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Institutions push Bitcoin price toward May highs

Institutions push Bitcoin price toward May highs

The share of CME in total open interest (OI) on Bitcoin futures over the past two weeks rose from 12% to a record 17% since February 2021, according to Arcane Research.

This explains one of the main reasons for the current Bitcoin rally to May highs.

Opinion: institutions pushed Bitcoin price toward May highs
Data: Arcane Research.

Experts noted that open interest rose to 340,000 BTC in the period from September 26 to October 10, marking the fastest pace since July. That period was also accompanied by increased buying activity. The largest contribution came from CME traders — the figure rose from $1.5 billion to $3.3 billion.

Image: Bitcoin price rally toward May highs
Data: Arcane Research.

In the context of basis relative to unregulated venues, CME futures began trading at a premium in October, something last seen in July, and for the year 2021 overall it was rare.

Analysts saw this as a signal of a more ‘healthy’ rise in the price of the first cryptocurrency. They cited a bullish forecast by CME traders regarding the chances of the US SEC approving a Bitcoin ETF.

Image: Bitcoin price rally toward May highs
Data: Arcane Research.

On the perpetual-contracts market, the funding rate remained in positive territory (in the range of 0.01–0.03%), signaling maintained positive price expectations. The metric did not reach March–April levels (0.1%), preceding Bitcoin’s historic high.

Image: Bitcoin price rally toward May highs
Data: Arcane Research.

Glassnode analysts noted that Bitcoin’s return to May highs is accompanied by positive trends in accumulation, hodler behavior and rising on-chain activity.

Earlier, Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead did not rule out that the launch of a Bitcoin ETF could end the bull market.

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