8217;S NOT.<\/p>\n<p>The valuation trend broke down once QUANTUM came into awareness.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t read this post if you want to stay high on hopium instead of seeing things as they are. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Qa2YKDlRMp\">pic.twitter.com\/Qa2YKDlRMp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Willy Woo (@willywoo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/willywoo\/status\/2023258901379183029?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 16, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, markets are already pricing in the risk of a &#8220;Q Day&#8221; for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>About 4 million &#8220;lost&#8221; coins (25-30% of the total supply) could return to circulation if a quantum computer can derive private keys from public ones. This would undermine the asset&#8217;s key narrative of limited supply.<\/p>\n<p>Woo estimated the probability of freezing these coins through a <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-hard-fork\">hard fork<\/a> at about 25%. However, any outcome would provoke a deep divide between proponents of backward-compatible solutions and those willing to rewrite network rules to protect early balances, he believes.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;This prospect is already being factored into valuations as a structural discount to Bitcoin&#8217;s assessment compared to gold over the next 5-15 years,&#8221; the expert noted.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, agreed. He added that interest in Google searches for &#8220;quantum computing and Bitcoin&#8221; peaked simultaneously with the first cryptocurrency&#8217;s price high.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Google interest in &#8220;Quantum Computing Bitcoin&#8221; peaked when Bitcoin peaked. Evaluation of the risk was at a maxima when price was, resulting in derisking, a leading indicator to price falling. The Quantum threat drove Bitcoin down. The floor interest in quantum risk to Bitcoin is\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/a7m3Ucq7wr\">pic.twitter.com\/a7m3Ucq7wr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/caprioleio\/status\/2023171979927552220?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 15, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The expert named the quantum threat as one of the reasons for the current correction of digital gold.<\/p>\n<p>Nick Carter, a partner at Castle Island Ventures, holds a similar view. Earlier, he <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/experts-assess-quantum-computings-impact-on-bitcoin\">stated<\/a> that developers&#8217; reluctance to acknowledge risks is already weighing on the flagship cryptocurrency&#8217;s price.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, analysts at Benchmark <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/benchmark-quantum-threat-to-bitcoin-overstated\">consider<\/a> such fears exaggerated. Blockstream CEO <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/who-is-adam-back-and-how-is-he-linked-to-bitcoins-creation\">Adam Back<\/a> expects super-powerful computers to emerge only in 20-40 years, while _checkonchain creator James Check <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/james-check-dismisses-quantum-threat-as-factor-in-bitcoins-price-decline\">sees no<\/a> connection between this threat and Bitcoin&#8217;s price.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the industry has already begun preparing for the quantum era:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Ethereum Foundation <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/ethereum-foundation-establishes-post-quantum-security-team\">formed<\/a> a security group and allocated a $1 million research grant;<\/li>\n<li>Coinbase created an advisory board to assess risks and develop protection strategies;<\/li>\n<li>BTQ <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/btq-launches-quantum-resistant-bitcoin-testnet\">launched<\/a> a threat-resistant Bitcoin testnet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Back in February, Carter <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/expert-predicts-bitcoins-corporate-takeover-due-to-quantum-threat\">predicted<\/a> a &#8220;corporate takeover&#8221; of the first cryptocurrency&#8217;s network due to quantum computing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Increasing attention to the threat of quantum computing is beginning to diminish the long-term appeal of the first cryptocurrency compared to gold, noted Willy Woo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":94334,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Quantum computing threat diminishes Bitcoin's appeal compared to gold, says Willy Woo.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1138,575,1360,1514],"class_list":["post-94333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-opinions","tag-quantum-computers","tag-quantum-computing","tag-willy-woo"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"245","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Quantum computing threat diminishes Bitcoin's appeal compared to gold, says Willy Woo.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94333","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94333"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":94335,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94333\/revisions\/94335"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}