{"id":94966,"date":"2026-03-05T15:47:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T12:47:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=94966"},"modified":"2026-03-05T15:50:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T12:50:34","slug":"analysts-identify-74000-breakthrough-as-key-to-bitcoins-next-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analysts-identify-74000-breakthrough-as-key-to-bitcoins-next-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Identify $74,000 Breakthrough as Key to Bitcoin&#8217;s Next Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The price of the leading cryptocurrency rose by 7% over the week amid <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-breaches-71000-as-spot-etf-investors-nurse-losses\">inflows into <span data-descr=\"exchange-traded funds\" class=\"old_tooltip\">ETFs<\/span><\/a>. The market&#8217;s future direction hinges on breaking the historical range of $73,750-$74,400, according to CoinDesk analyst Omkar Godbole.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past two years, this price corridor has repeatedly reversed trends. The expert cited three examples:<\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>First quarter of 2024.<\/strong> The rally following the launch of American spot ETFs halted at $73,750, after which prices gradually declined to $50,000.<\/li>\n<li><strong>April of last year.<\/strong> The specified range halted Bitcoin&#8217;s fall from the $100,000 level\u2014selling ceased around $74,400. The asset then reversed and in October <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoins-surge-to-126000-revitalises-retail-investors\">reached a new high above $126,000<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Beginning of this year.<\/strong> Investors expected support from the zone, but digital gold broke through this level and <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-tests-60000-support-triggering-billion%e2%80%91dollar-liquidations\">fell to $60,000<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Currently, the $73,750-$74,400 marks again serve as the main resistance. A confident breakthrough upwards will confirm buyers&#8217; strength and the start of a new bull rally. Failure will indicate that the global downtrend since the October highs remains in force.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reasons for Bitcoin&#8217;s Return to $73,000<\/h2>\n<p>According to analysts at XWIN Research Japan, the main drivers of the leading cryptocurrency&#8217;s growth were inflows into American spot ETFs and the mass closure of short positions.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of February, amid geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin&#8217;s rate sharply declined. However, by March 2, the asset <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-surge-amid-flight-to-safety\">recovered<\/a> to $70,000, and by March 5, it <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-briefly-tops-74000\">tested<\/a> the $74,000 mark.<\/p>\n<p>The resumption of capital inflows into exchange-traded funds played a key role in the rebound. On March 4 alone, Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $200 million, directly indicating a return of institutional demand.<\/p>\n<p>The derivatives market provided an additional boost to the rally. Analysts recorded a sharp increase in open interest. Funding rates turned negative, indicating an excess of short positions. Further price growth triggered a cascade of liquidations and a <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-short-squeeze\">short squeeze<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On-chain metrics present a mixed picture:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bearish signals:<\/strong> The 90-day realized profit and loss ratio remains below 1, and the volume of coins with &#8220;paper&#8221; losses is growing.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bullish signals:<\/strong> The Coinbase Premium Index returned to positive values, confirming active purchases by American investors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Experts at XWIN Research noted a change in the status of the leading cryptocurrency. In times of global instability, investors increasingly use Bitcoin not only as a risky asset but also as an anti-crisis tool for preserving and safely moving capital.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stabilization of ETF Outflows<\/h2>\n<p>Outflows from spot exchange-traded funds based on the leading cryptocurrency have stabilized after a prolonged decline, according to analysts at Glassnode.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/telegram.org\/js\/telegram-widget.js?23\" data-telegram-post=\"glassnode\/1575\" data-width=\"100%\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The two-week net inflow chart has turned upwards. Experts believe this indicates a weakening of seller pressure after Bitcoin&#8217;s price consolidated above the $70,000 level.<\/p>\n<p>Institutional players remain cautious, but the market is already showing the first signs of new asset accumulation.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin&#8217;s &#8220;Structural Flaws&#8221;<\/h2>\n<p>Chamath Palihapitiya, founder of the venture company Social Capital, stated that the leading cryptocurrency has a &#8220;structural flaw&#8221; that hinders its widespread adoption at the level of governments and central banks.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Pain, Power &#038; The Game Nobody Wins | Chamath Palihapitiya x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hAgqDdPgA3g?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>In the podcast People by WTF, he noted that an asset for state reserves must meet strict criteria. Bitcoin lacks two key properties: privacy and fungibility.<\/p>\n<p>Since the blockchain is transparent and transaction history is stored forever, the movement of funds is easily traceable. If some coins were involved in illegal operations, they lose &#8220;purity&#8221; and cease to be equivalent to other bitcoins. True fungibility is possessed only by fiat money and physical gold, where any unit is absolutely identical to another.<\/p>\n<p>The traceability of Bitcoin reduces its appeal to central banks. Palihapitiya recalled that so far only the Czech National Bank has publicly <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/czech-central-bank-establishes-1-million-test-crypto-portfolio\">confirmed<\/a> the purchase of cryptocurrency. Gold remains the standard for reserves as it guarantees both privacy and fungibility.<\/p>\n<p>The investor doubts that demand from states will trigger a new tenfold increase in the capitalization of the leading cryptocurrency. He suggested that this niche might eventually be filled by other projects capable of solving the problem of excessive transparency.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Palihapitiya highly values the prospects of <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a>, especially those backed by gold. According to him, such instruments can simplify global payments and settlements.<\/p>\n<p>Back on March 3, K33&#8217;s head of research, Vetle Lunde, <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/the-worst-is-over-k33-highlights-end-of-bitcoin-sell-off\">noted<\/a> the end of Bitcoin&#8217;s sell-off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The price of the leading cryptocurrency rose by 7% over the week; the market&#8217;s future direction hinges on breaking the $73,750-$74,400 range, according to analyst Omkar Godbole.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":94967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Bitcoin's price rose 7% in a week; breaking $73,750-$74,400 is key for a new rally, says analyst.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1576,1273,1145,1138],"class_list":["post-94966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-chamath-palihapitiya","tag-glassnode","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"123","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Bitcoin's price rose 7% in a week; breaking $73,750-$74,400 is key for a new rally, says analyst.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94966"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94966\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":94968,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94966\/revisions\/94968"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}