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Bitcoin tests $123,000 as analysts warn of risks

Bitcoin tests $123,000 as analysts warn of risks

On the evening of October 3, the leading cryptocurrency climbed above $123,000; Ethereum crossed $4,500.

15-minute BTC/USDT chart on Binance. Source: TradingView.

At the time of writing, bitcoin had eased to $122,800. The asset is up nearly 10% over the week.

In the past 24 hours, liquidations reached $554 million, of which $358 million were shorts.

Source: Coinglass.

Other top-ten cryptocurrencies by capitalisation reacted more modestly to the bellwether’s rise. One exception was BNB, which hit an all-time high.

Source: CoinGecko.

The market remains buoyed by the “positive” from the US government shutdown. Momentum is fuelled by the Uptober narrative, steady funding rates and inflows into exchange-traded funds. Yet some participants fear a pullback.

Fear of a correction

A trader using the moniker BitBull said the current surge marks the start of a Q4 rally.

“But don’t think we will go up-only. In the next one to two weeks, bitcoin and altcoins will face a major leverage flush,” he warned.

In his view, this will force people to sell, thinking Uptober is over. The market would then rally to new highs.

A user going by Roman wondered how long bitcoin can ignore “bearish divergences and the lack of momentum on the weekly and monthly charts”.

Four-hour RSI chart for BTC/USDT on Binance. Source: TradingView.

He noted that the RSI remains in overbought territory, strengthening expectations of cooling on lower time frames.

“Volume also points to a lack of strength. When these factors play out is only a matter of time. Be careful holding positions,” Roman warned.

Earlier, CryptoQuant analysts outlined the conditions for bitcoin to rise to $200,000.

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