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Polymarket Users Predict 75% Chance of Bitcoin Falling Below $55,000

Polymarket Users Predict 75% Chance of Bitcoin Falling Below $55,000

75% of Polymarket users predict Bitcoin will fall below $55,000.

Seventy-five percent of users on the prediction platform Polymarket believe that the price of the leading cryptocurrency will plummet to $55,000. The volume of bets on this outcome has reached $1.2 million.

Снимок экрана 2026-02-23 151036
Source: Polymarket.

Traders are also betting on a drop below $50,000 and $45,000 with probabilities of 62% and 47%, respectively. Trading volumes for these contracts amount to $173,473 and $1.4 million.

On February 23, Bitcoin’s price fell below $65,000. At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $66,223, down 2.6% for the day.

BTCUSDT_2026-02-23_15-16-18
15-minute BTC/USD chart from Binance. Source: TradingView.

Bitcoin’s market capitalization has fallen to $1.32 trillion, placing the asset 14th in the global ranking of the largest corporations.

Снимок экрана 2026-02-23 151754
Source: 8marketcap.

Since the beginning of the year, this figure has lost about $440 billion or 25%. The total market capitalization of the crypto market has shrunk by approximately $760 billion, or 24.5%.

Experts at Standard Chartered have forecasted a drop in cryptocurrency to $50,000 before a potential rise to $100,000. Analysts at CryptoQuant described the $55,000 mark as the “final market bottom.”

Pierre Rochard, Vice President of Riot Platforms, called Bitcoin “the most undervalued asset in the world.”

Institutional investors share this view. A Coinbase survey revealed that 70% of respondents consider the asset’s value in the range of $85,000 to $95,000 to be undervalued when compared to precious metals and stocks.

Earlier, analysts at K33 Research suggested that the drop of the leading cryptocurrency to $60,000 on February 6 marked a local bottom before a consolidation phase.

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