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Goldman Sachs warns that Bitcoin’s fortunes depend on Federal Reserve policy

Goldman Sachs warns that Bitcoin’s fortunes depend on Federal Reserve policy

Digital assets are not insulated from the influence of macroeconomic factors, such as tighter monetary policy. CoinDesk writes, citing a Goldman Sachs report.

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The current pullback in the crypto markets suggests that broad adoption could be a double-edged sword. The decline in prices occurred predominantly for reasons unrelated to digital assets, analysts noted.

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Experts attributed it to a fall in shares of low-margin tech firms and recently IPO’d companies. That segment of the stock market proved most sensitive to signals of a forthcoming Federal Reserve rate hike.

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Widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies could raise valuations and, likely, their correlation with other variables in financial markets. This reduces their diversification benefits.

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Experts drew attention to a positive correlation between Bitcoin and inflation-risk indicators and the innovative technology sector. At the same time, they found an inverse price relationship with real interest rates and the value of the U.S. dollar.

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Further development of blockchain technology, notably in the form of metaverses, could over time provide a tailwind for certain digital assets. At the same time they will not be immune to macroeconomic forces, the specialists warned.

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As Bloomberg reports, the correlation between Bitcoin and US tech-sector shares reached an all-time high.

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In January the IMF warned of risks of “contagion” to stock and Bitcoin markets.

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Earlier, MSCI reported a growing influence of cryptocurrencies on the dynamics of equity portfolios.

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