Bitcoin hit an all-time high at $61,800 and closed the best first quarter in eight years.
UNI, THETA and FIL entered the top 10 by market capitalization.
Trading volume on cryptocurrency exchanges in March again surpassed $1 trillion, with activity concentrated on Binance, Huobi and OKEx.
Open interest in the Bitcoin futures market neared $23 billion for the first time.
ETH DeFi stagnated, while the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem grew.
The NFT segment is breaking records for trading volume. The most expensive Beeple artwork sold for nearly $70 million.
Total market capitalization of stablecoins exceeded $60 billion, with $40 billion attributed to Tether’s USDT. The share of USDC is rising as its capitalization exceeds $10 billion.
Bitcoin and Ethereum miners generated record profits, and mining-company stock performance outpaced Bitcoin.
Exchange balances of Bitcoin and Ethereum are shrinking as the number of whales shrinks.
Performance of Leading Assets
Daily BTC/USD chart on Bitstamp. Data: TradingView.
In the first half of March, Bitcoin recovered losses incurred in February, then reached a new all-time high of $61,800, after which it corrected to $50,360.
Bitcoin quarterly return. Data: skew.
By the end of the month, Bitcoin rose 35%. The first quarter was among the strongest since 2014, with returns for the first three months of 2021 surpassing 100%.
Daily ETH/USD chart on Bitstamp. Data: TradingView.
A similar dynamic was seen for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum. After a correction at the end of February, the ETH price rose 50%, hitting $1,943 on March 13. By month-end, quotes retraced to $1,550, while Ethereum’s March return stood at 34%.
In March, notable changes occurred in the top-10 assets by market capitalization:
The UNI token of the Uniswap decentralized exchange secured the eighth spot with a market cap of $15 billion. Its price rose to a high of $36 (+25% in March);
The FIL token of the Filecoin decentralized storage platform posted a 430% rise, hitting a new high of $237;
For a while in March, THETA from the Theta Network streaming platform also lingered in the top ten. Its price rose 290% in March, reaching a high of $15.
Market Sentiment and Correlations
Fear and Greed Index dynamics. Data: alternative.me.
In early March, the Fear and Greed Index rose above 70. For most of the month, the indicator remained relatively calm, showing few sharp moves toward extremes.
In March, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 stayed relatively high — 0.26. The statistical relationship between Bitcoin and gold was almost non-existent (0.01). Bitcoin behaved as a risk-on asset rather than a safe-haven asset.
Traditionally, digital gold correlates most closely with other crypto assets, including Litecoin and Ethereum — 0.83 and 0.73 respectively.
Trading Volume
Trading volumes on spot exchanges, $bn. Data: CryptoCompare.
In March, spot trading volume rose to $1.32 trillion. Asian platforms dominated again, Binance accounting for $757 billion, Huobi for $210 billion, OKEx for $173 billion. U.S. exchange Coinbase generated $87 billion in volume.
Futures and Options
Bitcoin and Ethereum futures trading volume, $bn. Data: skew.
Total open interest in Bitcoin futures, $bn. Data: bybt.
Bitcoin and Ethereum options trading volumes, $mn. Data: Glassnode.
In March, total Bitcoin futures trading volume reached a record $2.15 trillion, with $720 billion on Binance.
Open interest in March neared $23 billion for the first time.
A similar picture in the options market — total Bitcoin options trading volume reached a record $28.5 billion, of which $26.7 billion was on Deribit.
DeFi
Dynamics of the value of funds locked in the DeFi sector. Data: DeFi Pulse.
Top-3 DeFi projects by value of locked funds, billions. Data: DeFi Pulse (as of 1.04.2021).
Ethereum-based DeFi ecosystem growth remained tepid. Total value locked (TVL) on smart contracts did not reach February’s peak of $45 billion. A probable reason for the slowdown is high gas fees, which deter retail investors. The latest flows show a shift toward alternative DeFi ecosystems—Binance Smart Chain (BSC) and Huobi Eco Chain.
The leading trio remained unchanged — Ethereum-based lending projects Maker, Aave and Compound.
TVL by main DeFi sectors on the Ethereum base. Data: DeFi Pulse.
Top-20 DeFi projects by market capitalization. Data: Messari (as of 1.04.2021).
Major Ethereum-based DeFi segments are lending (46%) and decentralized exchanges (39%).
In March, Terra sparked notable growth — 186%. Its market cap reached $7.5 billion ($2.7 billion on March 1). Also notable were assets of PancakeSwap and 0x on DeFi protocols — 47% and 45.9% respectively.
Market capitalization of popular Bitcoin on Ethereum, $m. Data: DeFi Pulse
Overall market value of tokenized Bitcoins approached $11 billion.
The unassailable leader of the sector remains Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC). Its market cap exceeded $8 billion.
Dynamics of TVL in the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem. Data: Defistation as of 1.04.2021
Total TVL of projects based on Binance Smart Chain rose 107%, breaking the $19 billion mark. Ellipsis Finance displaced Autofarm from third place. TVL of the new project already surpassed $2 billion.
Total TVL of projects on Huobi Eco Chain reached $7.5 billion.
DEX
Dynamics of trading volumes on decentralised exchanges, $bn. Data: Dune Analytics.
Share of the largest DEXs. Data: Dune Analytics as of 1.04.2021.
In March, trading volume on decentralized exchanges reached $61.1 billion — the second-largest figure in 2021 to date.
Uniswap remains the clear leader in the Ethereum-based DEX space — the platform’s turnover last month stood at $37.1 billion.
The top three were completed by SushiSwap with $9.1 billion and Curve with $5.2 billion.
NFT
Trading volumes of NFT marketplaces in 2021, $m. Data: cryptoart, dappradar.
NFT trading volume hit a new record. Nine leading marketplaces accounted for more than $600 million.
Platform-wise leaders are NBA Top Shots ($196.3m), Nifty Gateway ($140.8m) and OpenSea ($137.1m).
Stablecoins
Market capitalisation of stablecoins, $bn. Data: Messari.
Top-5 leading stablecoins by market capitalization, $bn. Data: Messari (as of 1.04.2021).
Stablecoin market capitalization surpassed $60 billion for the first time in March, up 100% since the start of the year.
The leading stablecoin USDT from Tether surpassed $40 billion ($42.4 billion as of 1 April). USDC from Centre exceeded $10 billion in capitalization.
P2P Trading
Trading volume on LocalBitcoins p2p platform in 2020-2021, USD millions. Data: coin.dance.
Trading volume on LocalBitcoins p2p platform, BTC. Data: coin.dance.
Trading volume on LocalBitcoins p2p platform in March reached the lowest levels in 2021 by dollar terms. The total value of Bitcoin trades hit an all-time low since 2013.
Trading on Paxful p2p platform in 2020-2021, USD millions. Data: coin.dance.
Trading on Paxful p2p platform, BTC. Data: coin.dance.
On Paxful, by contrast, Bitcoin trading volumes began to recover from February’s trough. In dollar terms, turnover exceeded the averages seen in 2020-2021.
Mining, Hashrate, Fees
Bitcoin miners’ earnings by month, $m. Data: Coin Metrics.
Ethereum miners’ earnings by month, $m. Data: Coin Metrics.
The incomes of Bitcoin and Ethereum miners in March reached new highs.
Miners earned $1.74 billion in March, with the bulk of revenue coming from block rewards ($1.57 billion).
Ethereum miners earned $1.37 billion, just 1% above February; transaction fees comprised 47% of their revenue.
Bitcoin hashrate dynamics since year start, EH/s. Data: Glassnode.
Largest Bitcoin mining pools. Data: BTC.com.
Riot Blockchain stock daily chart from TradingView.
In mid-March, as Bitcoin pressed toward $60,000, the stock prices of mining companies began rising:
Canaan — on 12 March, the company’s stock hit an all-time high of $39.10. The month finished up 17%.
Ebang International Holdings Inc. — price spiked sharply but did not set a new high. The shares finished March up 5%.
Riot Blockchain Inc. — modest month-end gain, up 8%.
Meanwhile, the year-to-date return of shares outpaced Bitcoin by fivefold.
On-chain Data
Bitcoin price and number of addresses with ≥ 1000 BTC. Data: Glassnode.
Bitcoin price and number of addresses with ≥ 0.01 BTC (thousands). Data: Glassnode
Number of addresses with 1000 BTC and more fell sharply as Bitcoin rose above $60,000. This could indicate whales realising profits from long-term holdings.
In contrast, the number of addresses of retail participants (≥ 0.01 BTC) continued to rise, signaling new entrants to the ecosystem.
Bitcoin price and balance dynamics on centralized exchanges, thousand BTC. Data: Glassnode, Yahoo Finance.
Bitcoin price and balance dynamics on centralized exchanges, thousand BTC. Data: Glassnode, Yahoo Finance.
By March, the balance on centralized exchanges continued to decline as Bitcoin rose toward new highs. This may indicate investors moving funds to safer cold wallets.
Dynamics of Ethereum transaction counts. Data: Etherscan.
Daily number of transactions in the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem. Data: BscScan.
Despite slowing activity in the Ethereum DeFi niche, ETH transaction volumes rose 14% in March.
On-chain activity in the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem remains well above Ethereum. The main driver of transactional demand is retail users, preferring the low fees of decentralisation.
Daily chart of Canaan shares on TradingView.
Daily chart of Ebang shares from TradingView.
Riot Blockchain stock chart from TradingView.
In mid-March, amid Bitcoin’s move toward $60,000, the stock prices of mining companies rose:
Canaan — on 12 March, the company’s shares hit an all-time high of $39.10. The month closed up 17%.
Ebang International Holdings Inc. — there was a sharp surge in stock price but no new highs. At month-end, shares were up 5%.
Riot Blockchain Inc. — modest gain, up 8% for the month.
Meanwhile, year-to-date stock returns of the companies outpaced Bitcoin fivefold.
On-chain Data
Bitcoin price and number of addresses with ≥ 1000 BTC. Data: Glassnode.
Number of addresses with ≥ 0.01 BTC (thousands). Data: Glassnode
Number of addresses with 1000 BTC and more declined as Bitcoin moved higher, suggesting profits may be realised by whales.
Retail addresses (≥ 0.01 BTC) continued to rise, implying more participants entering the market.
Dynamics of Ethereum hashrate, h/s. Data: Glassnode.
Average transaction fee dynamics for BTC and ETH, via Blockchair.
Ethereum’s hashrate cadence rose in March as the price of Bitcoin moved to new highs.
The Ethereum network still grapples with high transaction fees, often higher than Bitcoin’s. The upcoming EIP-1559 activation and the introduction of Optimism on Uniswap are aimed at reducing gas price volatility and easing the load on Ethereum’s blockchain.
TradingView daily chart of Canaan shares.
TradingView daily chart of Ebang shares.
TradingView daily chart of Riot Blockchain stock.
In mid-March, as Bitcoin climbed toward new highs, the stock prices of mining firms climbed: Canaan hit an all-time high of $39.10 on 12 March, finishing the month up 17%.
Ebang International Holdings Inc. saw a sharp move but did not surpass its highs; March closed up 5%.
Riot Blockchain rose modestly, up 8% for the month.
Bitcoin hash rate dynamics since year start, EH/s. Data: Glassnode.
Top pools by Bitcoin mining, BTC.com data.
March saw further hashrate growth as Bitcoin moved to new highs.
The top five pools by Bitcoin mining: F2Pool, Poolin, Antpool, BTC.com and Binance Pool.
Ethereum hashrate dynamics since year start, EH/s. Data: Glassnode.
Average fee dynamics for BTC and ETH transactions. Data: Blockchair.
Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain activity metrics moved higher in March as hashrate rose in tandem with price.
Ethereum’s on-chain activity remains hampered by high transaction fees; a shift toward lower-fee ecosystems—such as layer-2 solutions on Ethereum and other chains—continues.
TradingView daily price of Canaan shares.
TradingView daily chart of Ebang shares.
TradingView daily chart of Riot Blockchain stock.
In mid-March, as Bitcoin rose toward new highs, mining stock prices advanced: Canaan hit an all-time high of $39.10 on March 12. The month finished up 17%.
Ebang International Holdings Inc. saw a surge but did not set a new high. The stock finished March up 5%.
Riot Blockchain posted a modest gain with an 8% return for the month.
Hashrate dynamics for Bitcoin since start of year, EH/s. Data: Glassnode.
Largest Bitcoin mining pools. Data: BTC.com.
March continued to see mining hashrate push higher as Bitcoin climbed to new highs.
The top five pools by hashrate: F2Pool, Poolin, Antpool, BTC.com and Binance Pool.
Dynamics of Ethereum transaction counts. Data: Etherscan.
Ethereum on-chain transaction volume rose by 14% in March.
On-chain activity in the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem remained far above Ethereum. The main driver of transaction demand is retail users, preferring the lower fees of decentralisation.
TradingView daily price of Canaan shares.
TradingView daily chart of Ebang shares.
TradingView daily chart of Riot Blockchain stock.
Mid-March saw the stock performance of mining firms pick up as Bitcoin climbed beyond $60,000. Canaan hit a record high of $39.10. The month ended up 17%.
Ebang International Holdings Inc. saw a surge but did not set a new high. March closed up 5%.
Riot Blockchain posted a modest monthly gain of 8%.
Bitcoin hash rate dynamics since year start, EH/s. Data: Glassnode.
Largest Bitcoin mining pools. Data: BTC.com.
March mining hashrate continued to rise as Bitcoin moved to new highs.
Top five pools by hashrate: F2Pool, Poolin, Antpool, BTC.com and Binance Pool.
Dynamics of Ethereum hashrate, h/s. Data: Glassnode.
Daily transactions in the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem. Data: BscScan.
Despite slowing activity in Ethereum DeFi, ETH transaction volume grew 14% in March.
On-chain activity in the BSC ecosystem remains well ahead of Ethereum. The main driver of transactional demand is retail users, preferring the low fees of decentralisation.
GBTC premium/discount dynamics. Data: skew.
Grayscale assets under management rose to a new high, at $45bn. The firm launched five new trusts for Basic Attention Token, Chainlink, Filecoin, Decentraland and Livepeer.
GBTC premium was negative for the entire March, prompting Grayscale to halt accepting new investments, while DCG, its parent, signalled readiness to buy up to $250 million of shares in the open market.
Total assets under management reached a new high of $45 billion. Grayscale also launched five new trusts for Basic Attention Token, Chainlink, Decentraland, Filecoin and Livepeer.
MicroStrategy
On 1 March, the company added 328 BTC at an average price of $45,710. On 12 March, it announced a further purchase of 262 BTC for about $15 million. As of 1 April, MicroStrategy holds 91,326 BTC worth about $2.2 billion.
ETF on the Horizon
Four firms filed in March to launch Bitcoin-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Among them was the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), which also allowed resumption of Bitcoin futures trading. Others included Canada-based Evolve Funds, New York-based Simplify Exchange Traded Funds and asset manager WisdomTree.
Major Venture Rounds
In Q1 2021, crypto firms raised $2.6bn across 129 deals, per CB Insights. For all of 2020, the sector raised $2.3bn in 341 deals. Here are March’s notable rounds:
Lending platform BlockFi raised $350m at a $3bn valuation.
Blockchain.com raised $300m, valuing the company at $5.2bn.
New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG) raised $200m.
Chainalysis raised $100m; its valuation topped $2bn.
StarkWare, developer of scaling solutions for Ethereum, raised $75m.
Soros family office invested in Lukka in a $53m round.
Avanti Caitlin Long raised $37m ahead of a crypto bank launch.
Key Regional Events
Russian authorities reportedly are interested in the operation of P2P exchangers.
A deputy in the State Duma suggested changing the threshold for declaring cryptocurrencies.
President Vladimir Putin ordered additional measures to curb illicit cross-border transfers of digital financial assets.
National Bank of Ukraine explained the importance of legalising cryptocurrency, but a regulator’s representative proposed delaying the ‘On Virtual Assets’ law. The Ministry of Digital Transformation, together with other agencies and industry, has begun drafting a roadmap for crypto-market development.
The Prime Minister was proposed a plan for blockchain integration with the EU.
Head of the State Duma Committee on Financial Markets Anatoly Aksakov proposed to amend the ‘On Digital Financial Assets’ law in connection with possible issue of a digital ruble.
Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Russia Alexei Zabotkin said the regulator plans to present a prototype platform for the digital ruble by year-end.
The Chair of the Bank of Russia raised the possibility of introducing fees for digital ruble C2B transfers.
Regulation
South Koreatightened control over the crypto industry
Irelandwill expand the anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorist financing rules to the crypto industry.
Vice-President of Nigeriacalled for cautious adoption of blockchain.
The Central Bank of Thailand will start regulating stablecoins by the end of 2021.
Candidate to head the US SEC, Gary Gensler called Bitcoin a ‘catalyst for change’ and said he would push for innovation. At the same time, authorities will pursue tax evaders in crypto operations, and SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce urged DeFi projects to “engage with the SEC” to avoid securities violations.
In Indiarejected plans for a complete ban on crypto. At the same time, authorities require firms to disclose crypto assets and said there is a need for a personal income tax on crypto earnings.
Canadatightened rules for verifying crypto-asset holders.
UK Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said the country will focus on stablecoins regulation.
FATFincluded DeFi in the draft guidelines for the crypto industry.
President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko urged to develop regulatory norms for cryptocurrencies.
Regulation
South Koreatightened control over the crypto industry
Irelandwill expand the anti-money-laundering and financing of terrorism rules to the crypto industry.
Vice-President of Nigeriacalled for cautious implementation of blockchain.
The Central Bank of Thailand will start regulating stablecoins by the end of 2021.
SEC head candidate Gary Genslercalled Bitcoin a “catalyst for change” and said he would push to promote innovation. At the same time, authorities will pursue individuals evading crypto taxes, and SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce urged DeFi projects to “engage with the SEC” to avoid securities violations.
In Indiarejected plans for a full crypto ban. Authorities also require firms to disclose crypto-assets and said a tax on crypto income may be introduced.
Canadatightened rules for verifying crypto-asset holders.
UK Treasury Minister John Glen said the country will focus on regulating stablecoins.
FATFincluded DeFi in the draft guidelines for the crypto industry.
President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko urged to develop legislative norms for cryptocurrencies.
Regulation
South Koreatightened control over the crypto industry
Irelandwill expand the anti-money-laundering and financing of terrorism rules to the crypto industry.
Vice-President of Nigeriacalled for cautious adoption of blockchain.
The Central Bank of Thailand will start regulating stablecoins by end-2021.
SEC head Gary Gensler named Bitcoin a “catalyst for change” and said he would push to pursue innovation. At the same time authorities will pursue crypto-tax evaders, and SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce urged DeFi projects to “engage with the SEC” to avoid securities laws violations.
In Indiaopposed plans for a full crypto ban. Authorities also require firms to disclose crypto assets and said there is a need for tax on crypto income.
In Kazakhstanwill form a task force to develop the crypto industry and blockchain.
Canadatightened verification rules for crypto holders.
UK Finance Minister John Glen said the country will focus on regulating stablecoins.
FATFincluded DeFi in the draft guidance for the crypto industry.
President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko urged to develop regulatory norms for cryptocurrencies.
Other March Highlights
Tesla to Accept Bitcoin Payments
On Monday, March 22, Elon Musk said that Tesla added an option to pay for its cars with Bitcoin. The feature is currently available to US residents, with plans to roll it out to other countries by year-end. Tesla will not convert the received Bitcoin to fiat. The company also supports running Bitcoin nodes.
Visa to Settle Using USDC Stablecoin
Visa, in partnership with Crypto.com, started a pilot programme to settle payments using the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin from the Centre consortium. The solution works on the Ethereum blockchain and eliminates the need to convert the digital asset into fiat for a transaction.
Uniswap Sets Date for v3 Launch
The launch of the new protocol version is planned for 5 May. The developers have promised to implement the Optimism layer-2 solution, potentially addressing high gas fees on Ethereum and introducing new features for liquidity providers, along with an updated fee structure.
Month Quotes
“Millions of people are very pleased that authorities approved a $1.9 trillion stimulus package. Who doesn’t like free money? The problem is that such money makes the poor and the middle class poorer. Buy more gold, silver and bitcoins.”Robert KiyosakiEntrepreneur, author of the bestseller ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’
“This is a very cool thing, as we know, probably. But what does a person lack when he goes into crypto? It seems to me that this is about people who want to hide something from someone. There is no reason to resist progress; the youth want this.”Oleg TinkovFounder of Tinkoff Bank