{"id":96224,"date":"2026-04-16T12:10:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T09:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=96224"},"modified":"2026-04-16T12:15:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T09:15:22","slug":"cryptoquant-analysts-warn-of-profit-taking-risk-in-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/cryptoquant-analysts-warn-of-profit-taking-risk-in-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"CryptoQuant Analysts Warn of Profit-Taking Risk in Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rally of the leading cryptocurrency to $75,000 is accompanied by an increasing risk of profit-taking. Several on-chain indicators suggest mounting pressure from sellers, noted Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin hit $76K resistance, and exchange inflows surged.<\/p>\n<p>~11K BTC\/hour moved to exchanges, the highest since Dec 2025 and above the March spike that preceded a pullback.<\/p>\n<p>Large holders are positioning to distribute into strength. Watch for selling pressure. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zcTHglIVnL\">pic.twitter.com\/zcTHglIVnL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/2044452882808734103?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 15, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>On April 14, the price of Bitcoin rose above $75,400 for the first time since early February. The growth was driven by the asset&#8217;s undervaluation, a temporary easing of tensions between the US and Iran, and a weakening of the US dollar.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, the digital gold&#8217;s rate had retreated to $74,700 but remains near the key level of $76,800 \u2014 the realized price for traders.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In a bear market, this mark serves as a strong resistance zone: as holders approach the breakeven point, they begin to sell coins, curbing further growth, the expert explained.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-52cbf8ab7f878146-1931772628958496.webp\" alt=\"\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d\u0430 btc price\" class=\"wp-image-278527\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hourly chart of BTC\/USDT on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/atJ4mYHE\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cIn January 2026, this band halted the rally in the bear market, and prices went down. The same could happen if sellers become active. If the resistance holds, the lower band at $67,600 will become support,\u201d Moreno emphasized.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Warning Sign\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>As Bitcoin&#8217;s price rose, so did inflows to exchanges \u2014 up to 11,000 BTC per hour. This is the highest level since late December 2025. The analyst called the trend a \u201cwarning sign\u201d: investors often transfer coins to trading platforms for subsequent sale.<\/p>\n<p>Moreno recalled that in March of this year, hourly inflows of 9,000 BTC with a concentration of large deposits at 63% preceded a short-term drop in the first cryptocurrency&#8217;s rate.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to CryptoQuant, the increase in exchange inflows is mainly driven by large holders. The expert noted that the average transfer size jumped to 2.25 BTC \u2014 the highest since July 2024. This is facilitated by large individual transfers to Binance exceeding 1,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThis pattern was already observed in January when the average deposit reached nearly 2 BTC before Bitcoin&#8217;s plunge from $100,000 to $60,000,\u201d he added.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The share of large deposits also sharply increased \u2014 from 10% to 40% of the total volume of inflows to exchanges over a few days. Historically, such figures coincided with an increase in short-term selling pressure, Moreno emphasized.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Not Yet at the Peak\u00a0\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>The volume of profit-taking by market participants is still far from peak levels. The daily realized income is about $500 million \u2014 below the $1 billion threshold, which in bearish phases usually signals a surge in sales.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cIf Bitcoin holds above $76,000 or breaks the realized price for traders at $76,800, daily realized profit could sharply rise to $1 billion and above. This would add pressure on sellers and increase the likelihood of a rally halt or reversal,\u201d the expert concluded.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, Glassnode noted that position closures are gaining momentum: the 30-day <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-moving-average-and-how-is-it-used-in-crypto\">EMA<\/a> of the realized profit\/loss ratio is 1.16 \u2014 investors are selling on the rise.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Approaching the Ceiling<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> holds ~$74K, ~5% below key $78K resistance. Spot and ETF demand improve, but profit-taking and cautious options positioning suggest a twitchy, flow-driven recovery lacking strong conviction.<\/p>\n<p>Read the full Week On-Chain\ud83d\udc47<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hLPc8PkKss\">https:\/\/t.co\/hLPc8PkKss<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wW110xUd89\">pic.twitter.com\/wW110xUd89<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/2044442951502139471?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 15, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>To sustainably consolidate above $78,100 (analysts call this level key resistance), the market will need to absorb this supply.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Correction Potential is Limited\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, Bitfinex analysts drew attention to the actions of large players: over the past 30 days, whales have accumulated 270,000 BTC. This is the highest figure since 2013. Simultaneously, exchange reserves of the first cryptocurrency have fallen to a multi-year low.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Whales accumulated 270,000 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> in 30 days, the largest buying spree since 2013.<\/p>\n<p>Exchange reserves are at their lowest since December 2017.<\/p>\n<p>The supply to meet new demand is shrinking \ud83e\udd14 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/F6Td5a5XcL\">pic.twitter.com\/F6Td5a5XcL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Bitfinex (@bitfinex) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bitfinex\/status\/2044385759243710613?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 15, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to experts, the supply to meet new demand is shrinking. On one hand, this makes the market vulnerable to sharp movements \u2014 even a small volume of sales can cause significant volatility. On the other hand, the potential for a prolonged decline is limited: sellers will not have enough coins for sustained pressure on the price.<\/p>\n<p>Specialists at K33 <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/k33-detects-signs-of-bitcoin-reversal-after-68-days-of-consolidation\">identified<\/a> signs of a Bitcoin reversal after 68 days of consolidation.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s rally to $75,000 is accompanied by an increasing risk of profit-taking. Some indicators suggest pressure from sellers, noted CryptoQuant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":96225,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Bitcoin's rally to $75,000 is accompanied by an increasing risk of profit-taking.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[480,1205,1268],"class_list":["post-96224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-cryptoquant","tag-on-chain-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"12","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Bitcoin's rally to $75,000 is accompanied by an increasing risk of profit-taking.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96224"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96224\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":96226,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96224\/revisions\/96226"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}