{"id":95207,"date":"2026-03-13T15:45:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T12:45:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=95207"},"modified":"2026-03-13T15:50:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T12:50:40","slug":"cryptoquant-predicts-ethereum-could-fall-to-1500-amid-adoption-paradox","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/cryptoquant-predicts-ethereum-could-fall-to-1500-amid-adoption-paradox\/","title":{"rendered":"CryptoQuant Predicts Ethereum Could Fall to $1500 Amid &#8216;Adoption Paradox&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum faces the risk of further decline due to the &#8216;adoption paradox&#8217;\u2014a growing gap between network activity and the asset&#8217;s price dynamics, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/393431\/cryptoquant-eth-price-fall-1500-ethereum-adoption-paradox?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss\">noted<\/a> CryptoQuant analysts in comments to The Block.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>If the bearish trend continues, Ethereum&#8217;s price could drop to $1500, stated researcher Julio Moreno. Without significant market shifts, the asset could reach this level by the end of the third or the beginning of the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The &#8216;Adoption Paradox&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p>Experts highlighted that last month, the number of active addresses on the network reached a historic high, surpassing even the figures from the 2021 bull market.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"420\" frameborder=\"0\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/data\/on-chain-metrics\/ethereum\/number-of-active-addresses-on-the-ethereum-network-7dma\/embed\" title=\"Number of Active Addresses on the Ethereum Network (7DMA)\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>However, ETH&#8217;s price has fallen more than 50% from last autumn&#8217;s peaks. This situation contradicts previous cycle patterns, where increased network activity was accompanied by price strengthening.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-7070ca70c1ea9899-8621885909945602-scaled.webp\" alt=\"ETHUSDT_2026-03-13_13-07-48_0cec3\" class=\"wp-image-276733\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Ethereum&#8217;s price is trading at levels corresponding to the local lows of June 2025. Daily ETH\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/symbols\/ETHUSDT\/\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This divergence affects not only the user base. CryptoQuant analysts recorded a sharp increase in smart contract and automated protocol activity.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;The historical link between smart contract activity and ETH price has broken [\u2026]. In previous cycles, prices showed a clear positive correlation with on-chain metrics: an increase in transactions coincided with the asset&#8217;s price rise,&#8221; the researchers emphasized.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ethereum at $2000: A Test of Resilience<\/h2>\n<p>Analyst Ted Pillows noted that Ethereum&#8217;s price remains above the psychological level of $2000, despite macroeconomic uncertainty.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> is still holding above the $2,000 level.<\/p>\n<p>The macro uncertainty is still there, but Ethereum&#8217;s overall strength is good.<\/p>\n<p>For a rally, ETH needs to reclaim the $2,150 level, and a 10%-15% quick rally could happen. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JmfoMv9lul\">pic.twitter.com\/JmfoMv9lul<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2032023793741525215?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 12, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, for a &#8220;quick 10%-15% rally,&#8221; Ethereum needs to surpass the $2150 mark. <\/p>\n<p>Some market observers have already noticed a breakout of the descending resistance level:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> is breaking out \ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n<p>Time to send it higher. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/i09BoZfw8P\">pic.twitter.com\/i09BoZfw8P<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Max Crypto (@MaxCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxCrypto\/status\/2032374561178861753?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Exiting the bearish phase should be facilitated by capital inflows into the ecosystem and a reduction in cryptocurrency inflows to exchanges, Moreno believes. However, according to analyst Merlijn The Trader, CEX holds only 16 million ETH, a historic low.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING:<\/p>\n<p>Ethereum exchange reserves just hit an all-time low.<\/p>\n<p>Now only 16M <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> is left on exchanges. Price is at $2,000.<\/p>\n<p>Less supply on exchanges. More demand incoming. <br \/>This is what a bottom looks like.<\/p>\n<p>Smart money is accumulating. Are you? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/46zhEwPOjD\">pic.twitter.com\/46zhEwPOjD<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2032411352917254377?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Less supply on exchanges. More incoming demand. This is what a bottom looks like,&#8221; the expert emphasized.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In February, investors <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/ethereum-outflows-from-centralised-exchanges-accelerate\">withdrew<\/a> 31.6 million ETH from centralized platforms\u2014the highest monthly volume since November 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum faces the risk of further decline due to the &#8216;adoption paradox&#8217;\u2014a growing gap between network activity and the asset&#8217;s price dynamics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95208,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Ethereum faces the risk of further decline due to the 'adoption paradox'.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1205,46,1268,1253],"class_list":["post-95207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-cryptoquant","tag-ethereum","tag-on-chain-analysis","tag-technical-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"152","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Ethereum faces the risk of further decline due to the 'adoption paradox'.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95207"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":95209,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95207\/revisions\/95209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}